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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

78.4%

At Large Bid

21.5%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (68.2%)

Final Four

47.0%

NCAA Champs

22.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 99.7%
25 97.3%
24 90.9%
23 38.6%
22 71.1%
21 1.5%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 68.2% 26.4%
2 19.4% 16.3%
3 7.2% 12.0%
4 2.9% 8.9%
5 1.3% 6.7%
6 0.6% 6.3%
7 0.2% -
8 0.1% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 22.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.