View Dayton bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

51.9%

At Large Bid

48.1%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (41.8%)

Final Four

16.1%

NCAA Champs

3.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 99.9%
30 99.9%
29 99.9%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 37.3% 3.7%
2 41.8% 3.3%
3 15.9% 3.0%
4 4.1% 2.8%
5 0.7% 2.2%
6 0.1% -
7 0.0% -
8 0.0% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.