Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 24.3
Duke (4-0)
25.8 4.2 99.9% 21.4%
2 22.0 24.5 5.5 99.3% 11.7%
3 19.5
Virginia (3-0)
21.6 6.4 92.6% 6.1%
4 19.4
Nebraska (4-0)
23.2 6.8 91.8% 5.6%
5 19.4
Gonzaga (4-0)
26.3 3.7 99.3% 6.2%
6 19.0
Kansas (3-0)
23.8 6.2 98.1% 5.7%
7 18.4
Nevada (4-0)
26.5 3.5 98.6% 4.1%
8 18.2
Auburn (4-0)
24.1 5.9 95.7% 4.2%
9 18.1 20.6 9.4 84.8% 3.5%
10 17.7
Michigan (5-0)
23.6 7.4 85.2% 3.1%
11 17.1 22.2 6.8 92.1% 3.0%
12 16.9
Tennessee (3-0)
23.6 6.4 89.4% 2.9%
13 16.6
Indiana (3-1)
20.9 10.1 69.5% 2.0%
14 16.2 22.7 8.3 80.3% 1.9%
15 16.0
Purdue (4-1)
20.1 10.9 78.6% 1.4%
16 16.0
VA Tech (4-0)
22.1 7.9 85.0% 1.8%
17 15.3
NC State (4-0)
22.3 8.7 57.7% 1.1%
18 15.2
Oregon (3-1)
23.5 7.5 89.5% 1.5%
19 14.9 19.5 8.5 76.7% 1.2%
20 14.7 22.1 8.9 70.8% 1.0%
21 14.4
Wisconsin (3-0)
18.7 10.3 59.5% 0.9%
22 13.7
Kentucky (3-1)
20.0 11.0 68.0% 0.7%
23 13.6 20.3 9.7 69.0% 0.6%
24 13.5
Kansas St (5-0)
21.2 9.8 70.8% 0.6%
25 13.4 21.5 8.5 82.5% 0.7%
26 13.1
Iowa (4-0)
20.1 10.9 45.9% 0.4%
27 12.5
Florida (2-1)
17.6 11.4 57.3% 0.4%
28 12.4
Marquette (3-1)
20.0 10.0 63.8% 0.4%
29 12.1
Clemson (4-0)
18.7 11.3 53.6% 0.3%
30 12.0
UCLA (4-0)
21.0 9.0 72.5% 0.3%
31 12.0
Butler (3-0)
19.3 9.7 62.6% 0.4%
32 11.9
Syracuse (2-2)
18.1 12.9 40.9% 0.2%
33 11.8
Oklahoma (3-0)
17.4 11.6 52.8% 0.3%
34 11.6 17.8 13.2 47.8% 0.2%
35 11.6
Houston (3-0)
23.7 7.3 73.3% 0.4%

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