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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

68.4%

At Large Bid

31.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (43.8%)

Final Four

31.5%

NCAA Champs

11.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.9%
28 99.7%
27 96.2%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 31.4% 12.2%
2 43.8% 11.2%
3 18.4% 10.4%
4 5.1% 9.4%
5 1.0% 7.9%
6 0.2% -
7 0.1% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 11.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.