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Make Tournament

36.0%

Automatic Bid

5.0%

At Large Bid

30.9%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (5.3%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.7%
26 98.6%
25 92.4%
24 80.4%
23 55.1%
22 29.4%
21 9.8%
20 2.9%
19 0.2%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 36.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.5% 0.6%
3 1.2% 0.3%
4 2.2% 0.2%
5 3.2% 0.2%
6 4.2% 0.1%
7 5.0% 0.1%
8 5.3% 0.0%
9 5.1% 0.0%
10 4.3% 0.0%
11 3.1% 0.0%
12 1.7% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.