Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1 Virginia (29-3) 100% 84% 40% 14%
1 2 N Carolina (27-6) 100% 82% 35% 8%
1 3 Kentucky (27-6) 100% 70% 20% 3%
1 4 Duke (29-5) 100% 85% 51% 25%
2 5 Michigan St (27-6) 100% 77% 31% 8%
2 6 Gonzaga (30-3) 100% 82% 42% 17%
2 7 Houston (31-2) 100% 56% 10% 1%
2 8 Tennessee (29-4) 100% 72% 25% 6%
3 9 LSU (26-6) 100% 47% 6% 0%
3 10 Michigan (28-5) 100% 68% 20% 4%
3 11 Kansas (25-9) 100% 49% 8% 1%
3 12 Texas Tech (26-6) 100% 60% 14% 2%
4 13 Kansas St (25-8) 100% 40% 4% 0%
4 14 Florida St (27-7) 100% 50% 10% 1%
4 15 Purdue (23-9) 100% 55% 11% 2%
4 16 Buffalo (31-3) 100% 38% 4% 0%
5 17 Villanova (25-9) 100% 36% 5% 0%
5 18 Cincinnati (27-6) 100% 25% 2% 0%
5 19 Auburn (25-9) 100% 42% 8% 1%
5 20 Marquette (24-9) 100% 29% 3% 0%
6 21 VA Tech (24-8) 100% 37% 7% 1%
6 22 Maryland (22-10) 100% 27% 3% 0%
6 23 Wisconsin (23-10) 100% 33% 5% 1%
6 24 Miss State (23-10) 100% 27% 3% 0%
7 25 Central FL (23-8) 100% 13% 1% 0%
7 26 Arizona St (22-10) 99% 12% 1% 0%
7 27 Iowa State (23-11) 100% 31% 6% 1%
7 28 Nevada (29-4) 94% 29% 6% 1%
8 29 Washington (26-8) 100% 12% 1% 0%
8 30 Wofford (29-4) 100% 14% 1% 0%
8 31 VCU (25-7) 99% 11% 1% 0%
8 32 Louisville (20-13) 99% 18% 3% 0%
9 33 Temple (23-9) 100% 5% 0% 0%
9 34 Baylor (19-13) 73% 7% 1% 0%
9 35 Syracuse (20-13) 96% 13% 1% 0%
9 36 Seton Hall (20-13) 96% 8% 1% 0%
10 37 Oregon (23-12) 100% 14% 1% 0%
10 38 Utah State (28-6) 100% 11% 1% 0%
10 39 Minnesota (21-13) 93% 8% 1% 0%
10 40 Toledo (25-7) 56% 3% 0% 0%
11 41 N Mex State (30-4) 100% 7% 0% 0%
11 42 St Johns (21-12) 52% 3% 0% 0%
11 43 Mississippi (20-12) 72% 7% 0% 0%
11 44 Davidson (24-9) 50% 2% 0% 0%
11 45 Florida (19-15) 63% 10% 1% 0%
12 46 Old Dominion (26-8) 100% 3% 0% 0%
12 47 St Marys (22-11) 100% 15% 2% 0%
12 48 UC Irvine (30-5) 100% 5% 0% 0%
12 49 NC-Grnsboro (28-6) 98% 3% 0% 0%
12 50 Memphis (21-13) 79% 4% 0% 0%
13 51 Northeastrn (23-10) 100% 5% 0% 0%
13 52 Yale (21-7) 76% 3% 0% 0%
13 53 Georgia St (23-9) 68% 2% 0% 0%
13 54 Vermont (27-6) 100% 4% 0% 0%
14 55 Murray St (27-4) 100% 8% 0% 0%
14 56 Saint Louis (22-12) 53% 2% 0% 0%
14 57 Liberty (28-6) 100% 3% 0% 0%
14 58 Colgate (24-10) 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 59 Montana (26-8) 100% 2% 0% 0%
15 60 N Kentucky (26-8) 100% 2% 0% 0%
15 61 Bradley (20-14) 100% 1% 0% 0%
15 62 Abl Christian (27-6) 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 63 Gard-Webb (23-11) 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 64 F Dickinson (20-13) 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 65 Prairie View (22-12) 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 NC Central (18-15) 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 Iona (17-15) 100% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 N Dakota St (18-15) 100% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (18-10) 55% 1% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (18-15) 47% 1% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (19-13) 47% 6% 1% 0%
Alabama (18-15) 46% 3% 0% 0%
Iowa (22-11) 38% 4% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (17-15) 35% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (26-5) 29% 2% 0% 0%
Furman (25-7) 23% 1% 0% 0%
Texas (16-16) 15% 2% 0% 0%
Hofstra (27-7) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (19-13) 11% 2% 0% 0%
TX Christian (20-13) 7% 1% 0% 0%
Wichita St (19-14) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (21-12) 3% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (16-16) 3% 0% 0% 0%
BYU (19-13) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (18-14) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (18-15) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (22-12) 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Tenn St (24-9) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (24-9) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio State (19-14) 1% 0% 0% 0%
NC State (22-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (25-7) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dayton (21-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (24-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (20-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (22-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (18-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (24-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn State (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (21-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Southern (21-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego St (21-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Fransco (21-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (20-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (21-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (19-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (7-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (19-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (16-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (4-27) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (22-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (13-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (20-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (8-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (12-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (22-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (12-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (13-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (9-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (24-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (14-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (9-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (9-24) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Virginia (14-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (18-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (9-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (20-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (14-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (10-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (12-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Hous St (21-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Alabama (10-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (24-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (14-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (10-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (15-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (10-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Connecticut (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (21-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (7-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX Southern (21-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (15-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (17-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (21-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball State (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (8-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
LIU-Brooklyn (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (11-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (15-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (3-29) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (10-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (14-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (10-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (20-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (16-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (8-24) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (18-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (17-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (9-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California Baptist (16-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCLA (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Savannah St (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (21-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (17-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (15-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (14-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (12-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (5-27) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (19-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
McNeese St (9-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (10-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (5-24) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (15-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (18-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (21-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (16-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas State (24-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (13-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (24-8) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (12-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (14-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Iowa (16-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (6-26) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (5-27) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (14-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (16-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (4-27) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (17-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (15-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (8-24) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (6-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Mich (23-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (18-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (15-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (16-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (14-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (9-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (14-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (8-26) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (13-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (7-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (15-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (8-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (21-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (16-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (12-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (6-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (15-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (18-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (22-10) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (13-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (14-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (5-27) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (14-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (14-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (13-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (9-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (12-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (10-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (15-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (14-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (10-22) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (12-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (14-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (18-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (19-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois (12-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (8-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (20-14) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (4-27) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (16-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (15-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (6-26) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (19-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (21-11) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (10-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (20-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (8-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (7-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
USC (16-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (18-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
LA Tech (20-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (8-23) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (20-12) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (6-25) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (17-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (16-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (12-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wright State (21-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (7-24) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (20-13) 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (15-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (11-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (13-17) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (23-9) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (6-26) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (16-15) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (11-20) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (12-18) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Siena (17-16) 0% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (11-21) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (13-19) 0% 0% 0% 0%