Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Alabama (28-5)
 100% 77% 38% 15%
1 2
Houston (31-2)
 100% 77% 38% 16%
1 3
Kansas (27-7)
 100% 66% 21% 4%
1 4
Purdue (28-5)
 100% 63% 20% 5%
2 5
UCLA (29-5)
 100% 69% 25% 7%
2 6
Texas (26-8)
 100% 66% 25% 8%
2 7
Marquette (28-6)
 100% 49% 12% 2%
2 8
Texas A&M (25-8)
 100% 43% 8% 1%
3 9
Kansas St (23-9)
 100% 37% 5% 1%
3 10
Gonzaga (28-5)
 100% 62% 21% 6%
3 11
Arizona (28-6)
 100% 55% 17% 5%
3 12
San Diego St (27-6)
 100% 38% 6% 1%
4 13
Baylor (22-10)
 100% 47% 11% 2%
4 14
Xavier (25-9)
 100% 44% 9% 1%
4 15
Connecticut (25-8)
 100% 57% 17% 5%
4 16
Virginia (25-7)
 100% 33% 5% 1%
5 17
Tennessee (23-10)
 100% 61% 23% 8%
5 18
Duke (26-8)
 100% 41% 8% 1%
5 19
Miami (FL) (25-7)
 100% 26% 3% 0%
5 20
Indiana (22-11)
 100% 33% 6% 1%
6 21
Kentucky (21-11)
 99% 30% 6% 1%
6 22
Memphis (25-8)
 100% 26% 4% 0%
6 23
St Marys (26-7)
 100% 28% 5% 1%
6 24
Creighton (21-12)
 100% 33% 8% 1%
7 25
Boise State (24-9)
 99% 16% 2% 0%
7 26
Iowa State (19-13)
 100% 26% 5% 1%
7 27
Northwestern (21-11)
 97% 15% 2% 0%
7 28
TX Christian (21-12)
 99% 25% 5% 1%
8 29
Michigan St (19-12)
 100% 19% 3% 0%
8 30
Missouri (24-9)
 100% 14% 2% 0%
8 31
Maryland (21-12)
 99% 22% 4% 1%
8 32
Auburn (20-12)
 100% 22% 4% 1%
9 33
Arkansas (20-13)
 100% 25% 6% 1%
9 34
NC State (23-10)
 91% 13% 2% 0%
9 35
Fla Atlantic (31-3)
 100% 15% 2% 0%
9 36
W Virginia (19-14)
 100% 19% 3% 0%
10 37
Nevada (22-10)
 92% 7% 0% 0%
10 38
Penn State (22-12)
 99% 15% 2% 0%
10 39
Iowa (19-13)
 64% 13% 2% 0%
10 40
Vanderbilt (20-14)
 97% 8% 1% 0%
11 41
Utah State (26-8)
 82% 13% 2% 0%
11 42
Arizona St (22-12)
 95% 8% 1% 0%
11 43
Providence (21-11)
 82% 11% 1% 0%
11 44
Oklahoma St (18-15)
 91% 12% 1% 0%
11 45
USC (22-10)
 60% 8% 1% 0%
11 46
Miss State (21-12)
 61% 7% 1% 0%
12 47
Drake (27-7)
 100% 9% 1% 0%
12 48
Yale (21-7)
 59% 5% 0% 0%
12 49
Dayton (22-11)
 53% 6% 0% 0%
12 50
Col Charlestn (31-3)
 100% 8% 0% 0%
13 51
LA Lafayette (26-7)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
13 52
Kent State (28-6)
 100% 7% 0% 0%
13 53
Iona (27-7)
 100% 8% 0% 0%
13 54
Oral Roberts (30-4)
 100% 7% 0% 0%
14 55
Grd Canyon (24-11)
 100% 4% 0% 0%
14 56
Kennesaw St (26-8)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
14 57
UCSB (27-7)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
14 58
Furman (27-7)
 100% 6% 0% 0%
15 59
Montana St (25-9)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
15 60
Vermont (23-10)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
15 61
Colgate (26-8)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
15 62
NC-Asheville (27-7)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
16 63
Howard (22-12)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
TX Southern (14-20)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
N Kentucky (22-12)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
SE Missouri (19-16)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
TX A&M-CC (23-10)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
F Dickinson (19-15)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (22-11)
 53% 4% 0% 0%
VCU (26-7)
 52% 5% 0% 0%
Rutgers (19-14)
 42% 7% 1% 0%
Princeton (20-8)
 41% 1% 0% 0%
N Carolina (20-13)
 29% 5% 1% 0%
Oregon (19-14)
 28% 3% 0% 0%
Illinois (20-12)
 21% 4% 1% 0%
Clemson (23-10)
 8% 1% 0% 0%
North Texas (26-7)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Wisconsin (17-14)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Michigan (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Tech (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (25-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (20-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (25-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (25-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (25-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (24-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (27-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (25-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (25-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (26-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (24-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (7-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Villanova (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (20-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (10-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (5-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (7-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (16-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (5-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas Tech (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (13-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (11-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas State (16-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (17-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (17-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (19-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (10-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Mex State (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (11-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (16-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (12-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton State (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (17-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (21-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisville (4-28)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (22-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (17-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (26-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (5-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (17-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
BYU (19-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (13-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (15-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St. Thomas (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hsn Christian (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (13-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-Com (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (5-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (6-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (7-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (5-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (5-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (18-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (8-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (7-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (14-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (3-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio State (16-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (3-29)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC San Diego (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (18-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (3-29)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (12-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (16-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wright State (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (18-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (14-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (15-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (12-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (16-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (5-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC is using a creative new method to seed its conference tournament this season. Seeding will be based on the NET and KenPom, and will evaluate a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. For now, our projections will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Later in the season, as we see how this all plays out, we may make some adjustments.