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Make Tournament

63.0%

Automatic Bid

13.5%

At Large Bid

49.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (7.0%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 97.4%
22 87.5%
21 61.3%
20 28.4%
19 6.7%
18 1.4%
17 0.5%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 63.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 2.7%
2 2.9% 1.3%
3 4.7% 0.7%
4 6.3% 0.3%
5 7.0% 0.2%
6 6.6% 0.1%
7 5.9% 0.1%
8 6.1% 0.1%
9 6.2% 0.0%
10 6.1% 0.0%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 3.4% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.