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Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 21.4
Villanova (35-5)
 29.0 5.0 100.0% 6.9%
2 21.2
Kansas (33-5)
 30.0 4.0 100.0% 16.7%
3 21.1
N Carolina (33-7)
 28.0 6.0 100.0% 13.3%
4 20.2
Michigan St (29-6)
 28.0 5.0 100.0% 12.6%
5 19.7
Virginia (29-8)
 26.0 7.0 100.0% 6.8%
6 18.5
W Virginia (26-9)
 26.0 8.0 100.0% 5.6%
7 18.5
Louisville (23-8)
 23.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
8 18.2
Kentucky (27-9)
 25.0 8.0 100.0% 4.4%
9 17.7
Purdue (26-9)
 26.0 7.0 100.0% 4.3%
10 17.4
Indiana (27-8)
 25.0 7.0 100.0% 3.4%
11 17.2
Oklahoma (29-8)
 25.0 7.0 100.0% 4.0%
12 17.2
Duke (25-11)
 23.0 10.0 100.0% 3.3%
13 16.2
S Methodist (25-5)
 25.0 5.0 0.0% 0.0%
14 16.1
Arizona (25-9)
 25.0 8.0 99.8% 1.7%
15 15.9
Miami (FL) (27-8)
 25.0 7.0 100.0% 2.3%
16 15.7
Xavier (28-6)
 27.0 5.0 100.0% 2.0%
17 15.5
Wichita St (26-9)
 24.0 8.0 51.2% 0.4%
18 15.5
Texas A&M (28-9)
 26.0 7.0 100.0% 1.8%
19 15.4
Gonzaga (28-8)
 26.0 7.0 100.0% 0.8%
20 14.9
Maryland (27-9)
 25.0 8.0 100.0% 1.0%
21 14.8
Vanderbilt (19-14)
 19.0 13.0 13.7% 0.1%
22 14.7
Iowa State (23-12)
 21.0 11.0 99.8% 0.7%
23 14.6
Oregon (31-7)
 28.0 6.0 100.0% 1.6%
24 14.6
Iowa (22-11)
 21.0 10.0 99.9% 1.2%
25 14.1
Butler (22-11)
 21.0 10.0 81.3% 0.4%
26 14.0
Connecticut (25-11)
 23.0 10.0 97.9% 0.6%
27 13.6
Baylor (22-12)
 22.0 11.0 99.7% 0.4%
28 13.5
Cincinnati (22-11)
 22.0 10.0 90.1% 0.4%
29 13.1
Florida (21-15)
 19.0 14.0 13.4% 0.0%
30 12.9
Pittsburgh (21-12)
 21.0 11.0 51.8% 0.1%
31 12.8
Utah (27-9)
 26.0 8.0 100.0% 0.6%
32 12.7
California (23-11)
 23.0 10.0 100.0% 0.5%
33 12.4
VCU (25-11)
 24.0 9.0 98.0% 0.3%
34 12.4
Notre Dame (24-12)
 21.0 11.0 99.8% 0.2%
35 12.3
Syracuse (23-14)
 19.0 13.0 4.3% 0.0%

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