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Make Tournament

98.1%

Automatic Bid

41.4%

At Large Bid

56.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (23.6%)

Final Four

10.8%

NCAA Champs

2.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.5%
24 96.4%
23 83.0%
22 53.9%
21 24.8%
20 3.2%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 98.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 16.4% 4.9%
2 23.6% 2.7%
3 18.8% 1.7%
4 13.8% 1.0%
5 9.9% 0.6%
6 6.2% 0.5%
7 3.0% 0.3%
8 1.9% 0.3%
9 1.5% 0.3%
10 1.3% 0.2%
11 1.0% 0.2%
12 0.6% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.