Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Gonzaga (15-2)
 100% 83% 46% 21%
1 2
Auburn (18-1)
 100% 69% 24% 6%
1 3
Arizona (15-1)
 100% 78% 37% 14%
1 4
Kansas (16-2)
 100% 67% 22% 5%
2 5
Baylor (17-2)
 100% 72% 27% 8%
2 6
Villanova (14-5)
 100% 65% 20% 5%
2 7
Purdue (15-3)
 100% 68% 24% 7%
2 8
Houston (17-2)
 100% 67% 23% 6%
3 9
Kentucky (15-4)
 100% 58% 18% 5%
3 10
Xavier (14-3)
 100% 40% 7% 1%
3 11
LSU (15-4)
 100% 52% 13% 3%
3 12
Duke (15-3)
 99% 53% 14% 3%
4 13
UCLA (13-2)
 99% 49% 11% 2%
4 14
Illinois (13-5)
 100% 49% 13% 3%
4 15
Michigan St (15-3)
 100% 36% 6% 1%
4 16
Connecticut (13-4)
 98% 43% 9% 2%
5 17
Wisconsin (15-3)
 100% 27% 3% 0%
5 18
Texas Tech (15-4)
 97% 40% 8% 1%
5 19
Alabama (13-6)
 100% 39% 7% 1%
5 20
Tennessee (13-5)
 100% 44% 10% 2%
6 21
Ohio State (12-4)
 99% 32% 5% 1%
6 22
Providence (15-2)
 98% 16% 1% 0%
6 23
Seton Hall (12-5)
 94% 29% 5% 1%
6 24
USC (16-2)
 87% 24% 4% 0%
7 25
Indiana (14-4)
 89% 24% 4% 0%
7 26
Texas (14-5)
 85% 26% 5% 1%
7 27
Colorado St (15-1)
 72% 14% 1% 0%
7 28
Boise State (15-4)
 78% 12% 1% 0%
8 29
Marquette (13-6)
 98% 12% 1% 0%
8 30
BYU (17-4)
 84% 12% 1% 0%
8 31
Iowa (14-5)
 78% 22% 4% 1%
8 32
Florida St (13-5)
 76% 10% 1% 0%
9 33
San Diego St (10-4)
 78% 10% 1% 0%
9 34
Florida (12-6)
 75% 17% 3% 0%
9 35
Oregon (11-6)
 71% 11% 1% 0%
9 36
Michigan (8-7)
 89% 18% 3% 0%
10 37
W Virginia (13-5)
 90% 10% 1% 0%
10 38
St Marys (15-4)
 76% 11% 1% 0%
10 39
Creighton (12-5)
 72% 7% 1% 0%
10 40
N Carolina (12-6)
 74% 10% 1% 0%
11 41
TX Christian (13-3)
 67% 7% 1% 0%
11 42
Oklahoma (12-7)
 69% 11% 1% 0%
11 43
Miss State (13-5)
 60% 9% 1% 0%
11 44
Arkansas (14-5)
 52% 10% 1% 0%
11 45
Iowa State (14-5)
 47% 5% 0% 0%
11 46
Davidson (16-2)
 46% 5% 0% 0%
12 47
Iona (15-3)
 48% 3% 0% 0%
12 48
Loyola-Chi (14-3)
 46% 7% 1% 0%
12 49
UAB (16-4)
 47% 7% 1% 0%
12 50
Chattanooga (16-4)
 36% 2% 0% 0%
13 51
Murray St (17-2)
 55% 6% 0% 0%
13 52
S Dakota St (17-4)
 59% 4% 0% 0%
13 53
Vermont (13-4)
 76% 5% 0% 0%
13 54
Toledo (15-4)
 39% 3% 0% 0%
14 55
Wagner (11-2)
 68% 2% 0% 0%
14 56
Liberty (13-6)
 48% 1% 0% 0%
14 57
Oakland (14-5)
 43% 1% 0% 0%
14 58
UC Irvine (6-7)
 31% 1% 0% 0%
15 59
Princeton (15-3)
 31% 1% 0% 0%
15 60
Colgate (7-10)
 60% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Towson (14-6)
 30% 1% 0% 0%
15 62
N Mex State (16-3)
 26% 1% 0% 0%
16 63
TX Southern (6-10)
 43% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Nicholls St (11-9)
 38% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Norfolk St (13-4)
 36% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Longwood (12-5)
 34% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Weber State (13-5)
 28% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
S Alabama (14-5)
 21% 0% 0% 0%
VCU (11-6)
 50% 4% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (11-4)
 47% 4% 0% 0%
San Fransco (16-4)
 39% 5% 1% 0%
Belmont (14-5)
 37% 3% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (12-6)
 36% 1% 0% 0%
Penn State (8-8)
 36% 3% 0% 0%
Wyoming (15-2)
 35% 3% 0% 0%
Stanford (11-6)
 34% 1% 0% 0%
Furman (14-7)
 34% 2% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (14-5)
 33% 2% 0% 0%
Howard (7-8)
 33% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (12-6)
 30% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (12-7)
 29% 1% 0% 0%
Minnesota (11-5)
 29% 2% 0% 0%
Yale (8-9)
 28% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (16-4)
 28% 4% 0% 0%
Memphis (9-8)
 27% 4% 1% 0%
Southern (10-8)
 27% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (10-9)
 26% 2% 0% 0%
Missouri St (15-6)
 26% 2% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (13-7)
 24% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (11-6)
 23% 1% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (14-4)
 23% 1% 0% 0%
Navy (12-7)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (14-3)
 22% 1% 0% 0%
North Texas (13-4)
 20% 1% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (12-4)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (10-6)
 19% 1% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (15-5)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
VA Tech (10-8)
 19% 4% 1% 0%
S Utah (11-5)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (9-8)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (15-4)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (12-7)
 18% 1% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (11-6)
 18% 1% 0% 0%
New Orleans (10-8)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (10-5)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (14-4)
 17% 2% 0% 0%
Montana (13-6)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (14-5)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (9-5)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (12-6)
 16% 2% 0% 0%
Wright State (11-8)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (10-10)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
App State (12-9)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (11-8)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (12-8)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (15-4)
 14% 1% 0% 0%
Texas State (12-5)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Louisville (11-8)
 13% 1% 0% 0%
Richmond (12-7)
 13% 1% 0% 0%
Utah State (10-9)
 13% 1% 0% 0%
Harvard (10-6)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (7-7)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (13-6)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (10-8)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (14-6)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (8-8)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (9-8)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (14-6)
 11% 1% 0% 0%
NC Central (7-9)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (10-7)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (11-5)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (5-13)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (10-8)
 10% 1% 0% 0%
Coppin State (3-15)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (9-10)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (10-11)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (11-8)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (7-12)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (12-5)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (13-8)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (4-13)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (13-5)
 9% 1% 0% 0%
McNeese St (8-12)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (10-6)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (12-9)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (6-10)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (9-9)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (12-6)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (7-6)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (12-7)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (8-8)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (13-4)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (9-8)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (12-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (14-5)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (14-5)
 6% 1% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (7-6)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (12-7)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (6-9)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (10-9)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (8-5)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (13-6)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (7-10)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (11-8)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (9-7)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (6-9)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (10-7)
 6% 1% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (10-8)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (9-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (8-9)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (10-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (11-8)
 5% 1% 0% 0%
