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Make Tournament

16.5%

Automatic Bid

1.3%

At Large Bid

15.2%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (2.3%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 97.9%
21 80.7%
20 51.2%
19 13.3%
18 2.1%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 16.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 0.1%
5 0.9% 0.1%
6 1.0% 0.1%
7 1.8% 0.1%
8 2.3% 0.0%
9 2.3% 0.0%
10 2.0% 0.0%
11 1.8% 0.0%
12 1.5% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.