Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Gonzaga (14-0)
100% 81% 44% 18%
1 2
Baylor (13-0)
100% 82% 47% 21%
1 3
Iowa (12-2)
100% 74% 34% 11%
1 4
Michigan (12-1)
100% 63% 21% 5%
2 5
Houston (12-1)
100% 63% 19% 4%
2 6
Alabama (12-3)
100% 56% 14% 2%
2 7
Texas (11-2)
100% 58% 16% 3%
2 8
Villanova (9-1)
100% 59% 18% 4%
3 9
Wisconsin (12-3)
99% 48% 11% 2%
3 10
Tennessee (10-2)
96% 50% 13% 3%
3 11
Illinois (10-5)
99% 54% 17% 4%
3 12
Virginia (9-2)
98% 48% 12% 3%
4 13 95% 40% 9% 1%
4 14
Kansas (10-4)
100% 42% 9% 2%
4 15
Texas Tech (11-4)
96% 40% 10% 2%
4 16
Ohio State (11-4)
96% 34% 6% 1%
5 17
Missouri (9-2)
98% 25% 3% 0%
5 18 100% 35% 7% 1%
5 19
Minnesota (11-4)
95% 27% 4% 0%
5 20
USC (11-3)
95% 29% 5% 1%
6 21
Colorado (11-4)
98% 34% 7% 1%
6 22
UCLA (11-2)
96% 27% 4% 1%
6 23
Florida (7-4)
96% 28% 5% 1%
6 24
Oregon (9-2)
93% 30% 6% 1%
7 25
Purdue (11-5)
90% 24% 3% 0%
7 26
LSU (10-3)
93% 26% 4% 1%
7 27
Creighton (10-4)
86% 33% 7% 1%
7 28 96% 17% 2% 0%
8 29
Oklahoma (8-4)
89% 25% 5% 1%
8 30 74% 17% 2% 0%
8 31
74% 16% 2% 0%
8 32
BYU (11-3)
93% 13% 1% 0%
9 33 82% 14% 2% 0%
9 34
Clemson (9-3)
77% 13% 2% 0%
9 35
Xavier (10-2)
73% 13% 1% 0%
9 36
VA Tech (11-2)
73% 14% 2% 0%
10 37 87% 14% 2% 0%
10 38 82% 11% 1% 0%
10 39 68% 18% 3% 0%
10 40 59% 10% 1% 0%
11 41
Indiana (8-6)
68% 14% 2% 0%
11 42
Stanford (8-5)
68% 9% 1% 0%
11 43
Richmond (9-3)
64% 8% 1% 0%
11 44
Arkansas (11-4)
57% 12% 2% 0%
11 45
Rutgers (7-5)
53% 9% 1% 0%
12 46
Colgate (5-1)
65% 5% 0% 0%
12 47 51% 6% 1% 0%
12 48 45% 4% 0% 0%
12 49
Loyola-Chi (11-3)
48% 8% 1% 0%
12 50
Furman (10-4)
44% 3% 0% 0%
13 51 68% 4% 0% 0%
13 52
Winthrop (15-0)
67% 2% 0% 0%
13 53 35% 1% 0% 0%
13 54
Toledo (12-4)
32% 2% 0% 0%
14 55
Liberty (12-5)
71% 2% 0% 0%
14 56
Vermont (7-3)
57% 3% 0% 0%
14 57
Belmont (14-1)
45% 1% 0% 0%
14 58 47% 2% 0% 0%
15 59
Bryant (10-3)
47% 0% 0% 0%
15 60 33% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Siena (6-0)
29% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
UC Irvine (6-4)
28% 1% 0% 0%
16 63 45% 1% 0% 0%
16 64 36% 0% 0% 0%
16 65 34% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 31% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 23% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
UAB (10-2)
22% 1% 0% 0%
43% 6% 1% 0%
Utah State (12-3)
41% 7% 1% 0%
40% 4% 0% 0%
Duke (5-4)
36% 6% 1% 0%
35% 4% 0% 0%
Drake (13-0)
33% 4% 0% 0%
33% 4% 0% 0%
Maryland (8-7)
32% 4% 0% 0%
31% 1% 0% 0%
GA Tech (7-3)
31% 5% 1% 0%
29% 5% 1% 0%
Marquette (8-6)
29% 3% 0% 0%
UCSB (8-3)
28% 1% 0% 0%
27% 1% 0% 0%
Syracuse (8-4)
27% 4% 1% 0%
26% 0% 0% 0%
26% 0% 0% 0%
Kentucky (4-9)
25% 3% 0% 0%
Monmouth (7-4)
25% 0% 0% 0%
25% 1% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (11-4)
23% 1% 0% 0%
22% 1% 0% 0%
22% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (3-4)
21% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (7-4)
21% 1% 0% 0%
21% 3% 0% 0%
VCU (10-4)
21% 2% 0% 0%
LIU (4-2)
20% 0% 0% 0%
20% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (5-6)
19% 0% 0% 0%
18% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (8-4)
18% 1% 0% 0%
18% 1% 0% 0%
17% 1% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (12-2)
17% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (6-5)
16% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (6-5)
16% 0% 0% 0%
16% 0% 0% 0%
16% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (6-4)
16% 0% 0% 0%
15% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (5-5)
15% 1% 0% 0%
15% 0% 0% 0%
15% 1% 0% 0%
NC State (6-4)
14% 2% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (9-7)
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (5-3)
13% 0% 0% 0%
13% 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (7-6)
12% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (6-4)
12% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (6-7)
12% 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (10-2)
11% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (8-5)
11% 1% 0% 0%
LA Tech (11-4)
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (9-1)
11% 0% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (6-3)
11% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (9-5)
10% 1% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 1% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (4-9)
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 1% 0% 0%
10% 1% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (8-3)
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (10-6)
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (8-3)
9% 1% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (5-1)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Army (8-3)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 1% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (3-0)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (9-4)
8% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (6-5)
7% 1% 0% 0%
Sac State (5-2)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 1% 0% 0%
St Marys (9-5)
7% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (3-5)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (7-5)
7% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (3-5)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (9-5)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 1% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (5-8)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (3-3)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (7-6)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (5-1)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (2-2)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (9-6)
5% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (5-9)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (6-5)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (3-3)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (5-6)
5% 0% 0% 0%
App State (10-5)
4% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (7-6)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (5-7)
4% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (4-6)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (3-3)
4% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (5-3)
4% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (8-9)
3% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (3-3)
3% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-10)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (4-6)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (8-7)
3% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (4-6)
3% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (2-5)
3% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (7-5)
3% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (4-6)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-6)
3% 0% 0% 0%
American (0-2)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (10-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (5-7)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (7-5)
2% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (8-7)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (3-7)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (3-10)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (0-2)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (6-6)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (5-13)
2% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (1-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (2-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (9-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (5-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (2-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (4-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (3-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (7-8)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (10-4)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (1-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (5-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (6-8)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (2-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (7-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (3-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (3-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (4-9)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (7-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (3-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (3-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (8-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (1-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (4-9)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (3-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (8-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (7-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (7-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (3-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (2-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (6-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (3-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (2-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (5-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (1-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (6-4)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (2-9)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (4-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (0-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (2-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (6-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (2-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (1-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (4-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (2-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (1-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (3-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (2-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (1-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (5-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (1-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (6-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (7-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (1-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona (10-3)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (8-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%