Team & Projected Seed NCAA Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Bid S16 F4 Win
1 1 Arizona (4-0) 100% 67% 27% 9%
1 2 Duke (4-0) 100% 70% 31% 11%
1 3 Michigan St (3-1) 100% 72% 36% 15%
1 4 Kansas (3-1) 100% 65% 27% 9%
2 5 Gonzaga (5-0) 99% 61% 22% 6%
2 6 Louisville (5-0) 98% 58% 21% 6%
2 7 Kentucky (3-1) 97% 51% 16% 4%
2 8 Oregon (4-0) 98% 47% 12% 3%
3 9 Ohio State (4-0) 96% 48% 15% 4%
3 10 Memphis (4-1) 92% 41% 10% 2%
3 11 Texas Tech (3-0) 90% 39% 11% 3%
3 12 Virginia (4-0) 94% 41% 11% 2%
4 13 Auburn (5-0) 89% 33% 7% 1%
4 14 N Carolina (4-0) 94% 39% 11% 2%
4 15 Colorado (3-0) 87% 28% 5% 1%
4 16 Arkansas (4-0) 82% 29% 6% 1%
5 17 Utah State (5-0) 89% 36% 8% 2%
5 18 Dayton (3-0) 71% 18% 3% 0%
5 19 Cincinnati (2-1) 78% 23% 4% 1%
5 20 Villanova (2-1) 88% 33% 8% 2%
6 21 VCU (4-0) 73% 18% 2% 0%
6 22 Maryland (4-0) 89% 37% 10% 2%
6 23 Seton Hall (3-1) 88% 29% 7% 1%
6 24 St Marys (3-1) 68% 16% 2% 0%
7 25 San Diego St (3-0) 60% 13% 2% 0%
7 26 Marquette (2-1) 78% 24% 5% 1%
7 27 Houston (2-1) 59% 14% 2% 0%
7 28 BYU (3-1) 59% 10% 1% 0%
8 29 Penn State (4-0) 61% 19% 5% 1%
8 30 Butler (4-0) 75% 23% 4% 1%
8 31 Providence (4-1) 59% 16% 3% 0%
8 32 Baylor (2-1) 79% 27% 6% 1%
9 33 Missouri (4-1) 47% 11% 2% 0%
9 34 W Kentucky (4-0) 49% 8% 1% 0%
9 35 Tennessee (4-0) 74% 21% 4% 1%
9 36 Florida St (3-1) 68% 18% 3% 1%
10 37 Belmont (4-1) 74% 14% 2% 0%
10 38 Creighton (2-1) 50% 12% 2% 0%
10 39 Arizona St (2-1) 48% 11% 2% 0%
10 40 Oklahoma (4-0) 72% 18% 3% 0%
11 41 Xavier (4-0) 55% 12% 2% 0%
11 42 LSU (3-1) 61% 14% 2% 0%
11 43 Texas (4-0) 63% 14% 2% 0%
11 44 Iowa State (3-1) 46% 11% 2% 0%
12 45 Purdue (2-2) 56% 14% 3% 0%
12 46 Oklahoma St (4-0) 54% 11% 2% 0%
12 47 Florida (2-2) 58% 13% 2% 0%
12 48 Wisconsin (3-1) 69% 17% 3% 0%
12 49 E Tenn St (3-1) 41% 5% 1% 0%
12 50 Toledo (3-1) 39% 5% 0% 0%
13 51 Vermont (4-1) 71% 6% 0% 0%
13 52 N Iowa (6-0) 23% 1% 0% 0%
13 53 GA Southern (3-2) 25% 1% 0% 0%
13 54 Northeastrn (3-2) 26% 1% 0% 0%
14 55 Harvard (3-2) 47% 2% 0% 0%
14 56 Liberty (5-0) 57% 2% 0% 0%
14 57 Radford (2-2) 44% 1% 0% 0%
14 58 N Mex State (2-2) 53% 2% 0% 0%
15 59 UC Irvine (3-2) 37% 1% 0% 0%
15 60 Wright State (4-1) 31% 1% 0% 0%
15 61 South Dakota (5-0) 25% 0% 0% 0%
15 62 Bucknell (2-3) 24% 0% 0% 0%
16 63 Prairie View (1-4) 28% 0% 0% 0%
16 64 Norfolk St (3-2) 32% 0% 0% 0%
16 65 Siena (2-3) 27% 0% 0% 0%
16 66 N Colorado (2-3) 18% 0% 0% 0%
16 67 LIU (1-3) 26% 0% 0% 0%
16 68 Sam Hous St (2-2) 24% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (2-2) 50% 8% 1% 0%
Wichita St (4-0) 48% 11% 2% 0%
Indiana (5-0) 45% 12% 3% 0%
Michigan (3-0) 44% 9% 1% 0%
Washington (3-1) 43% 8% 1% 0%
USC (5-0) 43% 8% 1% 0%
Miss State (4-0) 40% 8% 1% 0%
TX Christian (3-0) 39% 8% 1% 0%
W Virginia (3-0) 38% 6% 1% 0%
UCLA (4-0) 38% 6% 1% 0%
NC State (4-1) 36% 7% 1% 0%
Mississippi (4-0) 35% 7% 1% 0%
Furman (4-1) 34% 4% 0% 0%
Yale (3-2) 30% 2% 0% 0%
LA Tech (3-1) 29% 3% 0% 0%
Alabama (2-2) 27% 4% 0% 0%
Miami (FL) (3-1) 27% 4% 0% 0%
Illinois (3-1) 27% 4% 0% 0%
NC-Grnsboro (4-2) 26% 2% 0% 0%
Iona (0-2) 25% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling St (3-0) 25% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (3-0) 25% 4% 0% 0%
Oregon St (3-1) 25% 4% 1% 0%
Rhode Island (3-1) 25% 3% 0% 0%
Winthrop (3-2) 24% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (1-3) 23% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia (4-0) 23% 4% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (4-1) 23% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Arlington (2-3) 22% 1% 0% 0%
VA Tech (5-0) 22% 4% 1% 0%
San Fransco (5-0) 22% 3% 0% 0%
Syracuse (3-1) 21% 4% 1% 0%
Boston U (3-2) 21% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (1-2) 20% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (3-2) 20% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (3-1) 20% 1% 0% 0%
Ball State (3-2) 19% 2% 0% 0%
N Dakota St (4-2) 19% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (PA) (2-3) 19% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (2-2) 19% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (4-1) 19% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (4-1) 19% 4% 1% 0%
Oral Roberts (2-3) 18% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (2-2) 18% 1% 0% 0%
Bryant (4-3) 18% 0% 0% 0%
Wm & Mary (4-1) 18% 1% 0% 0%
Texas State (3-2) 18% 1% 0% 0%
Kansas St (4-0) 17% 3% 0% 0%
Murray St (3-1) 17% 1% 0% 0%
Richmond (3-0) 17% 2% 0% 0%
Ste F Austin (4-1) 17% 0% 0% 0%
TX Southern (0-4) 17% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (3-0) 16% 2% 0% 0%
Central Mich (4-0) 16% 1% 0% 0%
Nicholls St (2-3) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Col Charlestn (3-1) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (4-2) 16% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (4-2) 15% 0% 0% 0%
Clemson (3-1) 15% 3% 0% 0%
Temple (3-0) 15% 2% 0% 0%
McNeese St (2-4) 14% 0% 0% 0%
Neb Omaha (2-3) 14% 0% 0% 0%
E Washingtn (2-2) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Iowa (2-1) 13% 2% 0% 0%
Montana St (4-2) 13% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (2-2) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Hawaii (3-2) 13% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (1-3) 12% 2% 0% 0%
Grd Canyon (2-3) 12% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Grn Bay (1-2) 12% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (1-3) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (3-1) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (1-3) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (6-0) 12% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (2-2) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin State (1-5) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (3-1) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-Chi (3-2) 11% 0% 0% 0%
