Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Gonzaga (14-0)
 100% 81% 44% 18%
1 2
Baylor (13-0)
 100% 82% 47% 21%
1 3
Iowa (12-2)
 100% 74% 34% 11%
1 4
Michigan (12-1)
 100% 63% 21% 5%
2 5
Houston (12-1)
 100% 63% 19% 4%
2 6
Alabama (12-3)
 100% 56% 14% 2%
2 7
Texas (11-2)
 100% 58% 16% 3%
2 8
Villanova (9-1)
 100% 59% 18% 4%
3 9
Wisconsin (12-3)
 99% 48% 11% 2%
3 10
Tennessee (10-2)
 96% 50% 13% 3%
3 11
Illinois (10-5)
 99% 54% 17% 4%
3 12
Virginia (9-2)
 98% 48% 12% 3%
4 13
Florida St (8-2)
 95% 40% 9% 1%
4 14
Kansas (10-4)
 100% 42% 9% 2%
4 15
Texas Tech (11-4)
 96% 40% 10% 2%
4 16
Ohio State (11-4)
 96% 34% 6% 1%
5 17
Missouri (9-2)
 98% 25% 3% 0%
5 18
W Virginia (9-4)
 100% 35% 7% 1%
5 19
Minnesota (11-4)
 95% 27% 4% 0%
5 20
USC (11-3)
 95% 29% 5% 1%
6 21
Colorado (11-4)
 98% 34% 7% 1%
6 22
UCLA (11-2)
 96% 27% 4% 1%
6 23
Florida (7-4)
 96% 28% 5% 1%
6 24
Oregon (9-2)
 93% 30% 6% 1%
7 25
Purdue (11-5)
 90% 24% 3% 0%
7 26
LSU (10-3)
 93% 26% 4% 1%
7 27
Creighton (10-4)
 86% 33% 7% 1%
7 28
Oklahoma St (9-3)
 96% 17% 2% 0%
8 29
Oklahoma (8-4)
 89% 25% 5% 1%
8 30
Connecticut (7-2)
 74% 17% 2% 0%
8 31
Boise State (13-1)
 74% 16% 2% 0%
8 32
BYU (11-3)
 93% 13% 1% 0%
9 33
Louisville (9-3)
 82% 14% 2% 0%
9 34
Clemson (9-3)
 77% 13% 2% 0%
9 35
Xavier (10-2)
 73% 13% 1% 0%
9 36
VA Tech (11-2)
 73% 14% 2% 0%
10 37
N Carolina (9-5)
 87% 14% 2% 0%
10 38
Seton Hall (9-6)
 82% 11% 1% 0%
10 39
Saint Louis (7-1)
 68% 18% 3% 0%
10 40
S Methodist (7-2)
 59% 10% 1% 0%
11 41
Indiana (8-6)
 68% 14% 2% 0%
11 42
Stanford (8-5)
 68% 9% 1% 0%
11 43
Richmond (9-3)
 64% 8% 1% 0%
11 44
Arkansas (11-4)
 57% 12% 2% 0%
11 45
Rutgers (7-5)
 53% 9% 1% 0%
12 46
Colgate (5-1)
 65% 5% 0% 0%
12 47
St Bonavent (7-1)
 51% 6% 1% 0%
12 48
S Carolina (3-4)
 45% 4% 0% 0%
12 49
Loyola-Chi (11-3)
 48% 8% 1% 0%
12 50
Furman (10-4)
 44% 3% 0% 0%
13 51
Wright State (9-4)
 68% 4% 0% 0%
13 52
Winthrop (15-0)
 67% 2% 0% 0%
13 53
Georgia St (8-2)
 35% 1% 0% 0%
13 54
Toledo (12-4)
 32% 2% 0% 0%
14 55
Liberty (12-5)
 71% 2% 0% 0%
14 56
Vermont (7-3)
 57% 3% 0% 0%
14 57
Belmont (14-1)
 45% 1% 0% 0%
14 58
S Dakota St (8-3)
 47% 2% 0% 0%
15 59
Bryant (10-3)
 47% 0% 0% 0%
15 60
E Washingtn (3-5)
 33% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Siena (6-0)
 29% 0% 0% 0%
15 62
UC Irvine (6-4)
 28% 1% 0% 0%
16 63
Grd Canyon (8-3)
 45% 1% 0% 0%
16 64
Abl Christian (11-3)
 36% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
NC Central (1-3)
 34% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
TX Southern (2-7)
 31% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Northeastrn (7-5)
 23% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
UAB (10-2)
 22% 1% 0% 0%
San Diego St (9-4)
 43% 6% 1% 0%
Utah State (12-3)
 41% 7% 1% 0%
Wichita St (8-3)
 40% 4% 0% 0%
Duke (5-4)
 36% 6% 1% 0%
Providence (8-6)
 35% 4% 0% 0%
Drake (13-0)
 33% 4% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (8-2)
 33% 4% 0% 0%
Maryland (8-7)
 32% 4% 0% 0%
N Mex State (2-1)
 31% 1% 0% 0%
GA Tech (7-3)
 31% 5% 1% 0%
Michigan St (8-4)
 29% 5% 1% 0%
Marquette (8-6)
 29% 3% 0% 0%
UCSB (8-3)
 28% 1% 0% 0%
Central FL (3-5)
 27% 1% 0% 0%
Syracuse (8-4)
 27% 4% 1% 0%
Norfolk St (8-4)
 26% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (8-2)
 26% 0% 0% 0%
Kentucky (4-9)
 25% 3% 0% 0%
Monmouth (7-4)
 25% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (9-3)
 25% 1% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (11-4)
 23% 1% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (6-3)
 22% 1% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (12-5)
 22% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (3-4)
 21% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (7-4)
 21% 1% 0% 0%
Penn State (3-6)
 21% 3% 0% 0%
VCU (10-4)
 21% 2% 0% 0%
LIU (4-2)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (3-4)
 20% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (5-6)
 19% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (6-3)
 18% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (8-4)
 18% 1% 0% 0%
Kent State (7-3)
 18% 1% 0% 0%
North Texas (7-5)
 17% 1% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (12-2)
 17% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (6-5)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (6-5)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (10-3)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (9-5)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (6-4)
 16% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (6-6)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (5-5)
 15% 1% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (8-6)
 15% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (7-8)
 15% 1% 0% 0%
NC State (6-4)
 14% 2% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (7-7)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (2-6)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (9-7)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (7-5)
 14% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (5-3)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (4-5)
 13% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (10-4)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (7-6)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (6-4)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (6-7)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (5-7)
 12% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (10-2)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (8-5)
 11% 1% 0% 0%
LA Tech (11-4)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (6-5)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (9-1)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (9-4)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (6-3)
 11% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (9-4)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (9-5)
 10% 1% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (5-5)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (3-7)
 10% 1% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (4-9)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (9-7)
 10% 1% 0% 0%
Colorado St (10-3)
 10% 1% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (8-3)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (7-6)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (10-6)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (7-3)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (5-8)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (8-3)
 9% 1% 0% 0%
Texas State (9-4)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (5-1)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Army (8-3)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (9-5)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (7-6)
 8% 1% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (3-0)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (9-4)
 8% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (6-5)
 7% 1% 0% 0%
Sac State (5-2)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (6-7)
 7% 1% 0% 0%
St Marys (9-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (3-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (8-7)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (7-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (3-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (7-7)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (4-3)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (9-5)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (9-1)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (7-4)
 7% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (1-5)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (4-6)
 6% 1% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (5-4)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (5-8)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (3-3)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (2-7)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (7-6)
 6% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (5-1)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (9-4)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (6-6)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (7-4)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (6-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (2-2)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (9-6)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (5-9)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (9-6)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (8-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (6-5)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (3-3)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (5-6)
 5% 0% 0% 0%
