View Dayton bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

47.5%

At Large Bid

52.5%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (35.9%)

Final Four

12.4%

NCAA Champs

2.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 99.4%
25 96.6%
24 82.8%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 9.7% 3.4%
2 35.9% 2.7%
3 28.5% 2.2%
4 15.7% 1.7%
5 6.7% 1.4%
6 2.3% 1.2%
7 0.7% 0.8%
8 0.2% -
9 0.1% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.