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Make Tournament

82.5%

Automatic Bid

56.0%

At Large Bid

26.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (10.9%)

Final Four

7.1%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.9%
28 99.4%
27 97.9%
26 93.5%
25 84.2%
24 63.9%
23 39.7%
22 19.1%
21 5.9%
20 1.8%
19 1.9%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 82.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.2% 6.4%
2 5.9% 3.8%
3 8.6% 2.8%
4 10.4% 1.9%
5 10.9% 1.3%
6 10.4% 0.9%
7 9.3% 0.7%
8 7.8% 0.5%
9 6.2% 0.4%
10 4.7% 0.3%
11 3.5% 0.2%
12 2.3% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.