Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 21.4
Villanova (10-0)
26.9 4.1 99.9% 10.7%
2 21.3 27.0 4.0 99.6% 10.3%
3 20.9
Duke (11-1)
25.9 5.1 99.8% 8.8%
4 20.5 26.1 3.9 99.8% 8.5%
5 20.5
Kansas (7-2)
23.5 7.5 98.0% 7.8%
6 20.3
Purdue (10-2)
25.4 5.6 99.3% 7.1%
7 19.2
Xavier (9-1)
24.9 6.1 98.9% 5.2%
8 19.0 23.7 7.3 98.4% 4.8%
9 18.7
Virginia (8-1)
23.8 6.2 98.0% 4.4%
10 18.3 24.4 7.6 93.9% 3.7%
11 18.2
Gonzaga (8-2)
27.1 3.9 99.2% 3.4%
12 17.4 24.6 6.4 94.7% 2.6%
13 16.5 21.7 6.3 88.5% 1.8%
14 16.3
Texas A&M (8-1)
23.1 7.9 94.1% 1.9%
15 16.2 23.1 7.9 92.5% 1.7%
16 16.1
Florida (6-3)
21.5 9.5 85.8% 1.5%
17 16.0
Arizona (7-3)
23.9 7.1 96.6% 1.6%
18 15.4
Arkansas (7-2)
22.3 8.7 86.1% 1.2%
19 15.3 22.0 9.0 79.2% 1.0%
20 15.3 22.4 8.6 84.4% 1.0%
21 14.8
Texas (6-2)
19.5 11.5 68.0% 0.8%
22 14.6
Creighton (7-2)
21.4 9.6 75.3% 0.7%
23 14.5 20.8 10.2 59.4% 0.6%
24 14.4
Kentucky (8-1)
20.9 10.1 76.7% 0.7%
25 14.4 21.9 8.1 73.1% 0.7%
26 14.3
Baylor (7-2)
19.5 11.5 60.4% 0.5%
27 14.3
VA Tech (9-1)
21.0 10.0 54.1% 0.5%
28 14.0
Minnesota (8-3)
21.4 9.6 49.1% 0.4%
29 13.9 20.0 11.0 65.0% 0.5%
30 13.4
Tennessee (7-1)
20.2 9.8 75.4% 0.4%
31 13.3
Maryland (9-3)
21.0 10.0 57.4% 0.3%
32 13.3
Missouri (8-2)
20.9 10.1 68.2% 0.4%
33 13.1
Nevada (8-2)
25.6 6.4 90.9% 0.4%
34 13.1 24.5 5.5 90.9% 0.5%
35 13.0 22.0 9.0 77.0% 0.3%

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