Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.8
Villanova (21-3)
26.9 4.1 100.0% 10.5%
2 19.6
25.3 5.7 99.9% 8.8%
3 19.3
Kansas (20-4)
24.9 6.1 100.0% 8.9%
4 19.2
Louisville (19-5)
23.4 7.6 0.0% 0.0%
5 18.8
Duke (18-6)
22.4 8.6 98.8% 6.4%
6 18.8
W Virginia (19-5)
24.2 6.8 100.0% 6.8%
7 18.6
N Carolina (20-4)
24.5 6.5 99.8% 6.4%
8 18.1
Oklahoma (20-3)
24.8 5.2 100.0% 6.1%
9 18.1
Virginia (20-4)
23.5 6.5 100.0% 6.0%
10 17.7
Purdue (20-5)
24.1 6.9 99.7% 4.4%
11 17.3
Iowa (19-4)
23.9 6.1 100.0% 4.5%
12 16.8
Miami (FL) (19-4)
23.2 6.8 99.9% 3.7%
13 16.7
Kentucky (18-6)
22.6 8.4 98.8% 3.2%
14 16.6
Indiana (19-5)
23.2 7.8 92.7% 2.6%
15 16.4
Arizona (19-5)
24.4 6.6 96.7% 2.7%
16 16.4
Maryland (22-3)
26.1 4.9 100.0% 3.1%
17 15.9
24.8 5.2 0.0% 0.0%
18 14.8
Texas A&M (18-6)
23.3 7.7 93.8% 1.3%
19 14.8
Iowa State (17-7)
21.2 9.8 98.3% 1.4%
20 14.8
Xavier (21-3)
24.5 5.5 100.0% 1.6%
21 14.6
22.5 8.5 92.0% 1.0%
22 14.6
Vanderbilt (14-10)
18.5 12.5 53.5% 0.6%
23 14.6
Butler (17-7)
20.8 9.2 76.0% 0.8%
24 14.4
Wichita St (18-6)
23.4 6.6 97.5% 1.0%
25 14.3
Cincinnati (18-7)
22.3 8.7 86.7% 0.7%
26 14.3
Gonzaga (19-5)
23.4 6.6 75.5% 0.6%
27 14.0
Florida (16-8)
20.6 10.4 86.6% 0.7%
28 13.3
Baylor (18-6)
21.6 9.4 88.0% 0.5%
29 13.3
Pittsburgh (17-6)
20.6 9.4 56.4% 0.4%
30 13.3
Notre Dame (17-7)
20.4 9.6 91.0% 0.5%
31 13.2
Oregon (20-4)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 0.9%
32 13.1
Texas (16-8)
19.3 11.7 92.9% 0.5%
33 12.8
Michigan (18-7)
21.0 10.0 67.8% 0.3%
34 12.3
VCU (17-6)
23.0 8.0 88.8% 0.3%
35 12.1
Valparaiso (20-4)
26.1 4.9 93.5% 0.3%

Show All Teams