Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 25.6
Duke (14-2)
 26.4 4.6 100.0% 26.6%
2 23.2
Gonzaga (16-2)
 28.3 2.7 100.0% 14.6%
3 22.8
Virginia (16-0)
 26.5 3.5 100.0% 14.0%
4 21.5
Michigan St (15-2)
 25.4 5.6 100.0% 9.3%
5 20.6
Tennessee (15-1)
 27.0 4.0 100.0% 7.6%
6 19.6
N Carolina (13-4)
 22.7 8.3 98.8% 4.3%
7 17.8
Michigan (17-0)
 25.8 5.2 99.5% 2.6%
8 17.7
Kansas (15-2)
 24.3 6.7 100.0% 2.8%
9 17.2
Auburn (12-3)
 23.3 7.7 95.7% 2.0%
10 17.1
Nebraska (13-4)
 22.1 8.9 85.7% 1.5%
11 17.0
Nevada (17-1)
 28.7 2.3 99.6% 1.7%
12 16.8
VA Tech (14-2)
 22.7 7.3 91.9% 1.5%
13 16.7
Texas Tech (15-1)
 24.8 6.2 98.4% 1.8%
14 16.3
Kentucky (13-3)
 22.2 8.8 92.8% 1.2%
15 16.2
Purdue (11-6)
 19.8 11.2 92.1% 1.0%
16 15.3
Iowa State (12-4)
 20.7 10.3 79.6% 0.7%
17 15.0
Wisconsin (11-6)
 19.2 11.8 72.1% 0.5%
18 14.6
Villanova (13-4)
 22.6 8.4 97.9% 0.7%
19 14.3
NC State (14-3)
 22.0 9.0 33.9% 0.2%
20 14.3
Oklahoma (13-3)
 22.0 9.0 93.3% 0.5%
21 14.2
TX Christian (13-3)
 21.6 9.4 80.1% 0.4%
22 13.9
Buffalo (16-1)
 27.9 3.1 99.8% 0.5%
23 13.8
Florida St (13-4)
 21.8 9.2 78.9% 0.3%
24 13.5
Florida (9-7)
 17.6 13.4 41.0% 0.2%
25 13.5
Indiana (12-5)
 19.4 11.6 54.9% 0.2%
26 13.5
Louisville (11-5)
 19.0 12.0 83.2% 0.3%
27 13.4
Maryland (15-3)
 21.2 9.8 88.4% 0.3%
28 13.3
Ohio State (12-4)
 19.8 11.2 56.9% 0.2%
29 13.0
Miss State (13-3)
 21.3 9.7 74.6% 0.2%
30 12.9
Marquette (15-3)
 23.1 7.9 94.0% 0.3%
31 12.9
Cincinnati (15-3)
 23.7 7.3 93.7% 0.3%
32 12.5
Iowa (14-3)
 21.3 9.7 60.7% 0.1%
33 12.5
Syracuse (12-5)
 19.1 11.9 59.2% 0.1%
34 12.1
Texas (10-7)
 16.9 14.1 47.1% 0.1%
35 12.0
Houston (16-1)
 25.8 5.2 95.4% 0.2%

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