Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 24.6
Baylor (13-0)
 23.8 2.2 100.0% 21.7%
2 23.9
Gonzaga (14-0)
 24.4 0.6 100.0% 18.7%
3 21.2
Iowa (12-3)
 20.6 6.4 99.8% 8.0%
4 19.6
Illinois (10-5)
 17.4 8.6 98.9% 4.4%
5 19.3
Michigan (12-1)
 19.9 5.1 100.0% 5.0%
6 19.1
Villanova (9-1)
 22.0 5.0 99.8% 4.4%
7 18.9
Houston (12-1)
 20.9 2.1 100.0% 4.2%
8 18.5
Texas (11-2)
 19.5 6.5 100.0% 3.6%
9 18.2
Tennessee (10-2)
 19.8 5.2 96.3% 3.0%
10 18.0
Virginia (9-2)
 19.9 6.1 98.8% 2.9%
11 17.6
Wisconsin (12-3)
 19.0 8.0 98.8% 2.2%
12 17.5
Alabama (12-3)
 21.0 6.0 100.0% 2.6%
13 17.4
Texas Tech (11-4)
 18.7 8.3 95.9% 1.9%
14 17.0
Kansas (10-4)
 17.9 8.1 99.8% 1.7%
15 16.8
Creighton (10-4)
 17.7 7.3 86.0% 1.3%
16 16.5
Florida St (8-2)
 18.0 6.0 95.7% 1.6%
17 16.4
Colorado (11-4)
 20.1 6.9 97.7% 1.2%
18 16.0
W Virginia (9-4)
 17.5 9.5 99.9% 1.1%
19 15.7
Ohio State (11-4)
 16.6 9.4 95.5% 0.9%
20 15.5
Oregon (9-2)
 19.4 6.6 93.3% 0.9%
21 15.1
Oklahoma (8-4)
 14.5 9.5 89.4% 0.7%
22 14.9
USC (11-3)
 19.7 7.3 94.6% 0.7%
23 14.9
Florida (7-4)
 14.7 8.3 95.6% 0.7%
24 14.9
Indiana (9-6)
 15.0 12.0 87.5% 0.5%
25 14.7
LSU (10-3)
 16.7 7.3 94.0% 0.6%
26 14.3
Saint Louis (7-1)
 20.5 4.5 68.8% 0.5%
27 14.1
Minnesota (11-4)
 18.1 8.9 93.2% 0.4%
28 14.1
UCLA (12-2)
 19.3 6.7 96.8% 0.4%
29 13.9
Purdue (11-5)
 17.4 9.6 90.9% 0.4%
30 13.7
Arizona (11-3)
 18.6 7.4 0.0% 0.0%
31 13.5
Arkansas (11-4)
 18.3 8.7 59.1% 0.2%
32 13.4
Boise State (13-1)
 19.4 3.6 77.8% 0.3%
33 13.2
Loyola-Chi (11-3)
 19.8 5.2 48.1% 0.1%
34 13.0
N Carolina (9-5)
 16.2 10.8 86.9% 0.2%
35 13.0
Connecticut (7-2)
 14.8 8.2 72.2% 0.3%

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