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Make Tournament

90.1%

Automatic Bid

9.0%

At Large Bid

81.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (14.2%)

Final Four

13.7%

NCAA Champs

3.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.5%
22 95.6%
21 76.8%
20 30.9%
19 4.0%
18 0.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 90.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.9% 8.3%
2 13.9% 4.9%
3 14.2% 3.7%
4 12.4% 2.5%
5 9.5% 2.0%
6 7.6% 1.7%
7 7.7% 1.3%
8 6.2% 1.0%
9 4.1% 0.9%
10 2.7% 0.7%
11 1.7% 0.7%
12 1.0% 0.5%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.