Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1 Duke (23-2) 100% 88% 56% 27%
1 2 Virginia (23-2) 100% 82% 41% 13%
1 3 Gonzaga (25-2) 100% 85% 48% 20%
1 4 Kentucky (21-4) 100% 68% 21% 4%
2 5 Michigan St (21-5) 100% 74% 29% 7%
2 6 Houston (25-1) 100% 51% 8% 1%
2 7 Tennessee (23-2) 100% 67% 21% 4%
2 8 LSU (21-4) 100% 43% 5% 0%
3 9 Kansas (20-6) 100% 54% 11% 1%
3 10 Michigan (23-3) 100% 58% 13% 2%
3 11 N Carolina (20-5) 100% 70% 25% 7%
3 12 Marquette (21-4) 100% 38% 5% 0%
4 13 Buffalo (22-3) 100% 36% 4% 0%
4 14 Nevada (24-1) 100% 55% 13% 2%
4 15 Purdue (18-7) 100% 50% 10% 2%
4 16 Kansas St (20-6) 100% 31% 3% 0%
5 17 Villanova (20-6) 100% 41% 6% 1%
5 18 Texas Tech (21-5) 100% 48% 10% 2%
5 19 Iowa State (19-6) 99% 43% 8% 1%
5 20 Florida St (20-5) 100% 38% 6% 1%
6 21 Cincinnati (21-4) 99% 27% 3% 0%
6 22 Washington (20-5) 100% 20% 2% 0%
6 23 Maryland (19-7) 99% 29% 4% 0%
6 24 Miss State (18-7) 97% 27% 3% 0%
7 25 Louisville (18-8) 100% 30% 5% 1%
7 26 Wisconsin (18-8) 99% 33% 6% 1%
7 27 VA Tech (20-6) 98% 32% 7% 1%
7 28 Arizona St (17-8) 82% 10% 1% 0%
8 29 Iowa (20-5) 93% 18% 2% 0%
8 30 Auburn (17-8) 91% 30% 7% 1%
8 31 St Johns (19-7) 89% 11% 1% 0%
8 32 VCU (19-6) 96% 11% 1% 0%
9 33 Central FL (19-5) 89% 9% 1% 0%
9 34 Baylor (16-9) 53% 7% 1% 0%
9 35 Texas (15-11) 69% 12% 1% 0%
9 36 Seton Hall (16-9) 65% 6% 0% 0%
10 37 Mississippi (18-7) 79% 9% 1% 0%
10 38 Oklahoma (16-10) 37% 6% 1% 0%
10 39 N Mex State (22-4) 89% 5% 0% 0%
10 40 Toledo (20-5) 56% 3% 0% 0%
11 41 Wofford (23-4) 99% 11% 1% 0%
11 42 Syracuse (17-8) 64% 9% 1% 0%
11 43 Yale (17-4) 86% 4% 0% 0%
11 44 Davidson (19-6) 55% 3% 0% 0%
12 45 Temple (19-7) 85% 4% 0% 0%
12 46 Alabama (15-10) 44% 4% 0% 0%
12 47 Florida (14-11) 39% 7% 1% 0%
12 48 San Fransco (20-6) 34% 2% 0% 0%
12 49 Old Dominion (21-6) 32% 1% 0% 0%
13 50 Hofstra (22-5) 72% 4% 0% 0%
13 51 UC Irvine (22-5) 45% 2% 0% 0%
13 52 NC-Grnsboro (22-5) 65% 2% 0% 0%
13 53 Furman (22-5) 50% 3% 0% 0%
13 54 Vermont (21-5) 81% 4% 0% 0%
14 55 Lipscomb (21-5) 76% 8% 0% 0%
14 56 Murray St (21-4) 46% 3% 0% 0%
14 57 Loyola-Chi (16-11) 30% 1% 0% 0%
14 58 Bucknell (17-9) 45% 1% 0% 0%
15 59 Montana (19-6) 51% 2% 0% 0%
15 60 Texas State (21-5) 29% 1% 0% 0%
15 61 S Dakota St (21-7) 59% 3% 0% 0%
15 62 Radford (18-8) 47% 1% 0% 0%
16 63 N Kentucky (20-7) 47% 2% 0% 0%
16 64 TX Southern (14-11) 40% 0% 0% 0%
16 65 Norfolk St (16-11) 31% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 St Fran (PA) (14-11) 32% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 Rider (14-13) 25% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 Abl Christian (21-5) 38% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (21-4) 56% 4% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (17-9) 35% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (13-8) 32% 1% 0% 0%
Northeastrn (16-10) 30% 1% 0% 0%
Utah State (20-6) 30% 3% 0% 0%
Butler (15-11) 29% 3% 0% 0%
Liberty (23-5) 29% 1% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (21-7) 28% 1% 0% 0%
Prairie View (13-12) 28% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (15-10) 28% 5% 1% 0%
Georgia St (18-8) 27% 1% 0% 0%
TX Christian (17-9) 26% 3% 0% 0%
Wright State (16-11) 26% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (18-7) 25% 1% 0% 0%
NC Central (13-14) 25% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (17-9) 24% 2% 0% 0%
Lehigh (17-8) 24% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (16-9) 23% 2% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (15-10) 23% 1% 0% 0%
Ohio State (16-9) 23% 3% 0% 0%
GA Southern (16-10) 23% 1% 0% 0%
BYU (18-10) 22% 1% 0% 0%
Oregon (15-10) 21% 2% 0% 0%
Colgate (17-10) 21% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (16-8) 20% 1% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (16-11) 19% 1% 0% 0%
Siena (13-14) 19% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (20-7) 18% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (17-9) 18% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (21-7) 18% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (16-10) 17% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (12-13) 17% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (16-9) 17% 1% 0% 0%
Grambling St (13-13) 17% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (17-8) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (17-9) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (15-11) 16% 1% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (21-5) 16% 0% 0% 0%
St Marys (17-10) 15% 2% 0% 0%
UCSB (17-8) 15% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (13-13) 15% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (12-15) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (14-11) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (13-14) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (12-15) 13% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (14-13) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (15-12) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (16-9) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (19-8) 12% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (17-9) 12% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (20-7) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (16-9) 12% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (17-11) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (10-15) 12% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (16-11) 11% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (14-12) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (19-8) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (13-13) 11% 1% 0% 0%
S Carolina (13-12) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Fresno St (19-6) 10% 1% 0% 0%
Canisius (12-14) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (13-12) 10% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (17-10) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (17-10) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (15-11) 9% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (15-9) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (14-12) 9% 0% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (14-13) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (16-10) 8% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (18-8) 8% 2% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (15-12) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (13-8) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (10-13) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (14-13) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (12-14) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (12-15) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (15-12) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona (14-12) 7% 1% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (14-13) 7% 0% 0% 0%
USC (14-12) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (14-11) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (12-16) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (17-9) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (14-11) 6% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (13-13) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (13-14) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (11-17) 6% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (14-13) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (10-18) 6% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (13-11) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (16-12) 6% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (10-14) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (19-6) 6% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (12-15) 6% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (16-11) 6% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (14-13) 5% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (12-14) 5% 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (13-13) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana (13-12) 5% 1% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (12-12) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (15-11) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (14-11) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (14-11) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (15-11) 5% 1% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (11-14) 5% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (14-12) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (17-10) 5% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (14-10) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (12-13) 4% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (10-15) 4% 0% 0% 0%