App State (10-5)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (7-6)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (7-6)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (5-4)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (12-4)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (6-8)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (4-9)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (5-7)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (4-6)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (7-4)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (3-3)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (5-3)
 4% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (4-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (8-9)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (3-3)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-10)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (4-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (6-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (8-4)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (4-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (6-7)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (8-7)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (4-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (2-5)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (7-5)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (4-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (7-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-6)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
American (0-2)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (10-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (9-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (7-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (5-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (3-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (7-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (8-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (3-7)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (5-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (2-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (2-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (3-10)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Miss State (9-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (0-2)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (6-6)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (5-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (3-5)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (5-13)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (3-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (1-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (2-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (2-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (9-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (8-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (4-9)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (7-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (5-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (6-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (2-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (8-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (4-11)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (4-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Iowa State (2-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (3-10)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (7-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (5-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (9-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (10-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (7-3)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (1-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (5-12)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (5-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (3-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (6-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (5-6)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (3-8)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (2-5)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (3-4)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (6-7)
 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (7-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (7-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (0-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (3-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (3-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (4-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (7-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (2-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (3-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (3-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (8-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (1-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (4-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (7-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (3-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (1-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (4-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (3-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (3-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (5-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (5-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (4-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (8-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (7-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (7-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (3-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (5-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (6-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (8-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (3-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (2-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (9-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (2-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (6-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (3-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (5-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (2-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (3-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (7-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (2-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (5-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (0-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (3-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (6-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (1-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (2-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (1-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (6-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (4-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (2-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (6-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (2-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (4-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (4-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (0-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (2-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (3-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (6-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (3-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (2-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (1-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (4-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (4-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (2-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (1-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (3-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (2-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (1-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (5-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (1-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (0-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (6-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (2-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (0-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (7-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (1-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton State (2-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (5-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dixie State (4-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC San Diego (2-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona (10-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (6-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (8-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%