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Make Tournament

85.5%

Automatic Bid

21.0%

At Large Bid

64.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (11.7%)

Final Four

4.4%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.7%
23 98.1%
22 93.2%
21 80.7%
20 57.3%
19 31.4%
18 11.5%
17 3.0%
16 0.3%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 85.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 3.7%
2 5.3% 1.9%
3 8.5% 1.4%
4 10.8% 0.8%
5 11.7% 0.5%
6 11.5% 0.4%
7 10.5% 0.3%
8 8.9% 0.2%
9 7.1% 0.1%
10 5.1% 0.1%
11 3.1% 0.1%
12 1.2% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.