Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Arizona (23-0)
 100% 81% 39% 13%
1 2
Michigan (22-1)
 100% 87% 51% 24%
1 3
Duke (21-2)
 100% 80% 37% 12%
1 4
Houston (21-2)
 100% 74% 27% 7%
2 5
UConn (22-2)
 100% 66% 18% 3%
2 6
Iowa St (21-2)
 100% 72% 25% 6%
2 7
Illinois (20-4)
 100% 69% 21% 5%
2 8
Florida (17-6)
 100% 68% 21% 5%
3 9
Purdue (19-4)
 100% 65% 19% 4%
3 10
Nebraska (21-2)
 100% 50% 8% 1%
3 11
Michigan St (20-4)
 100% 57% 12% 2%
3 12
Vanderbilt (19-4)
 100% 50% 9% 1%
4 13
Kansas (18-5)
 100% 51% 10% 1%
4 14
St John's (18-5)
 100% 50% 9% 1%
4 15
Virginia (20-3)
 99% 39% 5% 0%
4 16
Saint Louis (23-1)
 88% 34% 4% 0%
5 17
Alabama (16-7)
 100% 43% 8% 1%
5 18
North Carolina (19-4)
 100% 32% 4% 0%
5 19
Gonzaga (23-2)
 100% 51% 13% 3%
5 20
Arkansas (17-6)
 100% 37% 6% 1%
6 21
Texas Tech (17-6)
 100% 36% 5% 1%
6 22
Tennessee (16-7)
 100% 39% 7% 1%
6 23
NC State (18-6)
 100% 32% 4% 0%
6 24
Louisville (17-6)
 100% 38% 8% 1%
7 25
Clemson (20-4)
 97% 22% 2% 0%
7 26
Utah St (20-3)
 99% 20% 2% 0%
7 27
BYU (17-6)
 100% 30% 5% 1%
7 28
Kentucky (17-7)
 100% 26% 4% 0%
8 29
Villanova (18-5)
 100% 15% 1% 0%
8 30
Iowa (18-5)
 98% 23% 4% 0%
8 31
SMU (16-7)
 97% 13% 1% 0%
8 32
Auburn (14-9)
 98% 18% 2% 0%
9 33
Georgia (17-6)
 94% 16% 2% 0%
9 34
UCF (17-6)
 81% 4% 0% 0%
9 35
Texas A&M (17-6)
 55% 8% 1% 0%
9 36
Indiana (16-8)
 96% 12% 1% 0%
10 37
UCLA (17-7)
 90% 10% 1% 0%
10 38
Wisconsin (16-7)
 93% 9% 1% 0%
10 39
Saint Mary's (21-4)
 69% 6% 1% 0%
10 40
San Diego St (17-6)
 82% 5% 0% 0%
11 41
Ohio St (15-8)
 90% 10% 1% 0%
11 42
Santa Clara (21-5)
 80% 5% 0% 0%
11 43
Texas (15-9)
 60% 7% 1% 0%
11 44
USC (18-6)
 52% 3% 0% 0%
11 45
VCU (18-6)
 47% 3% 0% 0%
11 46
Yale (17-4)
 55% 1% 0% 0%
12 47
Belmont (22-3)
 29% 1% 0% 0%
12 48
Tulsa (20-4)
 34% 1% 0% 0%
12 49
Akron (19-5)
 43% 2% 0% 0%
12 50
Liberty (20-3)
 33% 0% 0% 0%
13 51
Utah Valley (18-6)
 52% 1% 0% 0%
13 52
Troy (17-8)
 40% 0% 0% 0%
13 53
Hofstra (16-9)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
13 54
McNeese (19-5)
 65% 2% 0% 0%
14 55
Hawai'i (17-5)
 39% 1% 0% 0%
14 56
Oakland (14-11)
 35% 0% 0% 0%
14 57
High Point (22-4)
 60% 2% 0% 0%
14 58
St Thomas (20-6)
 37% 0% 0% 0%
15 59
E Tennessee St (18-7)
 37% 0% 0% 0%
15 60
Portland St (16-6)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
15 61
Marist (16-8)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
Austin Peay (17-6)
 43% 0% 0% 0%
16 63
Bethune (12-11)
 27% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Navy (19-6)
 49% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
LIU (16-8)
 68% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Howard (15-9)
 44% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Vermont (15-10)
 46% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
UT Martin (19-6)
 27% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (16-7)
 36% 2% 0% 0%
Boise St (15-9)
 34% 1% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (20-6)
 33% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (12-12)
 33% 3% 0% 0%
Colgate (15-10)
 32% 0% 0% 0%
Wright St (16-9)
 31% 0% 0% 0%
Miami OH (24-0)
 31% 1% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (16-8)
 30% 0% 0% 0%
UMBC (14-8)
 28% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (16-8)
 28% 1% 0% 0%
New Mexico (18-6)
 27% 2% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (18-6)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
SF Austin (21-3)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (10-13)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (13-11)
 25% 1% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (11-14)
 24% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia Tech (16-8)
 24% 1% 0% 0%
NC Wilmington (19-4)
 24% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (18-8)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (18-5)
 22% 2% 0% 0%
Mercer (15-10)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (16-8)
 21% 0% 0% 0%
Baylor (13-10)
 20% 2% 0% 0%
Montana St (14-11)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
C Connecticut (13-10)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Houston (16-8)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (17-8)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
C Arkansas (14-10)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (11-10)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri St (15-10)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling (11-11)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (18-7)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Tennessee St (16-8)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (15-10)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
App State (17-9)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (17-7)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (17-9)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (16-9)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (16-9)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (16-9)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (14-11)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (15-9)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (16-8)
 15% 1% 0% 0%
Memphis (12-11)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (15-10)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (14-11)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (15-10)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (15-10)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (11-14)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
William & Mary (15-9)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (15-9)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (13-9)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (8-13)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (13-11)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (15-9)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (16-8)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (14-9)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston (16-8)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
UT Arlington (14-9)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (17-8)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Peter's (14-8)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (16-7)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
George Mason (21-3)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
American (13-12)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
UCSD (16-9)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (13-12)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (8-17)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Robert Morris (16-10)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville St (13-10)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (13-12)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (17-7)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (15-8)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (16-9)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Purdue FW (14-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (13-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Kent St (17-7)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Green (14-10)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (15-9)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (15-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (14-11)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (13-12)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Weber St (12-13)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (14-11)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
AR-Pine Bluff (10-13)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Texas So (7-14)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (10-13)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
G Washington (13-11)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (11-12)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (13-12)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
E Washington (7-17)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (9-16)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Penn (11-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois Chicago (13-12)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
UMass Lowell (10-15)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
NC Asheville (11-13)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (12-14)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (16-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Atlantic (14-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Youngstown St (12-13)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (12-12)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Omaha (12-14)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (13-10)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (12-13)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama A&M (12-11)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
New Hampshire (8-14)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
UT Rio Grande (13-11)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (9-16)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (7-16)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Green Bay (14-12)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (13-13)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
