Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 21.4
Villanova (10-0)
26.9 4.1 99.9% 10.7%
2 21.3 27.1 3.9 99.6% 10.5%
3 20.8
Duke (11-1)
25.9 5.1 99.8% 8.6%
4 20.7
Kansas (7-2)
23.7 7.3 98.1% 8.4%
5 20.6 26.1 3.9 99.8% 8.7%
6 20.3
Purdue (10-2)
25.5 5.5 99.5% 7.4%
7 19.1
Xavier (9-1)
24.8 6.2 98.9% 5.1%
8 19.0 23.7 7.3 98.7% 4.8%
9 18.7
Virginia (8-1)
23.8 6.2 97.9% 4.4%
10 18.2 23.4 7.6 92.4% 3.5%
11 18.2
Gonzaga (8-2)
27.1 3.9 99.1% 3.4%
12 17.4 24.7 6.3 95.2% 2.5%
13 16.4 21.7 6.3 87.4% 1.7%
14 16.3
Texas A&M (8-1)
23.0 8.0 94.2% 1.8%
15 16.2 23.2 7.8 93.0% 1.6%
16 16.2
Florida (6-3)
21.5 9.5 86.5% 1.6%
17 16.0
Arizona (7-3)
24.0 7.0 96.7% 1.6%
18 15.3
Arkansas (7-2)
22.2 8.8 85.8% 1.2%
19 15.2 21.9 9.1 78.0% 0.9%
20 15.2 22.4 8.6 83.7% 1.0%
21 14.6 20.5 10.5 69.8% 0.7%
22 14.5
Creighton (7-2)
21.4 9.6 76.0% 0.7%
23 14.5 20.8 10.2 60.6% 0.7%
24 14.4
Kentucky (8-1)
20.9 10.1 76.6% 0.7%
25 14.4 21.8 8.2 72.8% 0.7%
26 14.3
VA Tech (9-1)
20.9 10.1 53.9% 0.5%
27 14.3
Baylor (7-2)
19.5 11.5 60.8% 0.6%
28 13.9
Texas (6-3)
18.2 12.8 55.0% 0.4%
29 13.4
Tennessee (7-1)
20.2 9.8 76.4% 0.5%
30 13.2
Missouri (8-2)
20.9 10.1 67.9% 0.4%
31 13.1 24.6 5.4 91.2% 0.5%
32 13.1
Nevada (8-2)
25.6 6.4 91.0% 0.4%
33 13.0
Minnesota (9-3)
20.8 10.2 40.5% 0.2%
34 12.9 22.1 8.9 75.7% 0.3%
35 12.8
Oklahoma (7-1)
17.5 12.5 47.2% 0.2%

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