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Make Tournament

99.1%

Automatic Bid

71.7%

At Large Bid

27.3%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (26.0%)

Final Four

24.6%

NCAA Champs

8.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.9%
27 99.7%
26 98.5%
25 94.5%
24 84.8%
23 64.7%
22 33.8%
21 9.6%
20 3.6%
19 0.4%
OVERALL 99.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 26.0% 16.3%
2 23.5% 9.0%
3 17.2% 5.7%
4 12.3% 3.5%
5 8.4% 2.1%
6 5.3% 1.1%
7 3.1% 0.7%
8 1.8% 0.4%
9 0.9% 0.1%
10 0.4% 0.1%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 8.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.