Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 24.6
Gonzaga (15-2)
 26.2 2.8 100.0% 21.0%
2 22.9
Arizona (15-1)
 28.0 3.0 100.0% 13.8%
3 20.9
Baylor (17-2)
 25.6 5.4 100.0% 7.7%
4 20.7
Purdue (15-3)
 24.9 6.1 100.0% 6.8%
5 20.6
Houston (17-2)
 26.4 3.6 99.6% 6.4%
6 19.9
Kentucky (15-4)
 24.3 7.7 99.8% 4.8%
7 19.8
Auburn (18-1)
 27.5 3.5 100.0% 5.6%
8 19.7
Kansas (16-2)
 24.2 5.8 100.0% 5.3%
9 19.6
Villanova (14-5)
 23.7 7.3 100.0% 4.8%
10 18.6
Duke (15-3)
 25.3 5.7 98.6% 3.0%
11 18.3
Illinois (13-5)
 21.0 9.0 99.8% 2.7%
12 18.3
LSU (15-4)
 24.1 6.9 100.0% 2.6%
13 17.6
Tennessee (13-5)
 21.5 8.5 99.9% 2.0%
14 17.6
UCLA (13-2)
 23.5 5.5 98.9% 2.1%
15 16.9
Connecticut (13-4)
 22.7 8.3 98.4% 1.5%
16 16.4
Texas Tech (15-4)
 22.2 8.8 97.0% 1.3%
17 16.2
Alabama (13-6)
 20.4 10.6 100.0% 1.1%
18 15.9
Texas (14-5)
 20.2 10.8 85.4% 0.8%
19 15.6
Iowa (14-5)
 21.5 9.5 77.6% 0.6%
20 15.5
Xavier (14-3)
 23.5 7.5 99.8% 0.9%
21 15.1
Seton Hall (12-5)
 20.8 9.2 93.5% 0.6%
22 15.0
Ohio State (12-4)
 19.8 9.2 99.3% 0.6%
23 14.9
Michigan St (15-3)
 21.8 9.2 99.9% 0.7%
24 14.7
Indiana (14-4)
 20.9 9.1 89.2% 0.5%
25 14.5
Florida (12-6)
 20.2 10.8 75.1% 0.3%
26 14.4
Michigan (8-7)
 15.8 14.2 88.6% 0.4%
27 14.4
USC (16-2)
 23.5 6.5 86.7% 0.4%
28 13.0
VA Tech (10-8)
 19.0 12.0 18.6% 0.1%
29 12.9
Arkansas (14-5)
 20.1 10.9 52.4% 0.1%
30 12.8
Oklahoma (12-7)
 17.5 13.5 68.9% 0.1%
31 12.7
Wisconsin (15-3)
 21.8 8.2 100.0% 0.2%
32 12.5
St Marys (15-4)
 23.1 7.9 76.4% 0.1%
33 12.3
Loyola-Chi (14-3)
 23.3 5.7 45.9% 0.1%
34 12.1
Oklahoma St (10-8)
 15.7 14.3 0.0% 0.0%
35 12.0
N Carolina (12-6)
 19.8 11.2 73.7% 0.1%

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