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Make Tournament

38.6%

Automatic Bid

25.6%

At Large Bid

13.0%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (9.8%)

Final Four

0.4%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 99.2%
27 96.4%
26 87.2%
25 75.1%
24 54.8%
23 35.0%
22 18.7%
21 8.7%
20 3.6%
19 2.4%
18 1.5%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 38.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.2% -
5 0.5% 0.2%
6 1.1% 0.1%
7 2.0% 0.1%
8 3.2% 0.1%
9 4.4% 0.0%
10 5.6% 0.0%
11 7.4% 0.0%
12 9.8% 0.0%
13 3.8% 0.0%
14 0.4% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.