Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Gonzaga (15-2)
100% 83% 46% 21%
1 2
Auburn (18-1)
100% 69% 24% 6%
1 3
Arizona (15-1)
100% 78% 37% 14%
1 4
Kansas (16-2)
100% 67% 22% 5%
2 5
Baylor (17-2)
100% 72% 27% 8%
2 6
Villanova (14-5)
100% 65% 20% 5%
2 7
Purdue (15-3)
100% 68% 24% 7%
2 8
Houston (17-2)
100% 67% 23% 6%
3 9
Kentucky (15-4)
100% 58% 18% 5%
3 10
Xavier (14-3)
100% 40% 7% 1%
3 11
LSU (15-4)
100% 52% 13% 3%
3 12
Duke (15-3)
99% 53% 14% 3%
4 13
UCLA (13-2)
99% 49% 11% 2%
4 14
Illinois (13-5)
100% 49% 13% 3%
4 15
100% 36% 6% 1%
4 16
98% 43% 9% 2%
5 17
Wisconsin (15-3)
100% 27% 3% 0%
5 18
Texas Tech (15-4)
97% 40% 8% 1%
5 19
Alabama (13-6)
100% 39% 7% 1%
5 20
Tennessee (13-5)
100% 44% 10% 2%
6 21
Ohio State (12-4)
99% 32% 5% 1%
6 22
Providence (15-2)
98% 16% 1% 0%
6 23
Seton Hall (12-5)
94% 29% 5% 1%
6 24
USC (16-2)
87% 24% 4% 0%
7 25
Indiana (14-4)
89% 24% 4% 0%
7 26
Texas (14-5)
85% 26% 5% 1%
7 27
72% 14% 1% 0%
7 28
78% 12% 1% 0%
8 29
Marquette (13-6)
98% 12% 1% 0%
8 30
BYU (17-4)
84% 12% 1% 0%
8 31
Iowa (14-5)
78% 22% 4% 1%
8 32
Florida St (13-5)
76% 10% 1% 0%
9 33 78% 10% 1% 0%
9 34
Florida (12-6)
75% 17% 3% 0%
9 35
Oregon (11-6)
71% 11% 1% 0%
9 36
Michigan (8-7)
89% 18% 3% 0%
10 37
W Virginia (13-5)
90% 10% 1% 0%
10 38
St Marys (15-4)
76% 11% 1% 0%
10 39
Creighton (12-5)
72% 7% 1% 0%
10 40
N Carolina (12-6)
74% 10% 1% 0%
11 41 67% 7% 1% 0%
11 42
Oklahoma (12-7)
69% 11% 1% 0%
11 43
Miss State (13-5)
60% 9% 1% 0%
11 44
Arkansas (14-5)
52% 10% 1% 0%
11 45
Iowa State (14-5)
47% 5% 0% 0%
11 46
Davidson (16-2)
46% 5% 0% 0%
12 47
Iona (15-3)
48% 3% 0% 0%
12 48
Loyola-Chi (14-3)
46% 7% 1% 0%
12 49
UAB (16-4)
47% 7% 1% 0%
12 50
36% 2% 0% 0%
13 51
Murray St (17-2)
55% 6% 0% 0%
13 52
59% 4% 0% 0%
13 53
Vermont (13-4)
76% 5% 0% 0%
13 54
Toledo (15-4)
39% 3% 0% 0%
14 55
Wagner (11-2)
68% 2% 0% 0%
14 56
Liberty (13-6)
48% 1% 0% 0%
14 57
Oakland (14-5)
43% 1% 0% 0%
14 58
UC Irvine (6-7)
31% 1% 0% 0%
15 59
Princeton (15-3)
31% 1% 0% 0%
15 60
Colgate (7-10)
60% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Towson (14-6)
30% 1% 0% 0%
15 62
26% 1% 0% 0%
16 63
43% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
38% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Norfolk St (13-4)
36% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Longwood (12-5)
34% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
28% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
S Alabama (14-5)
21% 0% 0% 0%
VCU (11-6)
50% 4% 0% 0%
47% 4% 0% 0%
39% 5% 1% 0%
Belmont (14-5)
37% 3% 0% 0%
36% 1% 0% 0%
36% 3% 0% 0%
Wyoming (15-2)
35% 3% 0% 0%
Stanford (11-6)
34% 1% 0% 0%
Furman (14-7)
34% 2% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (14-5)
33% 2% 0% 0%
Howard (7-8)
33% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (12-6)
30% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (12-7)
29% 1% 0% 0%
Minnesota (11-5)
29% 2% 0% 0%
Yale (8-9)
28% 0% 0% 0%
28% 4% 0% 0%
Memphis (9-8)
27% 4% 1% 0%
Southern (10-8)
27% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (10-9)
26% 2% 0% 0%
26% 2% 0% 0%
24% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (11-6)
23% 1% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (14-4)
23% 1% 0% 0%
Navy (12-7)
23% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (14-3)
22% 1% 0% 0%
20% 1% 0% 0%
20% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (10-6)
19% 1% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (15-5)
19% 0% 0% 0%
VA Tech (10-8)
19% 4% 1% 0%
S Utah (11-5)
18% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (9-8)
18% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (15-4)
18% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (12-7)
18% 1% 0% 0%
18% 1% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% 0%
17% 0% 0% 0%
17% 2% 0% 0%
Montana (13-6)
16% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (14-5)
16% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (9-5)
16% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (12-6)
16% 2% 0% 0%
15% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (10-10)
15% 0% 0% 0%
App State (12-9)
14% 0% 0% 0%
14% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (12-8)
14% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (15-4)
14% 1% 0% 0%
13% 0% 0% 0%
Louisville (11-8)
13% 1% 0% 0%
Richmond (12-7)
13% 1% 0% 0%
Utah State (10-9)
13% 1% 0% 0%
Harvard (10-6)
13% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (7-7)
12% 0% 0% 0%
12% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (10-8)
12% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (14-6)
12% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (8-8)
12% 0% 0% 0%
11% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (14-6)
11% 1% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (10-7)
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
10% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (10-8)
10% 1% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (9-10)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (10-11)
9% 0% 0% 0%
9% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (7-12)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (12-5)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (13-8)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (4-13)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (13-5)
9% 1% 0% 0%
McNeese St (8-12)
9% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (10-6)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (6-10)
8% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (9-9)
8% 0% 0% 0%
8% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (7-6)
8% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (8-8)
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
7% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (14-5)
6% 1% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (6-9)
6% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (10-9)
6% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (8-5)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (13-6)
6% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (7-10)
6% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (11-8)
6% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (9-7)
6% 0% 0% 0%
6% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (10-7)
6% 1% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (9-10)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (10-10)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (11-8)
5% 1% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (12-5)
5% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (10-8)
5% 0% 0% 0%
5% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (8-10)
5% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (8-9)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia (11-8)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (10-10)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Army (12-8)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (12-9)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (12-7)
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
4% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (8-7)
4% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (10-9)
3% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (11-7)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (10-9)
3% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (12-8)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (12-7)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (10-8)
3% 0% 0% 0%
3% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (9-11)
3% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (10-6)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (15-4)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (8-10)
2% 0% 0% 0%
2% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (10-8)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (12-6)
2% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (10-7)
2% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (7-10)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (3-11)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (5-15)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (6-10)
2% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (10-7)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (11-7)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (8-11)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (10-5)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (6-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (7-11)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (4-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (10-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (10-8)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (7-11)
1% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (10-8)
1% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (7-11)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (4-14)
1% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (7-13)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (10-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (10-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (8-9)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (6-7)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (4-16)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (5-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (5-13)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (8-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (4-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (7-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (8-10)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (5-9)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (6-12)
1% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (11-7)
1% 0% 0% 0%
1% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (7-13)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (7-9)
1% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (10-6)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (11-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (6-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (8-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (5-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (7-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (6-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (8-9)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (4-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (4-16)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (8-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (9-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (4-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (7-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (6-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (8-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (3-15)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (9-9)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (9-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (7-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (5-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (7-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-15)
0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (4-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (7-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (8-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (4-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (8-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (11-7)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (4-16)
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-16)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (6-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (11-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (3-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (6-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (6-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
American (5-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (8-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (6-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (5-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (6-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (7-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (9-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (3-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-17)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (6-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (4-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (6-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (7-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (4-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (10-9)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (2-17)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (5-12)
0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (4-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (5-14)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (6-15)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (3-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (1-17)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (6-13)
0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (2-16)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
Dixie State (10-10)
0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (11-8)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (8-11)
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (12-5)
0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: These games count in the Northeast Conference standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • December 28th: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Fairleigh Dickinson
  • December 31st: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Wagner
  • January 6th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Merrimack
  • January 6th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Central Connecticut State
  • January 8th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Bryant
  • January 8th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Wagner

NOTE: These games count in the SWAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • January 3rd: Prairie View A&M forfeit loss to Grambling State
  • January 5th: Prairie View A&M forfeit loss to Southern

NOTE: These games count in the WAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • January 6th: Lamar forfeit loss to New Mexico State
  • January 8th: Lamar forfeit loss to Grand Canyon