Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.8
Villanova (21-3)
26.9 4.1 100.0% 10.6%
2 19.6
25.3 5.7 99.9% 8.9%
3 19.3
Kansas (20-4)
24.9 6.1 100.0% 8.9%
4 19.2
Louisville (19-5)
23.4 7.6 0.0% 0.0%
5 18.8
W Virginia (19-5)
24.2 6.8 100.0% 6.9%
6 18.8
Duke (18-6)
22.4 8.6 98.9% 6.2%
7 18.6
N Carolina (20-4)
24.5 6.5 99.8% 6.5%
8 18.2
Oklahoma (20-3)
24.8 5.2 100.0% 6.2%
9 18.1
Virginia (20-4)
23.5 6.5 100.0% 5.9%
10 17.7
Purdue (20-5)
24.1 6.9 99.6% 4.5%
11 17.1
Iowa (19-5)
23.5 6.5 100.0% 4.1%
12 16.8
Miami (FL) (19-4)
23.2 6.8 99.9% 3.8%
13 16.8
Indiana (20-5)
23.6 7.4 98.2% 3.0%
14 16.7
Kentucky (18-6)
22.6 8.4 98.6% 3.2%
15 16.4
Maryland (22-3)
26.1 4.9 100.0% 3.2%
16 16.4
Arizona (19-5)
24.4 6.6 96.4% 2.6%
17 15.9
24.8 5.2 0.0% 0.0%
18 14.8
Texas A&M (18-6)
23.3 7.7 93.4% 1.3%
19 14.8
Iowa State (17-7)
21.2 9.8 98.1% 1.3%
20 14.7
Xavier (21-3)
24.5 5.5 99.9% 1.6%
21 14.7
Gonzaga (20-5)
23.6 6.4 79.2% 0.8%
22 14.6
Vanderbilt (14-10)
18.5 12.5 53.4% 0.6%
23 14.5
Butler (17-7)
20.8 9.2 76.0% 0.8%
24 14.4
Wichita St (18-6)
23.4 6.6 97.3% 0.9%
25 14.3
21.8 9.2 85.8% 0.8%
26 14.3
Cincinnati (18-7)
22.3 8.7 85.8% 0.7%
27 14.0
Florida (16-8)
20.6 10.4 86.9% 0.7%
28 13.4
Notre Dame (17-7)
20.4 9.6 92.5% 0.6%
29 13.4
Pittsburgh (17-6)
20.5 9.5 57.0% 0.4%
30 13.3
Baylor (18-6)
21.6 9.4 88.7% 0.5%
31 13.1
Texas (16-8)
19.3 11.7 92.4% 0.6%
32 12.9
Michigan (18-7)
21.0 10.0 66.3% 0.3%
33 12.6
Oregon (20-5)
24.1 6.9 100.0% 0.7%
34 12.1
USC (18-5)
22.6 8.4 92.3% 0.4%
35 11.9
Valparaiso (21-4)
26.1 4.9 92.9% 0.3%

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