View Memphis bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

91.7%

Automatic Bid

39.4%

At Large Bid

52.3%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (16.3%)

Final Four

9.8%

NCAA Champs

2.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.7%
25 99.0%
24 91.6%
23 74.5%
22 50.9%
21 19.8%
20 6.6%
19 0.5%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 91.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 9.9% 7.2%
2 16.3% 3.4%
3 16.1% 1.7%
4 12.7% 0.9%
5 9.7% 0.6%
6 8.3% 0.5%
7 7.0% 0.3%
8 5.2% 0.2%
9 3.3% 0.1%
10 1.8% 0.1%
11 1.0% 0.0%
12 0.4% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.