CS Northridge (15-10)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (9-14)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (15-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (15-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton St (12-12)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (10-15)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (11-12)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (14-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (10-14)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico St (11-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (12-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (13-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (10-15)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana Tech (13-10)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (8-17)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
FGCU (10-15)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (15-10)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (14-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
UMass (15-10)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (14-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (14-13)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (11-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (12-12)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (15-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (8-15)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (9-16)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (13-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (13-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Sacramento St (9-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
California (17-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M-CC (13-11)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (15-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (8-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (6-19)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (10-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho St (10-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (13-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (6-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (7-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (11-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (12-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (10-11)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston So (11-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (12-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (11-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina St (6-17)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (15-11)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (11-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (8-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Heart (10-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (8-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (12-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Mary's (11-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (12-12)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (14-9)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Texas St (15-11)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (8-14)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Little Rock (9-16)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (14-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (13-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (8-17)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (12-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (13-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (12-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (12-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (11-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit Mercy (10-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
NC Greensboro (10-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (10-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
J Madison (12-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (14-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (11-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (12-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
TCU (14-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (10-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Milwaukee (9-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (14-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola MD (9-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Texas (13-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn St (4-18)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (13-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (13-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (8-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (10-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Joseph's (15-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (8-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Southern Miss (13-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (10-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (13-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls (10-14)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (9-16)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastern (6-17)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (14-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (5-20)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
UTEP (9-15)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi St (11-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Francis PA (6-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (13-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (13-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonaventure (14-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incarnate Word (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia So (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
West Virginia (15-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (10-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long Beach St (8-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (4-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (16-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (14-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
The Citadel (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (9-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (11-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington St (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tenn Tech (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (13-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (15-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (11-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (7-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas City (4-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (6-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VMI (6-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (5-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball St (8-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (7-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (8-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IU Indy (7-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (7-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (6-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (7-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Texas A&M (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (5-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (10-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Michigan (7-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (7-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (6-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (6-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (5-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Carolina (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (8-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hou Christian (8-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (8-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (12-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Valley St (1-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Chi (6-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (10-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (9-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfield (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (7-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (3-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston College (9-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia Tech (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gardner-Webb (3-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (9-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UL Monroe (4-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn St (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (6-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (3-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercyhurst (12-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Haven (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (4-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Georgia (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Le Moyne (12-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin St (4-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTSA (4-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC uses a KenPom-based method to seed its conference tournament. Seeding is based on a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. Our projections do not cover this unique seeding method, and will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Once the official bracket is set, we will use that.