Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 25.4
Duke (23-3)
26.9 4.1 100.0% 23.5%
2 24.8
Gonzaga (26-2)
28.8 2.2 100.0% 20.0%
3 23.1
Virginia (23-2)
27.2 2.8 100.0% 13.7%
4 22.1
N Carolina (21-5)
24.8 6.2 100.0% 9.5%
5 21.0
24.8 6.2 100.0% 6.8%
6 19.2
Kentucky (22-4)
25.5 5.5 100.0% 4.1%
7 19.2
Tennessee (24-2)
27.1 3.9 100.0% 3.8%
8 18.1
Michigan (24-3)
26.1 4.9 100.0% 2.5%
9 17.6
Nevada (24-2)
28.4 2.6 99.7% 1.6%
10 17.6
Auburn (18-8)
21.1 9.9 92.7% 1.3%
11 17.5
Texas Tech (21-5)
24.4 6.6 99.8% 1.5%
12 17.4
Purdue (19-7)
22.6 8.4 100.0% 1.7%
13 16.8
Kansas (20-6)
23.1 7.9 100.0% 1.5%
14 16.8
VA Tech (20-6)
22.3 7.7 98.9% 1.0%
15 16.2
Wisconsin (18-8)
21.3 9.7 99.3% 0.8%
16 16.2
Iowa State (19-7)
22.1 8.9 98.2% 0.8%
17 15.7
Florida St (21-5)
24.2 6.8 100.0% 0.8%
18 15.1
Villanova (20-7)
22.7 8.3 99.9% 0.6%
19 14.8
Houston (25-1)
29.0 2.0 100.0% 0.7%
20 14.6
Louisville (18-9)
20.0 11.0 99.5% 0.4%
21 14.4
Maryland (20-7)
22.6 8.4 99.8% 0.4%
22 14.3
Buffalo (24-3)
27.5 3.5 100.0% 0.4%
23 14.0
Marquette (22-4)
25.0 6.0 100.0% 0.4%
24 13.8
Miss State (19-7)
22.0 9.0 98.8% 0.3%
25 13.5
NC State (19-8)
21.8 9.2 14.3% 0.0%
26 13.5
Florida (15-11)
18.3 12.7 63.5% 0.1%
27 13.4
LSU (21-5)
24.0 7.0 100.0% 0.3%
28 13.1
Kansas St (20-6)
22.9 8.1 99.9% 0.2%
29 13.0
Cincinnati (22-4)
25.1 5.9 99.8% 0.2%
30 12.9
Iowa (21-6)
22.9 8.1 90.2% 0.1%
31 12.9
Texas (15-11)
17.2 13.8 75.2% 0.1%
32 12.8
Oklahoma (16-10)
18.6 12.4 40.9% 0.1%
33 12.4
Clemson (15-11)
17.9 13.1 16.6% 0.0%
34 12.4
Syracuse (18-8)
19.7 11.3 88.7% 0.1%
35 12.1
Ohio State (17-9)
19.1 11.9 26.9% 0.0%

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