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Make Tournament

38.8%

Automatic Bid

3.7%

At Large Bid

35.1%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (5.3%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.3%
22 95.3%
21 83.3%
20 57.9%
19 28.9%
18 9.1%
17 1.6%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 38.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.8% 0.8%
3 1.6% 0.5%
4 2.5% 0.3%
5 3.1% 0.2%
6 3.2% 0.1%
7 3.6% 0.1%
8 4.2% 0.1%
9 4.7% 0.0%
10 5.0% 0.0%
11 5.3% 0.0%
12 4.1% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.