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Make Tournament

23.6%

Automatic Bid

2.0%

At Large Bid

21.6%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (3.7%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.3%
25 98.6%
24 92.5%
23 78.9%
22 52.5%
21 26.7%
20 8.5%
19 1.6%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 23.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 0.4%
3 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.3% 0.2%
5 2.1% 0.1%
6 2.8% 0.1%
7 3.4% 0.1%
8 3.7% 0.0%
9 3.5% 0.0%
10 2.8% 0.0%
11 1.9% 0.0%
12 0.9% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.