Connecticut (2-1) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Buffalo (2-1) 11% 1% 0% 0%
Gard-Webb (0-4) 10% 0% 0% 0%
UMKC (2-3) 10% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (2-2) 10% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (1-4) 10% 0% 0% 0%
U Penn (2-2) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (1-4) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Kent State (4-0) 10% 1% 0% 0%
Beth-Cook (2-2) 10% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (3-2) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (1-3) 9% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (4-2) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Sac State (3-0) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Val St (3-2) 9% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (2-3) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (2-1) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (1-4) 9% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Grn (3-1) 9% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (4-1) 9% 1% 0% 0%
Alabama St (0-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
S Car State (2-2) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (2-1) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (3-1) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (3-1) 8% 1% 0% 0%
St Johns (4-1) 8% 1% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (2-2) 8% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina (3-1) 8% 1% 0% 0%
Albany (2-2) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Marys (1-4) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (1-2) 8% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (1-3) 8% 0% 0% 0%
S Methodist (4-0) 8% 1% 0% 0%
Lg Beach St (1-3) 8% 0% 0% 0%
Akron (3-1) 8% 0% 0% 0%
IPFW (2-4) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Hrt (1-3) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford (5-0) 7% 1% 0% 0%
Hofstra (2-2) 7% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (2-2) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn State (1-4) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (2-4) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (1-4) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (3-1) 7% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (3-2) 7% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (2-1) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (0-3) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (3-1) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (3-2) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (2-2) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Youngs St (2-2) 7% 0% 0% 0%
Weber State (1-2) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola-MD (2-3) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (4-1) 6% 1% 0% 0%
American (1-3) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (2-2) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (0-5) 6% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (2-3) 6% 0% 0% 0%
California (4-0) 6% 1% 0% 0%
TX El Paso (4-0) 6% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (1-4) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Rob Morris (1-4) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (2-3) 6% 0% 0% 0%
App State (3-3) 6% 0% 0% 0%
Lehigh (3-2) 6% 0% 0% 0%
WI-Milwkee (4-1) 6% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfld (2-3) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Wash State (2-1) 5% 1% 0% 0%
Fresno St (2-2) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (1-3) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Boise State (1-2) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Houston Bap (0-3) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (2-1) 5% 0% 0% 0%
AR Lit Rock (3-2) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (5-1) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (0-2) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (3-1) 5% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (1-4) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (2-2) 4% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (4-2) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (3-1) 4% 0% 0% 0%
IL-Chicago (1-3) 4% 0% 0% 0%
IUPUI (2-3) 4% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (2-2) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (4-1) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (4-1) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Boston Col (4-1) 4% 0% 0% 0%
North Texas (2-3) 4% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (1-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (5-0) 3% 0% 0% 0%
TX-Pan Am (1-4) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (4-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (2-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (1-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Army (2-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
St Fran (NY) (1-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho State (2-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Mass Lowell (2-5) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (3-1) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Central FL (2-1) 3% 0% 0% 0%
James Mad (3-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (2-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (2-2) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (3-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (1-3) 3% 0% 0% 0%
U Mass (5-0) 3% 0% 0% 0%
Miami (OH) (3-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
