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Make Tournament99.1% |
Automatic Bid71.7% |
At Large Bid27.3% |
Most Likely Seed#1 (26.0%) |
Final Four24.6% |
NCAA Champs8.1% |
| Total Wins | NCAA Bid% |
|---|---|
| 32 | 100.0% |
| 31 | 100.0% |
| 30 | 100.0% |
| 29 | 100.0% |
| 28 | 99.9% |
| 27 | 99.7% |
| 26 | 98.5% |
| 25 | 94.5% |
| 24 | 84.8% |
| 23 | 64.7% |
| 22 | 33.8% |
| 21 | 9.6% |
| 20 | 3.6% |
| 19 | 0.4% |
| OVERALL | 99.1% |
NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.
| Seed | Probability | Win Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26.0% | 16.3% |
| 2 | 23.5% | 9.0% |
| 3 | 17.2% | 5.7% |
| 4 | 12.3% | 3.5% |
| 5 | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| 6 | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| 7 | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| 8 | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 9 | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 11 | 0.1% | - |
| 12 | 0.0% | - |
| 13 | 0.0% | - |
| 14 | 0.0% | - |
| 15 | 0.0% | - |
| 16 | 0.0% | - |
| OVERALL | 8.1% |
*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.
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