Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

We expect to have NCAA basketball preseason ratings and projections published by Friday, November 1st. Until that time, ratings & projections data in the NCAA basketball section will not be accurate.
Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.7
Duke (0-0)
23.5 6.5 93.3% 9.6%
2 19.5
Virginia (0-0)
22.3 5.7 90.6% 9.0%
3 18.8 21.5 6.5 90.1% 7.6%
4 17.5
Villanova (0-0)
22.2 6.8 89.9% 5.5%
5 17.1
Nevada (0-0)
24.5 3.5 94.8% 5.0%
6 16.8
Kansas (0-0)
20.9 8.1 86.0% 4.3%
7 16.6
Kentucky (0-0)
23.5 7.5 83.4% 4.3%
8 16.6
Tennessee (0-0)
22.2 7.8 85.1% 4.3%
9 16.5
Gonzaga (0-0)
25.1 3.9 94.2% 4.4%
10 16.3 20.5 8.5 76.9% 3.5%
11 16.0
Michigan (0-0)
21.0 8.0 71.6% 3.2%
12 14.7 20.9 9.1 68.7% 2.1%
13 14.7
Syracuse (0-0)
21.2 8.8 58.9% 1.9%
14 14.5
Purdue (0-0)
20.1 9.9 63.6% 1.9%
15 14.4
Auburn (0-0)
21.2 8.8 75.2% 2.0%
16 14.3
Clemson (0-0)
20.2 8.8 49.6% 1.6%
17 14.3 19.9 10.1 52.7% 1.6%
18 14.2
Kansas St (0-0)
20.3 9.7 62.0% 1.8%
19 14.1
Wisconsin (0-0)
19.9 10.1 63.0% 1.6%
20 13.6
VA Tech (0-0)
19.1 9.9 41.1% 1.2%
21 13.3
Florida (0-0)
19.3 9.7 63.0% 1.3%
22 13.2 19.7 10.3 50.7% 1.1%
23 12.8 20.2 8.8 61.3% 1.1%
24 12.4 17.6 11.4 43.3% 0.8%
25 12.3 20.0 8.0 71.6% 0.9%
26 12.3
Marquette (0-0)
17.5 10.5 50.8% 0.8%
27 12.1
Butler (0-0)
18.8 11.2 48.1% 0.7%
28 11.9
Houston (0-0)
22.7 7.3 68.4% 0.8%
29 11.9
Indiana (0-0)
19.6 11.4 41.3% 0.7%
30 11.8 21.0 9.0 68.5% 0.7%
31 11.7 18.0 13.0 40.0% 0.6%
32 11.5
St Johns (0-0)
19.4 10.6 44.4% 0.6%
33 11.5
Texas (0-0)
17.8 12.2 41.6% 0.6%
34 11.4
Oregon (0-0)
20.1 8.9 63.5% 0.6%
35 11.4
Creighton (0-0)
17.4 11.6 39.7% 0.5%

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