LA Lafayette (3-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland BC (4-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Ark Pine Bl (0-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (3-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (3-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (4-0) 2% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (3-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Asheville (2-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (0-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (1-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Mason (5-0) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Vanderbilt (3-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Jksnville St (1-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (3-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (3-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TN State (3-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Gulf Cst (1-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (4-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
TX A&M-CC (1-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Howard (0-5) 2% 0% 0% 0%
LA Monroe (2-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (2-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (2-4) 2% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonavent (1-3) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (3-2) 2% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (2-1) 2% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (2-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (3-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (3-1) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cal St Nrdge (0-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (2-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (3-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Florida (1-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Peters (0-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (0-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (1-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (3-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
NC-Wilmgton (3-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (4-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (0-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Santa Clara (4-1) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (1-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Hartford (3-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
TX-San Ant (0-5) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (1-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (1-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
N Hampshire (3-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
St Josephs (2-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Nebraska (1-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho (2-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (2-2) 1% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (2-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
S Mississippi (1-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Fla Atlantic (2-3) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (0-4) 1% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (3-0) 1% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (4-1) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (4-1) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kennesaw St (0-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (0-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Ark (1-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charl South (1-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Martin (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (0-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (2-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alab A&M (0-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (1-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (1-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (1-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri (1-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Alabama (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (1-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (1-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
High Point (0-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (3-0) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (3-1) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (1-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Troy (1-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Geo Wshgtn (1-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Val St (0-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incar Word (1-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (5-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Citadel (1-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
TN Tech (1-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (1-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
VA Military (2-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (2-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (3-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn (0-5) 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (2-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (3-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%
California Baptist (2-2) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (0-4) 0% 0% 0% 0%
GA Tech (2-1) 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit (0-3) 0% 0% 0% 0%