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Make Tournament

61.4%

Automatic Bid

3.1%

At Large Bid

58.4%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (8.5%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.3%
22 88.3%
21 54.8%
20 16.3%
19 1.8%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 61.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.1% 0.2%
4 3.3% 0.1%
5 4.3% 0.1%
6 5.6% 0.1%
7 7.6% 0.1%
8 8.5% 0.0%
9 8.2% 0.0%
10 7.4% 0.0%
11 6.4% 0.0%
12 5.1% 0.0%
13 1.6% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.