Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.6
Gonzaga (29-1)
29.0 1.0 100.0% 13.5%
2 21.7
N Carolina (25-6)
25.7 6.3 100.0% 10.2%
3 21.1
Villanova (27-3)
27.7 3.3 100.0% 9.0%
4 21.1
Kentucky (24-5)
25.7 5.3 100.0% 8.5%
5 20.9
W Virginia (23-7)
23.8 7.2 100.0% 7.2%
6 20.3
Kansas (27-3)
27.6 3.4 100.0% 7.2%
7 20.2
Louisville (23-6)
24.5 6.5 100.0% 5.8%
8 19.8
Florida (23-6)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 5.3%
9 19.7
Duke (22-7)
23.0 8.0 100.0% 4.6%
10 19.5
Virginia (20-9)
20.9 9.1 100.0% 3.7%
11 18.8
UCLA (26-3)
28.0 3.0 100.0% 4.0%
12 18.2
Purdue (23-6)
24.4 6.6 100.0% 2.7%
13 18.1
Oregon (26-4)
27.0 4.0 100.0% 3.1%
14 17.7
Wichita St (27-4)
27.0 4.0 99.2% 1.5%
15 17.1
Baylor (24-6)
24.7 6.3 100.0% 1.9%
16 16.7
Wisconsin (22-7)
23.7 7.3 99.1% 1.2%
17 16.7
Florida St (23-6)
24.0 7.0 100.0% 1.6%
18 16.0
Butler (23-6)
23.8 6.2 100.0% 1.5%
19 15.8
Cincinnati (25-4)
26.5 4.5 100.0% 1.0%
20 15.8
Iowa State (19-9)
19.9 10.1 99.5% 0.8%
21 15.6
26.9 4.1 100.0% 1.1%
22 15.5
Arizona (26-4)
26.8 4.2 100.0% 0.9%
23 15.4
St Marys (26-3)
26.0 3.0 100.0% 0.7%
24 15.2
Creighton (22-7)
23.3 7.7 99.1% 0.6%
25 14.8
20.8 10.2 92.3% 0.4%
26 14.5
Notre Dame (22-7)
23.1 7.9 99.9% 0.5%
27 13.9
Michigan (19-10)
20.1 10.9 74.7% 0.2%
28 13.3
Miami (FL) (20-9)
20.2 9.8 91.6% 0.2%
29 13.0
Marquette (17-11)
17.9 12.1 32.7% 0.1%
30 12.9
Xavier (18-11)
19.5 11.5 84.6% 0.1%
31 12.8
Indiana (16-13)
16.7 14.3 6.8% 0.0%
32 12.7
Syracuse (17-13)
17.9 13.1 20.4% 0.0%
33 12.4
S Carolina (21-8)
22.4 8.6 98.3% 0.1%
34 12.0
Clemson (14-14)
15.8 14.2 1.3% 0.0%
35 12.0
Dayton (23-5)
24.4 5.6 98.9% 0.1%

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