Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.0
Villanova (11-0)
27.5 3.5 100.0% 13.3%
2 21.0
26.9 4.1 99.6% 9.8%
3 21.0
Duke (11-1)
26.0 5.0 99.8% 9.5%
4 20.6
Purdue (11-2)
25.7 5.3 99.7% 8.5%
5 19.9
Kansas (8-2)
23.2 7.8 97.7% 6.8%
6 19.3 24.9 5.1 99.6% 5.9%
7 19.0 23.8 7.2 98.7% 5.0%
8 18.9
Virginia (9-1)
24.1 5.9 98.5% 5.1%
9 18.2
W Virginia (10-1)
24.4 7.6 93.6% 3.7%
10 18.1
Xavier (10-1)
24.4 6.6 97.9% 3.6%
11 18.0 25.5 5.5 97.9% 3.4%
12 17.2
Texas A&M (9-1)
23.5 7.5 96.0% 2.6%
13 17.0
Gonzaga (9-2)
26.8 4.2 98.4% 2.2%
14 16.3
Arizona (8-3)
24.3 6.7 98.1% 1.9%
15 16.2 21.7 6.3 87.4% 1.5%
16 16.0
Arkansas (8-2)
22.7 8.3 89.4% 1.6%
17 15.7
Florida (6-4)
20.6 10.4 79.6% 1.2%
18 15.5 22.1 8.9 88.7% 1.2%
19 15.4
Creighton (8-2)
22.0 9.0 81.3% 1.1%
20 15.1 22.3 8.7 84.3% 1.1%
21 14.7
Baylor (8-2)
19.7 11.3 64.7% 0.7%
22 14.6
Kentucky (9-1)
21.3 9.7 80.7% 0.8%
23 14.4 20.7 10.3 64.1% 0.6%
24 14.3 20.4 10.6 68.5% 0.6%
25 14.2 21.1 8.9 65.8% 0.6%
26 14.1
Oklahoma (8-1)
19.2 10.8 72.1% 0.6%
27 14.1
VA Tech (9-2)
20.5 10.5 49.2% 0.4%
28 14.1 20.5 10.5 57.4% 0.5%
29 14.0
Texas (7-3)
18.3 12.7 56.7% 0.4%
30 13.8
Missouri (9-2)
21.1 9.9 70.6% 0.5%
31 13.5
Tennessee (7-1)
20.2 9.8 75.2% 0.5%
32 13.3
Michigan (10-3)
20.8 10.2 50.9% 0.3%
33 13.1 24.6 5.4 92.1% 0.6%
34 13.1
Nevada (8-2)
25.6 6.4 92.2% 0.5%
35 13.0
Minnesota (9-3)
20.6 10.4 42.1% 0.2%

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