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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

80.9%

At Large Bid

19.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (28.4%)

Final Four

33.8%

NCAA Champs

13.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.8%
25 99.7%
24 96.8%
23 95.8%
22 87.4%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 23.2% 20.7%
2 28.4% 14.7%
3 20.7% 10.9%
4 12.7% 8.3%
5 7.1% 6.2%
6 3.8% 4.6%
7 2.0% 3.5%
8 1.0% 2.9%
9 0.5% 2.9%
10 0.3% 1.8%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 13.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.