Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1 Duke (9-1) 100% 87% 55% 30%
1 2 Gonzaga (9-0) 100% 74% 32% 9%
1 3 Kansas (8-0) 99% 63% 21% 5%
1 4 Michigan (10-0) 98% 61% 20% 5%
2 5 Nevada (9-0) 100% 63% 20% 5%
2 6 Auburn (8-1) 99% 62% 21% 5%
2 7 Michigan St (8-2) 98% 62% 22% 6%
2 8 Virginia (8-0) 97% 60% 21% 6%
3 9 Tennessee (6-1) 91% 46% 13% 3%
3 10 VA Tech (7-1) 91% 48% 14% 3%
3 11 N Carolina (7-2) 98% 61% 22% 6%
3 12 Texas Tech (8-0) 86% 39% 10% 2%
4 13 Houston (8-0) 88% 27% 4% 0%
4 14 Buffalo (9-0) 98% 33% 5% 1%
4 15 Cincinnati (9-1) 95% 34% 5% 1%
4 16 Ohio State (8-1) 85% 35% 8% 1%
5 17 Florida St (8-1) 84% 32% 6% 1%
5 18 Wisconsin (8-2) 89% 36% 8% 1%
5 19 Oklahoma (8-1) 81% 27% 4% 1%
5 20 Central FL (7-2) 78% 17% 2% 0%
6 21 Villanova (8-2) 88% 28% 5% 1%
6 22 Purdue (6-3) 82% 31% 7% 1%
6 23 Arizona St (7-1) 81% 21% 3% 0%
6 24 Miss State (8-1) 74% 22% 4% 0%
7 25 Nebraska (8-2) 78% 32% 8% 1%
7 26 Arizona (7-2) 76% 18% 2% 0%
7 27 Butler (7-2) 72% 20% 3% 0%
7 28 Marquette (8-2) 74% 18% 2% 0%
8 29 Oregon (5-3) 67% 17% 3% 0%
8 30 Creighton (6-3) 70% 16% 2% 0%
8 31 Iowa State (7-2) 63% 19% 3% 0%
8 32 NC State (8-1) 45% 15% 3% 1%
9 33 Florida (5-4) 60% 17% 3% 0%
9 34 Indiana (8-2) 61% 18% 3% 0%
9 35 TX Christian (7-1) 46% 11% 1% 0%
9 36 Washington (6-3) 57% 9% 1% 0%
10 37 Syracuse (7-2) 53% 12% 2% 0%
10 38 Kansas St (6-2) 51% 13% 2% 0%
10 39 San Fransco (8-1) 59% 10% 1% 0%
10 40 Kentucky (7-2) 64% 19% 4% 0%
11 41 Toledo (9-1) 53% 6% 0% 0%
11 42 Louisville (6-3) 67% 18% 3% 0%
11 43 UCLA (7-2) 67% 13% 1% 0%
11 44 Utah State (8-2) 53% 7% 1% 0%
11 45 St Marys (6-4) 44% 7% 1% 0%
11 46 Maryland (8-2) 42% 10% 1% 0%
12 47 Dayton (5-4) 44% 5% 0% 0%
12 48 N Mex State (7-2) 62% 5% 0% 0%
12 49 Wofford (7-3) 56% 5% 0% 0%
12 50 W Kentucky (5-4) 39% 3% 0% 0%
13 51 Murray St (5-1) 50% 4% 0% 0%
13 52 Georgia St (6-3) 34% 2% 0% 0%
13 53 Yale (4-3) 52% 3% 0% 0%
13 54 Lipscomb (6-2) 61% 5% 0% 0%
14 55 Northeastrn (5-5) 46% 3% 0% 0%
14 56 UC Irvine (9-2) 44% 2% 0% 0%
14 57 Vermont (7-3) 62% 3% 0% 0%
14 58 Loyola-Chi (5-5) 31% 2% 0% 0%
15 59 Montana (5-3) 37% 1% 0% 0%
15 60 Radford (6-3) 38% 1% 0% 0%
15 61 Lehigh (6-3) 25% 0% 0% 0%
15 62 S Dakota St (8-3) 52% 3% 0% 0%
16 63 Norfolk St (4-6) 25% 0% 0% 0%
16 64 N Kentucky (8-3) 38% 1% 0% 0%
16 65 Rider (2-3) 45% 2% 0% 0%
16 66 St Fran (PA) (3-5) 29% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 Abl Christian (9-1) 26% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 TX Southern (4-6) 35% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (7-1) 51% 4% 0% 0%
Davidson (8-1) 50% 5% 0% 0%
VCU (7-2) 47% 5% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (8-2) 44% 3% 0% 0%
Temple (7-2) 41% 4% 0% 0%
Colorado (7-1) 40% 6% 1% 0%
W Virginia (6-3) 40% 8% 1% 0%
St Johns (8-0) 39% 6% 1% 0%
Oregon St (6-1) 34% 5% 0% 0%
S Illinois (7-3) 34% 2% 0% 0%
U Penn (8-2) 34% 2% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (6-3) 34% 5% 0% 0%
San Diego (7-2) 33% 3% 0% 0%
Ball State (6-3) 33% 2% 0% 0%
Liberty (7-2) 33% 1% 0% 0%
Fresno St (7-2) 33% 4% 0% 0%
Xavier (6-4) 30% 4% 0% 0%
N Colorado (5-1) 28% 1% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (6-3) 28% 1% 0% 0%
Harvard (4-5) 28% 2% 0% 0%
Iowa (7-2) 28% 6% 1% 0%
Old Dominion (6-3) 28% 2% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (5-4) 27% 6% 1% 0%
Furman (10-0) 27% 1% 0% 0%
Prairie View (1-8) 26% 0% 0% 0%
Texas (5-3) 25% 4% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (5-3) 25% 1% 0% 0%
Hofstra (7-3) 24% 1% 0% 0%
Connecticut (7-3) 24% 2% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (5-3) 24% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (6-2) 23% 3% 0% 0%
Clemson (6-3) 23% 4% 1% 0%
Stony Brook (8-2) 23% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (7-2) 22% 1% 0% 0%
Howard (6-3) 22% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (6-2) 22% 1% 0% 0%
Arkansas (6-2) 21% 3% 0% 0%
Mississippi (6-2) 20% 3% 0% 0%
Bucknell (4-3) 20% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego St (5-4) 20% 2% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (7-2) 20% 1% 0% 0%
BYU (7-4) 20% 2% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (6-5) 20% 0% 0% 0%
Wright State (4-6) 20% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (4-6) 19% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (4-4) 19% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (4-3) 19% 1% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (6-4) 19% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (8-3) 19% 1% 0% 0%
Weber State (5-4) 19% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (10-1) 18% 1% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (6-2) 17% 1% 0% 0%
South Dakota (4-5) 17% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (4-5) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (4-4) 15% 1% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (7-4) 15% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama (5-3) 14% 2% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (3-6) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (4-5) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Texas State (9-1) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (7-4) 14% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (7-3) 13% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (6-3) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (5-4) 13% 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (5-4) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (6-4) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (6-4) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (7-3) 12% 1% 0% 0%
St Josephs (5-5) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Stanford (4-4) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Iona (2-5) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (5-4) 11% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (5-4) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (5-4) 11% 2% 0% 0%
Siena (4-6) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (4-6) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (4-5) 10% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (3-4) 10% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (5-4) 10% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (4-6) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (7-2) 10% 1% 0% 0%
Akron (6-3) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (3-4) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (4-5) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (4-7) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (7-3) 9% 2% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (5-3) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (6-2) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (8-2) 9% 1% 0% 0%
Drake (6-1) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (4-4) 9% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (3-7) 9% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (6-6) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (7-3) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (6-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
American (5-3) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (5-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (5-5) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (2-6) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (5-3) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (5-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (2-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (6-5) 7% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (4-3) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (6-2) 7% 1% 0% 0%
USC (5-4) 7% 1% 0% 0%
Tulsa (7-3) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Baylor (5-3) 7% 1% 0% 0%
Kent State (8-1) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (9-2) 6% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (3-6) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (3-4) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (3-8) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (3-7) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (3-7) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (6-3) 6% 1% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (5-4) 6% 0% 0% 0%
