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Make Tournament

95.8%

Automatic Bid

17.7%

At Large Bid

78.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (12.5%)

Final Four

4.0%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.5%
18 96.7%
17 79.8%
16 37.5%
15 5.9%
OVERALL 95.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 2.1%
2 5.0% 1.5%
3 9.4% 1.1%
4 11.7% 0.7%
5 12.5% 0.5%
6 12.2% 0.4%
7 11.2% 0.3%
8 9.8% 0.2%
9 8.3% 0.2%
10 6.7% 0.2%
11 5.1% 0.1%
12 2.9% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.