VA Military (11-9)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (12-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (10-8)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (12-7)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (8-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (8-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (3-12)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (6-12)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia (11-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (9-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (12-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (11-7)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (11-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (10-10)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (8-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Army (12-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (11-5)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (9-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (12-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (9-7)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (7-10)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (12-7)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (11-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (8-11)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (8-7)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (10-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (11-7)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (5-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (11-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (6-7)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (10-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (12-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (10-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (12-7)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (8-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (6-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (4-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (10-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (10-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (9-11)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (7-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (12-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (10-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (15-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (6-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (8-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (8-9)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (10-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (12-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (10-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (7-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (3-11)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (5-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (6-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (10-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (9-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (7-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (11-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (9-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (8-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (10-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (6-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (7-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (7-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (4-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (10-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (10-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (7-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (10-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (7-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (11-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (4-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (7-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (10-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (10-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (8-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (6-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (10-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (4-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (6-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (5-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (5-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (8-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (4-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (7-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (8-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (5-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (6-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (11-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (6-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (7-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (7-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (10-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (8-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (7-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (11-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (8-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (6-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (12-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (8-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (5-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (7-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (6-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (8-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (4-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (5-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (9-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (4-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (8-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (9-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (4-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (7-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (6-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (8-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (3-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (9-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (7-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (5-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (5-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (5-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (7-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (7-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (8-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (8-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (8-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (3-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (8-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (11-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (4-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (6-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (11-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (1-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (3-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (6-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (6-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (5-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (4-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (8-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (6-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (9-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (6-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (5-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (6-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (7-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (2-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (9-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (4-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (3-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (6-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (6-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (4-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (4-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (6-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (7-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (2-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (7-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (4-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (10-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (2-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (5-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (5-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (6-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (3-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (1-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (6-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (2-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (1-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (12-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dixie State (10-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (11-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC San Diego (8-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (10-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (8-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton State (8-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St. Thomas (MN) (8-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (12-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: These games count in the Northeast Conference standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • December 28th: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Fairleigh Dickinson
  • December 31st: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Wagner
  • January 6th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Merrimack
  • January 6th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Central Connecticut State
  • January 8th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Bryant
  • January 8th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Wagner

NOTE: These games count in the SWAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • January 3rd: Prairie View A&M forfeit loss to Grambling State
  • January 5th: Prairie View A&M forfeit loss to Southern

NOTE: These games count in the WAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • January 6th: Lamar forfeit loss to New Mexico State
  • January 8th: Lamar forfeit loss to Grand Canyon