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Make Tournament

95.4%

Automatic Bid

30.7%

At Large Bid

64.8%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (13.5%)

Final Four

11.2%

NCAA Champs

2.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 98.4%
21 92.8%
20 74.2%
19 44.4%
18 18.8%
17 3.6%
16 0.7%
OVERALL 95.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.5% 9.9%
2 9.3% 6.4%
3 12.6% 4.4%
4 13.5% 2.9%
5 12.8% 2.1%
6 11.3% 1.4%
7 9.4% 1.2%
8 7.6% 0.8%
9 6.0% 0.6%
10 4.5% 0.5%
11 3.1% 0.3%
12 1.6% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.