Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 21.2
Kansas (4-0)
25.2 5.8 98.1% 9.7%
2 20.7
Duke (5-0)
24.7 4.3 99.2% 8.3%
3 20.5
Purdue (4-1)
24.7 5.3 97.5% 7.9%
4 20.3 25.0 5.0 99.3% 7.5%
5 19.7
Xavier (4-0)
24.5 5.5 97.4% 6.4%
6 19.3 26.2 4.8 98.0% 5.3%
7 18.3
Florida (3-0)
22.5 6.5 91.3% 4.3%
8 18.2 22.1 6.9 94.5% 4.1%
9 18.2 25.0 6.0 94.9% 3.7%
10 18.1 22.8 6.2 88.7% 3.9%
11 18.1
Villanova (4-0)
22.9 7.1 93.3% 3.7%
12 18.0
Arizona (3-1)
24.2 5.8 97.0% 3.9%
13 18.0 21.4 8.6 78.6% 3.0%
14 17.6
Texas A&M (4-0)
23.6 7.4 95.0% 3.3%
15 17.1
Virginia (4-0)
22.0 7.0 90.5% 2.6%
16 16.2 21.2 6.8 82.2% 1.7%
17 15.8
Minnesota (5-0)
23.6 7.4 79.7% 1.4%
18 15.5
Baylor (5-0)
20.6 10.4 72.2% 1.2%
19 15.2 22.0 9.0 78.6% 1.3%
20 15.2
Arkansas (3-0)
20.7 8.3 77.7% 1.3%
21 14.9
Gonzaga (3-0)
24.6 4.4 89.7% 1.2%
22 14.9
Oregon (4-0)
23.3 5.7 85.6% 1.1%
23 14.8 20.9 10.1 54.1% 0.8%
24 14.7
Texas (3-0)
18.4 10.6 60.1% 1.0%
25 14.6 19.6 10.4 62.9% 0.8%
26 14.5
USC (4-0)
22.0 7.0 88.7% 1.0%
27 14.4
Kentucky (5-1)
20.4 10.6 78.1% 0.7%
28 14.3 20.2 9.8 71.9% 0.8%
29 14.3
Oklahoma (2-0)
16.2 11.8 52.8% 0.8%
30 14.1
St Marys (4-0)
25.5 3.5 89.4% 0.8%
31 13.9
Maryland (5-0)
21.8 8.2 75.4% 0.7%
32 13.7
Creighton (4-1)
21.0 10.0 66.0% 0.6%
33 13.1
Alabama (4-0)
19.5 11.5 69.7% 0.5%
34 13.1
Kansas St (4-0)
18.7 11.3 35.5% 0.3%
35 12.8
Wisconsin (2-3)
18.5 12.5 43.5% 0.3%

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