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Make Tournament

65.0%

Automatic Bid

60.3%

At Large Bid

4.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (14.0%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 98.3%
29 95.4%
28 85.1%
27 75.4%
26 65.6%
25 57.4%
24 48.9%
23 38.8%
22 30.4%
21 16.6%
20 11.9%
19 8.5%
18 1.1%
OVERALL 65.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.6% 1.3%
4 1.5% 0.7%
5 3.0% 0.3%
6 4.0% 0.2%
7 4.5% 0.1%
8 5.0% 0.1%
9 5.3% 0.0%
10 5.6% 0.0%
11 7.2% 0.0%
12 14.0% 0.0%
13 11.0% 0.0%
14 2.5% 0.0%
15 0.4% 0.0%
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.