Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Gonzaga (26-3)
 100% 86% 52% 28%
1 2
Kansas (28-6)
 100% 69% 27% 7%
1 3
Arizona (31-3)
 100% 74% 34% 12%
1 4
Auburn (27-5)
 100% 65% 20% 4%
2 5
Baylor (26-6)
 100% 68% 23% 6%
2 6
Wisconsin (24-7)
 100% 38% 4% 0%
2 7
Villanova (26-7)
 100% 64% 19% 4%
2 8
Kentucky (26-7)
 100% 68% 21% 5%
3 9
Tennessee (25-7)
 100% 62% 20% 5%
3 10
Providence (25-5)
 100% 32% 3% 0%
3 11
Purdue (27-6)
 100% 64% 20% 5%
3 12
UCLA (25-7)
 100% 62% 17% 3%
4 13
Texas Tech (25-9)
 100% 56% 12% 2%
4 14
Illinois (22-9)
 100% 49% 11% 2%
4 15
Arkansas (25-8)
 100% 40% 7% 1%
4 16
Duke (28-6)
 100% 51% 13% 3%
5 17
Colorado St (25-5)
 99% 19% 1% 0%
5 18
Boise State (27-7)
 100% 17% 1% 0%
5 19
Connecticut (23-9)
 100% 33% 6% 1%
5 20
Houston (28-5)
 100% 49% 16% 4%
6 21
Davidson (27-5)
 99% 13% 1% 0%
6 22
USC (26-7)
 96% 18% 2% 0%
6 23
Ohio State (19-11)
 100% 25% 4% 0%
6 24
Memphis (21-9)
 99% 23% 4% 0%
7 25
Alabama (19-13)
 100% 23% 4% 0%
7 26
St Marys (25-7)
 100% 20% 3% 0%
7 27
San Diego St (23-8)
 100% 16% 2% 0%
7 28
Iowa (25-9)
 100% 38% 11% 2%
8 29
Seton Hall (21-10)
 99% 19% 3% 0%
8 30
LSU (22-11)
 100% 26% 5% 1%
8 31
Michigan St (22-12)
 100% 20% 3% 0%
8 32
Creighton (22-11)
 100% 12% 1% 0%
9 33
Wyoming (25-8)
 96% 6% 0% 0%
9 34
Texas (21-11)
 99% 25% 5% 1%
9 35
Marquette (19-12)
 100% 12% 1% 0%
9 36
Iowa State (20-12)
 99% 8% 0% 0%
10 37
N Carolina (24-9)
 89% 15% 2% 0%
10 38
Miami (FL) (23-10)
 87% 7% 0% 0%
10 39
Michigan (17-14)
 99% 20% 3% 0%
10 40
N Mex State (26-6)
 100% 4% 0% 0%
11 41
TX Christian (20-12)
 100% 11% 1% 0%
11 42
Xavier (18-13)
 86% 12% 1% 0%
11 43
Rutgers (18-13)
 56% 5% 0% 0%
11 44
San Francisco (24-9)
 79% 12% 1% 0%
11 45
Chattanooga (27-7)
 100% 5% 0% 0%
12 46
VA Tech (23-12)
 100% 25% 4% 0%
12 47
Loyola-Chi (25-7)
 100% 17% 2% 0%
12 48
Indiana (20-13)
 41% 8% 1% 0%
12 49
Oklahoma (18-15)
 98% 13% 2% 0%
12 50
Murray St (30-2)
 100% 12% 1% 0%
13 51
UAB (27-7)
 100% 13% 1% 0%
13 52
S Dakota St (30-4)
 100% 8% 0% 0%
13 53
Vermont (28-5)
 100% 10% 1% 0%
13 54
Princeton (23-5)
 58% 2% 0% 0%
14 55
Georgia St (18-10)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
14 56
Akron (24-9)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
14 57
St Peters (19-11)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
14 58
Jksnville St (21-10)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 59
Montana St (27-7)
 74% 1% 0% 0%
15 60
Longwood (26-6)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Delaware (22-12)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 62
CS Fullerton (21-10)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
16 63
Wright State (21-13)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
TX A&M-CC (23-11)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Bryant (22-9)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Colgate (23-11)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
16 67
Norfolk St (24-6)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
TX Southern (18-12)
 73% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (22-12)
 42% 3% 0% 0%
Yale (18-11)
 42% 1% 0% 0%
VCU (21-9)
 38% 3% 0% 0%
W Virginia (16-17)
 31% 2% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (23-11)
 25% 4% 0% 0%
Southern (17-14)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (22-10)
 14% 2% 0% 0%
S Methodist (23-8)
 13% 2% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (17-16)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (18-14)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (20-15)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (14-17)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (14-17)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (19-14)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (18-15)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Miss State (18-15)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (18-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
BYU (22-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Florida (19-13)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (20-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah State (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (24-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (25-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (19-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (25-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (22-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (26-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (24-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (25-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (24-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (24-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (21-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (22-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (23-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas State (21-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (8-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (12-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (15-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (23-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (4-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisville (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (6-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (11-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (17-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (16-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (4-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (15-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (16-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (9-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (18-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (7-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (6-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (12-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (19-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (11-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (22-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (2-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (7-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (16-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (7-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (19-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (6-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (13-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (14-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (20-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC San Diego (13-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (5-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (5-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (6-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (6-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (12-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (18-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (21-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (20-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (15-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (16-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (13-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (11-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (12-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (17-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (11-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (16-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (12-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (17-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (8-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (15-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (6-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (16-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (6-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (12-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (11-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (19-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (2-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (10-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (9-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (9-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (13-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (16-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (8-24)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (21-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (4-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (20-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (13-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (14-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (3-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (20-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (15-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (7-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (15-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (16-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (13-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (17-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (7-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (8-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (5-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (23-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (18-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (15-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (20-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (14-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (2-27)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (13-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (19-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (23-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (17-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (7-26)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (21-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (13-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (8-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (17-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (15-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (10-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton State (14-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (17-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (15-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (7-25)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (3-28)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (16-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (19-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dixie State (13-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (21-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (17-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (11-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (17-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (11-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (9-23)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (18-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (15-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (12-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (14-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (9-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (18-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (15-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (13-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (14-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St. Thomas (MN) (10-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: These games count in the Northeast Conference standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • December 29th: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Fairleigh Dickinson
  • December 31st: Mount St. Mary's forfeit loss to Wagner
  • January 6th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Merrimack
  • January 6th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Central Connecticut State
  • January 8th: Fairleigh Dickinson forfeit loss to Bryant
  • January 8th: Sacred Heart forfeit loss to Wagner

NOTE: These games count in the SWAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • January 3rd: Prairie View A&M forfeit loss to Grambling State
  • January 5th: Prairie View A&M forfeit loss to Southern

NOTE: These games count in the WAC standings, but are not recognized by the NCAA, so are not included in overall team records and will not be considered for bracketology purposes:

  • January 6th: Lamar forfeit loss to New Mexico State
  • January 8th: Lamar forfeit loss to Grand Canyon