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Make Tournament

37.2%

Automatic Bid

16.8%

At Large Bid

20.4%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (6.8%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 91.4%
25 42.8%
24 18.5%
23 4.7%
22 0.5%
21 0.1%
20 0.0%
OVERALL 37.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.2% -
4 0.9% 0.2%
5 2.9% 0.1%
6 5.2% 0.1%
7 6.6% 0.1%
8 6.8% 0.1%
9 6.1% 0.1%
10 4.6% 0.1%
11 2.8% 0.1%
12 1.0% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.