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Make Tournament

34.8%

Automatic Bid

3.6%

At Large Bid

31.2%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (5.7%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.9%
27 99.1%
26 96.1%
25 85.7%
24 66.0%
23 38.2%
22 15.6%
21 3.8%
20 0.6%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 34.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.7% 0.4%
3 1.7% 0.2%
4 2.9% 0.1%
5 4.2% 0.1%
6 5.3% 0.1%
7 5.7% 0.0%
8 5.3% 0.0%
9 4.2% 0.0%
10 2.7% 0.0%
11 1.4% 0.0%
12 0.4% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.