Team Menu: Dayton Flyers

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Make Tournament

79.6%

Automatic Bid

27.5%

At Large Bid

52.1%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (13.1%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.7%
24 98.1%
23 92.1%
22 74.0%
21 45.8%
20 18.8%
19 3.9%
18 0.4%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 79.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.3% 0.8%
3 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.5% 0.3%
5 4.3% 0.2%
6 6.0% 0.1%
7 7.7% 0.1%
8 9.1% 0.0%
9 10.4% 0.0%
10 11.6% 0.0%
11 13.1% 0.0%
12 11.9% 0.0%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.