American (13-12) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (9-18) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (11-15) 4% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (10-15) 4% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (15-10) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (10-16) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (13-13) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (15-10) 4% 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (12-14) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (12-12) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (13-11) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas (14-11) 3% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego St (16-9) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (12-13) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (15-9) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (13-12) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (14-13) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Connecticut (13-12) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (16-11) 3% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (14-11) 3% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (16-10) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (8-16) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (10-15) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (7-20) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Army (12-15) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (9-17) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (17-8) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Wichita St (12-12) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (15-13) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (11-14) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (16-12) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (13-13) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (12-15) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (13-13) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (11-12) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (17-9) 2% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (10-16) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (14-12) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (12-12) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (12-12) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (11-15) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (10-15) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (7-21) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (13-12) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (10-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (16-11) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (9-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (10-19) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (9-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (10-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (18-9) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (13-11) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (11-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (6-19) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (12-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (9-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (13-11) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (10-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (16-11) 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (17-8) 1% 0% 0% 0%
App State (9-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (12-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (11-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (12-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (10-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (10-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (12-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (4-22) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (6-21) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (14-13) 1% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (9-19) 1% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (9-18) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (14-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (8-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (11-15) 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (12-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (10-15) 1% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (12-15) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Savannah St (10-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (8-19) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (9-15) 1% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (16-11) 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (12-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (10-15) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (9-16) 1% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (11-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (8-17) 1% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (9-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (10-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (11-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (11-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (7-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (8-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (8-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (12-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (9-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois (10-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (10-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (9-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (10-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (10-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (10-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (9-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (9-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Virginia (10-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (11-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (12-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (10-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (11-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (15-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (12-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (11-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (8-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (11-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (11-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (9-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (4-24) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (11-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (17-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (11-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (8-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (14-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (11-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (8-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (10-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (11-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (5-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (8-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (12-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (7-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (5-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (7-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (7-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (10-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (13-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (10-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (4-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (12-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (8-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (6-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (7-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (9-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (4-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (6-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (5-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (10-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (7-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (9-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (5-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (12-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (7-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (13-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (14-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (4-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (13-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (9-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (11-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (4-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (9-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (6-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (7-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (6-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (6-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (5-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (8-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (3-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (3-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (9-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (7-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (3-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (8-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (6-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Alabama (8-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (5-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California Baptist (13-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%