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Make Tournament

72.6%

Automatic Bid

7.6%

At Large Bid

64.9%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.6%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.7%
20 97.8%
19 87.0%
18 58.1%
17 20.1%
16 2.6%
15 0.1%
OVERALL 72.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.0% 0.9%
3 2.7% 0.5%
4 4.5% 0.4%
5 6.1% 0.3%
6 7.4% 0.2%
7 8.5% 0.2%
8 9.2% 0.1%
9 9.6% 0.1%
10 9.3% 0.1%
11 8.4% 0.1%
12 5.5% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.