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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

68.0%

At Large Bid

31.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (28.3%)

Final Four

21.4%

NCAA Champs

6.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.7%
24 98.3%
23 93.4%
22 79.5%
21 44.2%
20 11.2%
19 13.0%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 16.4% 12.0%
2 28.3% 8.3%
3 22.4% 5.5%
4 14.3% 3.7%
5 8.3% 2.6%
6 4.7% 2.0%
7 2.6% 1.4%
8 1.4% 1.0%
9 0.7% 0.9%
10 0.3% 0.7%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.