Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Houston (7-0)
 100% 74% 35% 14%
1 2
Texas (6-0)
 99% 62% 23% 7%
1 3
Purdue (7-0)
 100% 62% 21% 6%
1 4
Tennessee (6-1)
 100% 65% 25% 8%
2 5
Gonzaga (5-2)
 100% 65% 23% 7%
2 6
Connecticut (9-0)
 99% 65% 23% 7%
2 7
Indiana (7-0)
 100% 63% 23% 7%
2 8
Alabama (6-1)
 100% 55% 17% 4%
3 9
Virginia (6-0)
 95% 47% 12% 3%
3 10
Arizona (6-1)
 97% 46% 12% 3%
3 11
Kentucky (5-2)
 90% 44% 13% 3%
3 12
UCLA (6-2)
 98% 48% 14% 4%
4 13
Maryland (7-0)
 95% 39% 9% 2%
4 14
Baylor (5-2)
 96% 41% 10% 2%
4 15
Kansas (8-1)
 99% 38% 8% 2%
4 16
Creighton (6-2)
 97% 39% 9% 2%
5 17
Duke (7-2)
 95% 37% 8% 2%
5 18
Arkansas (6-1)
 95% 35% 7% 1%
5 19
Illinois (6-1)
 91% 40% 11% 2%
5 20
W Virginia (6-1)
 95% 35% 7% 1%
6 21
Iowa (6-1)
 92% 35% 8% 2%
6 22
Auburn (7-0)
 95% 30% 5% 1%
6 23
N Carolina (5-3)
 98% 33% 7% 1%
6 24
San Diego St (5-2)
 94% 28% 5% 1%
7 25
Miss State (7-0)
 65% 21% 4% 1%
7 26
Xavier (5-3)
 89% 24% 5% 1%
7 27
Ohio State (5-2)
 88% 24% 5% 1%
7 28
Utah State (6-0)
 67% 14% 2% 0%
8 29
St Marys (6-2)
 82% 17% 3% 0%
8 30
Memphis (5-2)
 70% 16% 3% 0%
8 31
Texas Tech (5-2)
 67% 20% 4% 1%
8 32
Iowa State (6-1)
 76% 18% 3% 0%
9 33
Marquette (6-2)
 70% 16% 3% 0%
9 34
UAB (6-1)
 73% 14% 2% 0%
9 35
NC State (7-1)
 57% 13% 2% 0%
9 36
Oklahoma (6-1)
 73% 13% 2% 0%
10 37
Michigan St (5-3)
 83% 13% 2% 0%
10 38
Rutgers (5-2)
 59% 14% 3% 0%
10 39
Arizona St (7-1)
 56% 10% 1% 0%
10 40
Oklahoma St (5-3)
 71% 12% 2% 0%
11 41
Saint Louis (6-2)
 59% 7% 1% 0%
11 42
Penn State (6-2)
 55% 8% 1% 0%
11 43
Mississippi (6-1)
 48% 8% 1% 0%
11 44
Missouri (8-0)
 44% 10% 1% 0%
11 45
Kansas St (6-1)
 46% 7% 1% 0%
11 46
Wisconsin (5-2)
 45% 6% 1% 0%
12 47
Dayton (4-4)
 42% 5% 0% 0%
12 48
Drake (6-1)
 27% 2% 0% 0%
12 49
James Mad (6-2)
 44% 5% 1% 0%
12 50
UC Irvine (6-2)
 53% 5% 0% 0%
13 51
Sam Hous St (6-1)
 39% 3% 0% 0%
13 52
Yale (7-1)
 55% 5% 0% 0%
13 53
Col Charlestn (7-1)
 33% 2% 0% 0%
13 54
Kent State (5-2)
 38% 3% 0% 0%
14 55
Fla Gulf Cst (6-2)
 31% 1% 0% 0%
14 56
Furman (5-2)
 41% 3% 0% 0%
14 57
Iona (2-2)
 41% 2% 0% 0%
14 58
Bryant (6-1)
 45% 2% 0% 0%
15 59
S Dakota St (3-4)
 46% 1% 0% 0%
15 60
Colgate (5-4)
 51% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Youngs St (5-3)
 27% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
Gard-Webb (2-5)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
16 63
TX A&M-CC (4-4)
 36% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Southern (3-4)
 35% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Wagner (4-2)
 50% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
Portland St (4-4)
 30% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
SIU Edward (6-2)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
Norfolk St (5-3)
 29% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (4-4)
 46% 7% 1% 0%
Texas A&M (5-2)
 42% 8% 1% 0%
Mass Lowell (7-1)
 40% 1% 0% 0%
Boise State (5-2)
 38% 4% 0% 0%
Michigan (5-2)
 38% 4% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (6-1)
 38% 4% 0% 0%
Nevada (7-1)
 36% 3% 0% 0%
VA Tech (7-1)
 35% 6% 1% 0%
Florida (5-3)
 35% 6% 1% 0%
UNLV (7-0)
 34% 3% 0% 0%
Toledo (5-2)
 32% 2% 0% 0%
Butler (5-3)
 31% 4% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (5-3)
 30% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (4-3)
 29% 1% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (7-1)
 29% 5% 1% 0%
Colorado (4-4)
 28% 4% 0% 0%
TX Christian (6-1)
 27% 5% 1% 0%
New Mexico (7-0)
 26% 4% 0% 0%
Utah (6-2)
 26% 5% 1% 0%
Nicholls St (3-4)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (7-1)
 25% 1% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (4-4)
 25% 3% 0% 0%
Morgan St (3-5)
 24% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (4-4)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (4-4)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (5-2)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (3-3)
 21% 3% 0% 0%
North Texas (5-2)
 20% 1% 0% 0%
Colorado St (6-2)
 20% 2% 0% 0%
Montana St (4-5)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (5-2)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (4-4)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (6-1)
 19% 1% 0% 0%
NW State (6-2)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (6-1)
 19% 3% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (6-2)
 18% 1% 0% 0%
USC (5-3)
 18% 2% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (4-3)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (4-3)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (5-2)
 18% 1% 0% 0%
Villanova (2-5)
 17% 2% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (5-3)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
VCU (5-2)
 17% 1% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (5-3)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (5-3)
 17% 1% 0% 0%
St Johns (8-0)
 16% 3% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (7-1)
 16% 2% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (3-5)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (6-3)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (7-1)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (6-3)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (4-3)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (6-3)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (6-2)
 14% 1% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (3-2)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (4-4)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (5-2)
 14% 1% 0% 0%
Seattle (6-1)
 14% 1% 0% 0%
Wright State (5-3)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (3-4)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (2-6)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (4-4)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (4-3)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (5-3)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (6-1)
 13% 2% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (6-3)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (3-4)
 13% 1% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (3-4)
 13% 1% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (4-4)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
TX Southern (1-7)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (5-2)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (4-4)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (4-3)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (5-3)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (2-5)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (4-3)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (4-2)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (4-4)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (5-3)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (5-1)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
BYU (5-3)
 10% 1% 0% 0%
N Mex State (3-2)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (4-3)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (5-3)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (7-1)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (3-6)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (3-5)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (4-4)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (3-7)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (4-3)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (5-3)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (3-4)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (5-3)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (4-4)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (5-2)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (5-2)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (6-1)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (4-4)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (6-1)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (5-2)
 8% 1% 0% 0%
High Point (6-1)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (5-2)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (5-3)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
American (5-2)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (3-4)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (4-3)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (4-4)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (5-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (8-0)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (2-5)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (4-4)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (3-5)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (2-4)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (7-1)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (3-3)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (3-6)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (4-4)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (4-6)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (3-6)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (6-2)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (5-3)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (4-4)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (6-2)
