Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.7
Kentucky (16-2)
27.4 3.6 100.0% 15.8%
2 23.1
W Virginia (15-2)
26.2 4.8 100.0% 13.2%
3 22.5
N Carolina (17-3)
26.1 5.9 100.0% 10.9%
4 21.7
Villanova (18-1)
27.8 3.2 100.0% 9.1%
5 21.4
Kansas (17-1)
25.9 5.1 100.0% 8.0%
6 21.0
Duke (14-4)
23.2 7.8 99.0% 6.2%
7 20.4
Gonzaga (17-0)
29.1 0.9 100.0% 6.2%
8 19.8
Virginia (13-3)
22.5 7.5 99.2% 4.2%
9 19.0
Louisville (15-3)
24.0 7.0 99.8% 3.3%
10 18.6
UCLA (18-1)
28.0 3.0 100.0% 3.1%
11 18.4
Wisconsin (15-3)
25.2 5.8 98.8% 2.5%
12 18.0
Purdue (15-4)
23.7 7.3 97.7% 1.9%
13 17.6
Baylor (17-1)
25.1 5.9 99.9% 2.0%
14 17.4
Florida (14-3)
24.0 7.0 99.9% 1.8%
15 17.2
Oregon (16-2)
25.8 5.2 99.8% 1.7%
16 16.6
Cincinnati (15-2)
26.8 4.2 99.9% 1.4%
17 16.5
Creighton (18-1)
26.3 4.7 99.9% 1.4%
18 16.4
Butler (16-3)
23.5 6.5 100.0% 1.2%
19 16.4
Florida St (16-2)
24.0 7.0 99.1% 1.1%
20 16.1
Arizona (16-2)
25.6 5.4 99.8% 1.0%
21 15.4
Iowa State (11-6)
18.2 11.8 62.5% 0.4%
22 15.4
Indiana (12-6)
19.7 11.3 65.9% 0.4%
23 15.1
Xavier (13-5)
21.2 9.8 92.2% 0.5%
24 14.9
Notre Dame (16-2)
23.8 7.2 97.4% 0.5%
25 14.9
St Marys (15-2)
25.5 3.5 99.6% 0.5%
26 14.9
Wichita St (16-4)
25.9 5.1 84.5% 0.3%
27 13.5
Miami (FL) (12-4)
18.7 11.3 40.3% 0.1%
28 13.4
23.9 7.1 94.3% 0.2%
29 13.2
Clemson (11-6)
18.2 11.8 49.8% 0.1%
30 12.8
Syracuse (11-8)
16.8 14.2 15.3% 0.0%
31 12.8
Marquette (12-6)
18.6 11.4 42.7% 0.1%
32 12.4
Texas Tech (13-4)
20.0 11.0 33.6% 0.1%
33 12.2
Kansas St (13-4)
18.8 12.2 23.2% 0.0%
34 11.8
16.7 14.3 20.0% 0.0%
35 11.7 21.3 9.7 57.1% 0.1%

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