Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Houston (7-0)
100% 74% 35% 14%
1 2
Texas (6-0)
99% 62% 23% 7%
1 3
Purdue (7-0)
100% 62% 21% 6%
1 4
Tennessee (6-1)
100% 65% 25% 8%
2 5
Gonzaga (5-2)
100% 65% 23% 7%
2 6 99% 65% 23% 7%
2 7
Indiana (7-0)
100% 63% 23% 7%
2 8
Alabama (6-1)
100% 55% 17% 4%
3 9
Virginia (6-0)
95% 47% 12% 3%
3 10
Arizona (6-1)
97% 46% 12% 3%
3 11
Kentucky (5-2)
90% 44% 13% 3%
3 12
UCLA (6-2)
98% 48% 14% 4%
4 13
Maryland (7-0)
95% 39% 9% 2%
4 14
Baylor (5-2)
96% 41% 10% 2%
4 15
Kansas (8-1)
99% 38% 8% 2%
4 16
Creighton (6-2)
97% 39% 9% 2%
5 17
Duke (7-2)
95% 37% 8% 2%
5 18
Arkansas (6-1)
95% 35% 7% 1%
5 19
Illinois (6-1)
91% 40% 11% 2%
5 20 95% 35% 7% 1%
6 21
Iowa (6-1)
92% 35% 8% 2%
6 22
Auburn (7-0)
95% 30% 5% 1%
6 23 98% 33% 7% 1%
6 24 94% 28% 5% 1%
7 25 65% 21% 4% 1%
7 26
Xavier (5-3)
89% 24% 5% 1%
7 27 88% 24% 5% 1%
7 28 67% 14% 2% 0%
8 29
St Marys (6-2)
82% 17% 3% 0%
8 30
Memphis (5-2)
70% 16% 3% 0%
8 31 67% 20% 4% 1%
8 32 76% 18% 3% 0%
9 33
Marquette (6-2)
70% 16% 3% 0%
9 34
UAB (6-1)
73% 14% 2% 0%
9 35
NC State (7-1)
57% 13% 2% 0%
9 36
Oklahoma (6-1)
73% 13% 2% 0%
10 37 83% 13% 2% 0%
10 38
Rutgers (5-2)
59% 14% 3% 0%
10 39 56% 10% 1% 0%
10 40 71% 12% 2% 0%
11 41 59% 7% 1% 0%
11 42 55% 8% 1% 0%
11 43 48% 8% 1% 0%
11 44
Missouri (8-0)
44% 10% 1% 0%
11 45
Kansas St (6-1)
46% 7% 1% 0%
11 46
Wisconsin (5-2)
45% 6% 1% 0%
12 47
Dayton (4-4)
42% 5% 0% 0%
12 48
Drake (6-1)
27% 2% 0% 0%
12 49
James Mad (6-2)
44% 5% 1% 0%
12 50
UC Irvine (6-2)
53% 5% 0% 0%
13 51 39% 3% 0% 0%
13 52
Yale (7-1)
55% 5% 0% 0%
13 53 33% 2% 0% 0%
13 54 38% 3% 0% 0%
14 55 31% 1% 0% 0%
14 56
Furman (5-2)
41% 3% 0% 0%
14 57
Iona (2-2)
41% 2% 0% 0%
14 58
Bryant (6-1)
45% 2% 0% 0%
15 59 46% 1% 0% 0%
15 60
Colgate (5-4)
51% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Youngs St (5-3)
27% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
Gard-Webb (2-5)
20% 0% 0% 0%
16 63
TX A&M-CC (4-4)
36% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Southern (3-4)
35% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Wagner (4-2)
50% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 30% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 25% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 29% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (4-4)
46% 7% 1% 0%
Texas A&M (5-2)
42% 8% 1% 0%
40% 1% 0% 0%
38% 4% 0% 0%
Michigan (5-2)
38% 4% 0% 0%
38% 4% 0% 0%
Nevada (7-1)
36% 3% 0% 0%
VA Tech (7-1)
35% 6% 1% 0%
Florida (5-3)
35% 6% 1% 0%
UNLV (7-0)
34% 3% 0% 0%
Toledo (5-2)
32% 2% 0% 0%
Butler (5-3)
31% 4% 0% 0%
30% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (4-3)
29% 1% 0% 0%
29% 5% 1% 0%
Colorado (4-4)
28% 4% 0% 0%
27% 5% 1% 0%
26% 4% 0% 0%
Utah (6-2)
26% 5% 1% 0%
25% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (7-1)
25% 1% 0% 0%
25% 3% 0% 0%
Morgan St (3-5)
24% 0% 0% 0%
23% 0% 0% 0%
23% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (5-2)
22% 0% 0% 0%
21% 3% 0% 0%
20% 1% 0% 0%
20% 2% 0% 0%
20% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (5-2)
20% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (4-4)
19% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (6-1)
19% 1% 0% 0%
NW State (6-2)
19% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (6-1)
19% 3% 0% 0%
18% 1% 0% 0%
USC (5-3)
18% 2% 0% 0%
18% 0% 0% 0%
18% 0% 0% 0%
18% 1% 0% 0%
Villanova (2-5)
17% 2% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% 0%
VCU (5-2)
17% 1% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (5-3)
17% 1% 0% 0%
St Johns (8-0)
16% 3% 0% 0%
16% 2% 0% 0%
16% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (6-3)
15% 0% 0% 0%
15% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (6-3)
14% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (6-2)
14% 1% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (4-4)
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 1% 0% 0%
Seattle (6-1)
14% 1% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (3-4)
13% 0% 0% 0%
13% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (4-4)
13% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (4-3)
13% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (5-3)
13% 0% 0% 0%
13% 2% 0% 0%
13% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (3-4)
13% 1% 0% 0%
13% 1% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (5-2)
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (4-3)
11% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (5-3)
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (4-2)
10% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (4-4)
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (5-1)
10% 0% 0% 0%
BYU (5-3)
10% 1% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (4-3)
10% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (5-3)
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (3-5)
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (3-7)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (4-3)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (5-3)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (3-4)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (5-3)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (5-2)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (6-1)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (4-4)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 1% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (5-2)
8% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
American (5-2)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (4-3)
7% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (4-4)
7% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (5-5)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (4-4)
6% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (3-5)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (2-4)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (3-3)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (4-4)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (4-6)
6% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (3-6)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (6-2)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (6-2)
6% 1% 0% 0%
UC Davis (6-3)
6% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 1% 0% 0%
S Utah (4-4)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (6-1)
5% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (3-5)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (6-2)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (4-2)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (2-6)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (7-1)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (3-4)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (3-5)
4% 1% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (4-3)
4% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (3-7)
4% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (2-4)
4% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (6-2)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (4-4)
4% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (4-3)
4% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (1-5)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (3-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (4-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (4-3)
3% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (4-4)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (2-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (3-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
App State (5-3)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (4-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (1-7)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (3-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (5-2)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (3-3)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (4-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Army (3-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (2-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (4-3)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (2-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (3-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (2-7)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (3-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (5-3)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (3-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (3-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (6-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (4-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (1-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (3-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (7-1)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (2-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (4-3)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (3-3)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (1-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (6-2)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (3-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (3-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (4-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (5-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (2-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (2-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (5-2)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (2-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (4-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (1-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (5-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (5-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (0-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (1-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (3-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (4-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (2-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (1-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (4-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (3-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (3-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (6-2)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (1-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (3-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC is using a creative new method to seed its conference tournament this season. Seeding will be based on the NET and KenPom, and will evaluate a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. For now, our projections will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Later in the season, as we see how this all plays out, we may make some adjustments.