Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.0
Duke (16-3)
 26.6 4.4 100.0% 19.3%
2 22.8
Kansas (15-3)
 25.9 5.1 100.0% 18.8%
3 21.0
Gonzaga (20-1)
 28.9 2.1 100.0% 11.1%
4 20.4
Michigan St (14-5)
 22.6 8.4 100.0% 7.9%
5 18.6
Arizona (13-5)
 23.6 7.4 99.9% 4.8%
6 17.5
Baylor (16-1)
 24.7 5.3 100.0% 3.8%
7 17.2
Dayton (17-2)
 27.1 3.9 100.0% 3.2%
8 17.1
Louisville (16-3)
 25.0 6.0 99.9% 3.1%
9 16.9
W Virginia (15-3)
 23.6 7.4 100.0% 3.0%
10 16.9
Maryland (15-4)
 22.2 8.8 99.7% 2.3%
11 16.5
Ohio State (12-7)
 19.5 11.5 79.4% 1.4%
12 16.2
Seton Hall (15-4)
 22.3 7.7 100.0% 2.2%
13 15.6
Florida St (16-2)
 24.7 6.3 100.0% 1.8%
14 15.2
Oregon (16-4)
 23.9 7.1 100.0% 1.5%
15 15.0
Kentucky (14-4)
 22.4 8.6 95.4% 1.2%
16 15.0
Butler (16-4)
 23.0 8.0 99.6% 1.1%
17 14.9
San Diego St (20-0)
 27.3 1.7 97.8% 1.2%
18 14.7
Iowa (14-5)
 20.3 10.7 89.9% 0.8%
19 14.7
Florida (12-6)
 20.7 10.3 97.3% 0.9%
20 14.4
Villanova (15-3)
 22.7 8.3 99.9% 0.9%
21 14.2
Auburn (16-2)
 24.3 6.7 97.8% 0.9%
22 14.1
Purdue (11-9)
 16.8 14.2 58.2% 0.4%
23 14.1
Texas Tech (12-6)
 19.1 11.9 71.6% 0.5%
24 14.0
Colorado (15-4)
 23.2 7.8 98.7% 0.7%
25 13.8
Penn State (14-5)
 20.6 10.4 61.9% 0.4%
26 13.8
Arkansas (14-4)
 22.2 8.8 88.0% 0.6%
27 13.7
Marquette (14-6)
 19.9 10.1 94.6% 0.5%
28 13.7
BYU (15-6)
 22.9 8.1 89.6% 0.5%
29 13.7
Michigan (11-7)
 17.9 13.1 63.7% 0.3%
30 13.5
Illinois (14-5)
 20.1 10.9 65.4% 0.4%
31 13.5
LSU (14-4)
 22.0 9.0 98.0% 0.6%
32 13.2
Rutgers (14-5)
 20.2 10.8 65.1% 0.3%
33 13.2
Wisconsin (12-8)
 17.7 13.3 85.7% 0.3%
34 13.1
Houston (15-4)
 23.3 7.7 86.1% 0.4%
35 12.9
Indiana (15-4)
 20.4 10.6 75.5% 0.3%

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