Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.3
Kansas (28-3)
 28.0 3.0 100.0% 19.1%
2 21.1
Duke (25-6)
 25.0 6.0 100.0% 12.9%
3 20.8
Gonzaga (31-2)
 31.0 2.0 100.0% 12.5%
4 20.3
Michigan St (22-9)
 22.0 9.0 100.0% 9.6%
5 18.1
Baylor (26-4)
 26.0 4.0 100.0% 5.8%
6 17.1
Louisville (24-7)
 24.0 7.0 100.0% 3.4%
7 17.0
Ohio State (21-10)
 21.0 10.0 100.0% 2.6%
8 16.7
Dayton (29-2)
 29.0 2.0 100.0% 3.4%
9 16.6
Arizona (21-11)
 21.0 11.0 89.7% 1.9%
10 16.2
Maryland (24-7)
 24.0 7.0 100.0% 2.3%
11 16.0
Florida St (26-5)
 26.0 5.0 100.0% 2.6%
12 15.6
W Virginia (21-10)
 21.0 10.0 100.0% 1.6%
13 15.3
Michigan (19-12)
 19.0 12.0 99.9% 1.1%
14 15.3
Oregon (24-7)
 24.0 7.0 100.0% 1.9%
15 15.3
San Diego St (30-2)
 30.0 2.0 90.6% 1.5%
16 15.2
Villanova (24-7)
 24.0 7.0 100.0% 1.8%
17 15.1
Creighton (24-7)
 24.0 7.0 100.0% 1.8%
18 15.1
Kentucky (25-6)
 25.0 6.0 100.0% 1.7%
19 14.9
Texas Tech (18-13)
 18.0 13.0 75.6% 0.7%
20 14.8
Seton Hall (21-9)
 21.0 9.0 100.0% 1.4%
21 14.6
BYU (24-8)
 24.0 8.0 99.5% 0.9%
22 14.5
Houston (23-8)
 23.0 8.0 93.0% 0.9%
23 14.1
Purdue (16-15)
 16.0 15.0 37.7% 0.2%
24 14.0
Wisconsin (21-10)
 21.0 10.0 100.0% 0.8%
25 14.0
Florida (19-12)
 19.0 12.0 99.9% 0.7%
26 14.0
Iowa (20-11)
 20.0 11.0 99.8% 0.6%
27 14.0
Penn State (21-10)
 21.0 10.0 87.8% 0.6%
28 13.9
Butler (22-9)
 22.0 9.0 100.0% 0.7%
29 13.6
Marquette (18-12)
 18.0 12.0 99.6% 0.5%
30 13.5
Auburn (25-6)
 25.0 6.0 100.0% 0.8%
31 13.4
Minnesota (15-16)
 15.0 16.0 12.0% 0.1%
32 13.2
LSU (21-10)
 21.0 10.0 98.3% 0.5%
33 13.2
Illinois (21-10)
 21.0 10.0 97.5% 0.4%
34 13.2
Rutgers (20-11)
 20.0 11.0 84.5% 0.3%
35 12.6
Indiana (20-12)
 20.0 12.0 84.0% 0.2%

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