 6% 1% 0% 0%
UC Davis (6-3)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (2-6)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (4-3)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (5-3)
 5% 1% 0% 0%
S Utah (4-4)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (3-4)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (3-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (6-1)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (3-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (6-2)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (4-2)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (3-4)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (2-6)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (4-3)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (7-1)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (3-4)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (3-5)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (5-3)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (3-5)
 4% 1% 0% 0%
Central Conn (0-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (7-1)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (4-3)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (3-7)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (2-4)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (6-2)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (3-5)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (4-4)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (4-3)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (1-5)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (0-6)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (3-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (3-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (4-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (4-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (4-3)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (4-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (4-3)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (4-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (3-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (4-3)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (1-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Texas State (5-3)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (6-2)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (5-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (2-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (3-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (2-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
App State (5-3)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (4-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (1-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (3-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (5-2)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (4-3)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (1-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (3-3)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (2-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (4-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (5-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Army (3-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (2-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (4-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (4-3)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (4-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (2-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (6-2)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (4-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (6-3)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (2-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (4-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (3-4)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (3-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (2-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (4-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (2-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (1-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (2-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (1-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (5-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (3-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (3-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (5-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (6-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (5-2)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (4-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (1-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (1-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (7-1)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (5-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (2-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (2-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (2-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (2-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (4-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (5-2)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (3-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (3-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (2-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (3-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (3-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (1-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (1-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hsn Christian (1-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (6-2)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (3-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (2-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (4-2)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (1-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (3-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (4-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (3-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (1-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (2-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (1-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (5-2)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (2-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (4-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (1-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (2-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (6-2)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (1-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (0-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (1-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (3-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (5-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (0-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisville (0-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (0-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (2-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (1-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (4-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (3-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (3-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Queens (6-2)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (1-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton State (4-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC San Diego (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (2-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (2-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (4-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-Com (4-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St. Thomas (6-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%

NOTE: The WAC is using a creative new method to seed its conference tournament this season. Seeding will be based on the NET and KenPom, and will evaluate a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. For now, our projections will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Later in the season, as we see how this all plays out, we may make some adjustments.