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Make Tournament

98.8%

Automatic Bid

65.7%

At Large Bid

33.1%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (39.5%)

Final Four

24.7%

NCAA Champs

7.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.0%
22 84.2%
21 58.9%
20 18.4%
19 5.7%
18 15.9%
OVERALL 98.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 39.5% 13.2%
2 21.8% 6.2%
3 15.0% 3.4%
4 9.5% 1.8%
5 5.3% 1.0%
6 3.0% 0.7%
7 2.0% 0.6%
8 1.2% 0.3%
9 0.8% 0.1%
10 0.4% 0.1%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.