Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1
Gonzaga (26-0)
 100% 85% 56% 30%
1 2
Baylor (22-2)
 100% 77% 38% 14%
1 3
Michigan (20-4)
 100% 70% 27% 6%
1 4
Illinois (22-6)
 100% 74% 36% 12%
2 5
Alabama (23-6)
 100% 61% 18% 3%
2 6
Ohio State (21-8)
 100% 57% 16% 3%
2 7
Iowa (21-8)
 100% 70% 23% 5%
2 8
W Virginia (18-9)
 100% 50% 9% 1%
3 9
Houston (23-3)
 100% 65% 20% 5%
3 10
Texas (19-7)
 100% 53% 11% 2%
3 11
Arkansas (22-6)
 100% 49% 9% 1%
3 12
Villanova (16-6)
 100% 54% 12% 2%
4 13
Kansas (20-8)
 100% 53% 11% 2%
4 14
Oklahoma St (20-8)
 100% 40% 7% 1%
4 15
Purdue (18-9)
 100% 44% 6% 1%
4 16
Florida St (16-6)
 100% 44% 9% 1%
5 17
Virginia (18-6)
 100% 41% 8% 1%
5 18
Tennessee (18-8)
 100% 38% 7% 1%
5 19
Missouri (16-9)
 100% 19% 1% 0%
5 20
LSU (18-8)
 100% 32% 5% 1%
6 21
Clemson (16-7)
 100% 20% 2% 0%
6 22
USC (22-7)
 100% 31% 6% 1%
6 23
Creighton (20-8)
 100% 33% 7% 1%
6 24
BYU (20-6)
 100% 22% 3% 0%
7 25
Oklahoma (15-10)
 100% 22% 3% 0%
7 26
San Diego St (23-4)
 100% 25% 4% 0%
7 27
Florida (14-9)
 100% 19% 2% 0%
7 28
Colorado (22-8)
 100% 26% 5% 1%
8 29
Oregon (20-6)
 99% 18% 3% 0%
8 30
Rutgers (15-11)
 100% 16% 2% 0%
8 31
Texas Tech (17-10)
 100% 27% 6% 1%
8 32
VCU (19-6)
 99% 10% 1% 0%
9 33
Connecticut (15-7)
 99% 20% 4% 0%
9 34
Maryland (16-13)
 96% 13% 1% 0%
9 35
Loyola-Chi (24-4)
 100% 18% 3% 0%
9 36
St Bonavent (15-4)
 99% 14% 2% 0%
10 37
Wisconsin (17-12)
 100% 21% 4% 0%
10 38
GA Tech (17-8)
 100% 16% 2% 0%
10 39
N Carolina (18-10)
 100% 19% 3% 0%
10 40
Louisville (13-7)
 97% 11% 1% 0%
11 41
Michigan St (15-12)
 97% 8% 1% 0%
11 42
UCLA (17-9)
 99% 13% 1% 0%
11 43
Syracuse (16-9)
 87% 11% 1% 0%
11 44
Seton Hall (14-13)
 85% 8% 1% 0%
11 45
Georgetown (13-12)
 100% 13% 1% 0%
12 46
Colgate (13-1)
 90% 7% 0% 0%
12 47
Oregon St (17-12)
 100% 8% 0% 0%
12 48
Wichita St (16-5)
 54% 3% 0% 0%
12 49
Colorado St (18-6)
 47% 3% 0% 0%
12 50
UCSB (22-4)
 100% 5% 0% 0%
13 51
Ohio (16-7)
 100% 4% 0% 0%
13 52
Winthrop (23-1)
 100% 4% 0% 0%
13 53
North Texas (17-9)
 100% 7% 0% 0%
13 54
NC-Grnsboro (21-8)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
14 55
Iona (12-5)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
14 56
Cleveland St (19-7)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
14 57
E Washingtn (16-7)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
14 58
Drexel (12-7)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 59
Liberty (23-5)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
15 60
Morehead St (23-7)
 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 61
Abl Christian (23-4)
 100% 3% 0% 0%
15 62
Grd Canyon (17-6)
 100% 2% 0% 0%
16 63
App State (17-11)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 64
Oral Roberts (16-10)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 65
Norfolk St (16-7)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 66
TX Southern (16-8)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 67
Hartford (15-8)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 68
Mt St Marys (12-10)
 100% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (16-11)
 35% 3% 0% 0%
Drake (25-4)
 35% 2% 0% 0%
VA Tech (15-6)
 25% 3% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (14-6)
 24% 2% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (6-10)
 10% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (12-10)
 9% 0% 0% 0%
Duke (13-11)
 8% 2% 0% 0%
Xavier (13-8)
 3% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (18-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Utah State (20-8)
 2% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (16-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (11-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (20-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (13-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (14-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (11-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (14-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (15-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (13-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (21-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Marys (14-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (15-3)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (16-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (21-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (17-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (15-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (15-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (15-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (16-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (12-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (15-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Furman (16-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (15-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (18-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (4-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wright State (18-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (18-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (22-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (26-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (16-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (12-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (15-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (22-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (20-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (18-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (9-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (5-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (5-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (7-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (7-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (6-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (4-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (18-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (14-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (11-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (2-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (12-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (7-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (6-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (6-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (3-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (5-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (12-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (12-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona (17-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (8-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (5-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (4-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (12-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Iowa State (2-22)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (11-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (9-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (9-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (10-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (10-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (9-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (6-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Johns (16-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (5-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (11-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (5-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (5-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (15-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (17-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (7-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (13-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (17-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (10-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (2-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Mex State (12-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (4-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (13-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (6-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (6-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (8-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (3-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (17-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (5-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (6-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (13-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (9-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (9-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (5-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (0-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (12-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (14-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (11-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss State (15-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (6-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (9-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (4-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (12-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (9-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (15-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (5-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (6-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (7-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (10-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (2-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (12-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (10-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (10-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (5-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (10-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton State (10-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (7-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (5-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (14-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (8-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dixie State (8-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (10-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (9-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (9-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (7-6)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (7-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (15-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (11-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (5-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (12-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (8-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Prairie View (16-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (10-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (19-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (9-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (12-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (6-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (8-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (13-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (10-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (3-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas State (18-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (11-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (6-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (16-5)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (14-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (10-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (1-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kentucky (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (1-4)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (5-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (9-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (4-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (16-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (12-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (8-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (13-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (7-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (12-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (13-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (10-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (3-18)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (8-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (13-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (15-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hofstra (13-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (4-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (12-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (6-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (7-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (14-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (7-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (9-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (4-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (1-21)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (13-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (13-8)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Auburn (13-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (11-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (9-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (5-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (9-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (5-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (13-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC San Diego (7-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (10-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (13-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (10-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (8-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana (12-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (11-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (14-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (12-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (13-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (15-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (8-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (8-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX Christian (12-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (17-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (9-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (13-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (8-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (11-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Baptist (13-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (9-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (15-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (14-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (5-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (16-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (11-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (9-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (9-20)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (18-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (11-14)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (11-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (7-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (8-7)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (15-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (2-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (13-10)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (10-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (6-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (14-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (10-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (8-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (7-13)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (5-15)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (6-17)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (7-19)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (11-12)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (5-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (12-16)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (9-11)
 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU (9-9)
 0% 0% 0% 0%