App State (4-5) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (1-8) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (3-7) 5% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (6-2) 5% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (4-5) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (2-7) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (7-3) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (3-7) 5% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (4-5) 5% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (4-6) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (4-4) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (4-4) 5% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (2-8) 5% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (4-4) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (5-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (6-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (2-7) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (3-7) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (4-5) 4% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (3-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (5-2) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (4-5) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (4-6) 4% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (6-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (4-5) 4% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (4-3) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (9-1) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (4-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (5-5) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (4-2) 4% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (9-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (4-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (4-6) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (3-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (4-6) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (2-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (5-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (4-6) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (3-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (7-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (7-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (4-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (4-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (1-8) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (4-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (2-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (4-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (2-7) 3% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (1-6) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (2-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (6-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (4-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (3-7) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (3-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (7-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (3-6) 2% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (6-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Army (5-6) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (5-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (4-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (4-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (2-6) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (5-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (3-6) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (8-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (3-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (6-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (7-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (6-6) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (3-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (7-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (2-7) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (6-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (4-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (7-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (0-11) 1% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (4-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (3-8) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (7-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (4-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (5-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (3-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (3-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (5-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (2-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (2-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (3-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (3-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (3-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (5-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (3-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (2-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (3-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (6-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (4-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (4-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (3-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (4-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (1-8) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (4-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (3-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (7-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Savannah St (3-7) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (3-9) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (5-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (2-6) 1% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (3-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois (3-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (7-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (0-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (2-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (6-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (3-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (5-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (5-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (0-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (3-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (7-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (2-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (2-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (3-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (2-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (2-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (3-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (3-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (7-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (3-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (3-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (6-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (2-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (1-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (4-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (0-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (2-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (1-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (2-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (5-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (2-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (6-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (4-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (1-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (2-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (3-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (3-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (6-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (2-6) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (0-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California Baptist (5-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Alabama (2-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%