Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 21.6
Purdue (4-0)
25.0 4.0 98.8% 11.0%
2 21.4 24.3 3.7 99.3% 10.7%
3 20.0
Duke (4-0)
24.5 4.5 98.5% 6.8%
4 19.9
Arizona (3-0)
25.3 3.7 98.9% 6.9%
5 19.9
Kansas (3-0)
24.4 6.6 95.5% 6.7%
6 19.4
Villanova (3-0)
23.0 6.0 95.6% 5.8%
7 19.3
Xavier (3-0)
24.1 5.9 96.6% 5.8%
8 18.7 23.8 5.2 95.4% 4.7%
9 18.5
Florida (3-0)
22.5 6.5 91.1% 4.3%
10 18.0 22.7 6.3 88.9% 3.7%
11 17.2 20.9 9.1 70.1% 2.3%
12 17.1
Virginia (4-0)
22.4 6.6 92.1% 2.6%
13 16.4 21.5 6.5 83.3% 2.0%
14 16.4 21.1 7.9 86.4% 2.2%
15 15.7
Texas A&M (2-0)
20.6 9.4 80.9% 1.7%
16 15.6 21.8 7.2 76.4% 1.4%
17 15.4
Arkansas (3-0)
20.7 8.3 78.2% 1.4%
18 15.3
Minnesota (4-0)
23.1 7.9 77.7% 1.2%
19 15.1
Gonzaga (3-0)
24.7 4.3 90.5% 1.3%
20 15.0 21.1 9.9 56.8% 1.0%
21 15.0
Kentucky (3-1)
20.8 10.2 78.9% 1.0%
22 14.8
Baylor (3-0)
18.5 11.5 58.2% 0.9%
23 14.6
Texas (3-0)
18.3 10.7 57.4% 0.9%
24 14.4
Oregon (4-0)
22.8 6.2 80.5% 0.9%
25 14.3
Oklahoma (2-0)
16.1 11.9 52.6% 0.7%
26 14.2 20.0 10.0 69.9% 0.7%
27 14.1
USC (3-0)
21.7 7.3 86.1% 0.9%
28 14.1
Alabama (3-0)
19.9 11.1 73.7% 0.8%
29 14.1
St Marys (4-0)
25.5 3.5 88.1% 0.8%
30 13.9
Maryland (4-0)
21.9 8.1 76.6% 0.7%
31 13.7 19.0 11.0 56.5% 0.6%
32 13.6
Wisconsin (2-1)
19.4 10.6 59.9% 0.6%
33 13.6 18.0 12.0 36.5% 0.5%
34 13.5 20.2 10.8 62.8% 0.5%
35 13.5
Creighton (3-0)
20.4 9.6 63.6% 0.6%

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