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Make Tournament

37.7%

Automatic Bid

2.7%

At Large Bid

35.0%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.4%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.5%
21 96.7%
20 84.9%
19 60.7%
18 27.9%
17 8.2%
16 1.3%
15 0.2%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 37.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.7%
3 1.0% 0.4%
4 1.8% 0.3%
5 2.7% 0.1%
6 2.9% 0.1%
7 2.9% 0.1%
8 3.2% 0.0%
9 3.6% 0.0%
10 4.5% 0.0%
11 6.1% 0.0%
12 7.4% 0.0%
13 1.1% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.