Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.3
Duke (7-1)
25.6 5.4 99.7% 13.9%
2 22.6
Kentucky (7-0)
27.5 3.5 99.9% 12.2%
3 22.1 26.2 5.8 99.6% 10.1%
4 22.0
Kansas (6-1)
25.3 5.7 99.6% 9.8%
5 21.7
Virginia (7-0)
24.2 5.8 99.1% 8.7%
6 20.9
Villanova (7-0)
26.6 4.4 99.6% 7.5%
7 20.3 24.4 6.6 95.1% 5.9%
8 19.5 23.5 7.5 98.5% 4.2%
9 18.3
UCLA (8-0)
26.5 4.5 97.9% 3.0%
10 17.4
Xavier (7-0)
23.9 7.1 96.0% 2.1%
11 17.1
Gonzaga (7-0)
27.2 2.8 99.4% 2.0%
12 16.9
Florida (7-1)
23.7 7.3 98.3% 1.7%
13 16.7
Syracuse (4-2)
22.2 8.8 77.5% 1.6%
14 16.7
Wisconsin (6-2)
23.0 8.0 87.7% 1.5%
15 16.6 26.7 4.3 92.7% 1.3%
16 16.6
Baylor (7-0)
23.5 7.5 96.2% 1.6%
17 16.5
Butler (7-0)
23.0 7.0 93.7% 1.5%
18 16.3
St Marys (6-0)
26.5 2.5 98.8% 1.6%
19 16.3
Indiana (5-1)
23.2 7.8 90.1% 1.5%
20 15.8
Purdue (5-2)
22.8 8.2 82.9% 1.0%
21 15.3 19.5 10.5 65.2% 0.7%
22 14.9
Creighton (7-0)
23.4 7.6 81.9% 0.7%
23 14.7 25.2 5.8 95.4% 0.8%
24 14.1 21.7 9.3 65.6% 0.4%
25 13.9 22.5 8.5 77.6% 0.4%
26 13.9
Marquette (5-2)
19.6 10.4 53.6% 0.3%
27 13.8 19.9 11.1 72.0% 0.3%
28 13.6
Arizona (6-1)
22.7 8.3 85.3% 0.4%
29 13.5 19.0 11.0 46.8% 0.2%
30 13.2
Michigan (5-2)
20.7 10.3 62.3% 0.3%
31 13.0
Oregon (6-2)
22.3 8.7 72.4% 0.3%
32 12.9 24.1 6.9 85.7% 0.3%
33 12.8 20.2 10.8 35.8% 0.2%
34 12.4
VCU (6-1)
24.9 6.1 83.0% 0.2%
35 12.1
VA Tech (6-1)
19.5 10.5 40.6% 0.1%

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