Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.1
Duke (8-1)
25.7 5.3 99.8% 13.6%
2 22.8 26.5 5.5 99.6% 10.9%
3 21.8
Kansas (7-1)
25.1 5.9 99.7% 9.4%
4 21.8
Kentucky (7-1)
26.3 4.7 99.9% 9.4%
5 21.6
Villanova (8-0)
27.1 3.9 99.8% 9.4%
6 21.4 25.6 5.4 98.3% 8.8%
7 20.3
Virginia (7-1)
23.0 7.0 97.6% 5.9%
8 19.1
UCLA (9-0)
27.5 3.5 99.2% 4.1%
9 19.1 23.7 7.3 98.6% 3.9%
10 17.3
Wisconsin (7-2)
23.5 7.5 92.5% 2.0%
11 17.3
Baylor (8-0)
24.1 6.9 98.5% 2.3%
12 17.2
Gonzaga (8-0)
27.6 2.4 99.5% 2.2%
13 17.0
Florida (7-1)
23.7 7.3 98.1% 1.8%
14 16.7 26.9 4.1 94.7% 1.4%
15 16.6
Purdue (6-2)
23.4 7.6 89.1% 1.5%
16 16.5
Xavier (7-1)
22.9 8.1 93.4% 1.4%
17 16.4
St Marys (6-0)
26.6 2.4 98.8% 1.7%
18 16.1
Indiana (7-1)
23.0 8.0 90.6% 1.3%
19 16.0
Butler (8-0)
22.7 7.3 92.3% 1.2%
20 15.3 21.9 9.1 64.8% 0.4%
21 15.3 25.2 5.8 95.7% 0.8%
22 15.2 19.3 10.7 64.4% 0.7%
23 15.1
Syracuse (5-2)
21.6 9.4 68.0% 0.8%
24 14.8
Creighton (8-0)
23.4 7.6 82.4% 0.6%
25 14.6
Oregon (7-2)
23.2 7.8 83.0% 0.6%
26 14.5
Marquette (6-2)
19.7 10.3 57.6% 0.4%
27 13.6 19.2 10.8 49.0% 0.3%
28 13.2
Michigan (6-2)
20.7 10.3 67.9% 0.3%
29 13.1
Arizona (6-2)
21.9 9.1 78.0% 0.3%
30 12.6 21.5 9.5 66.7% 0.2%
31 12.6 19.7 11.3 49.0% 0.1%
32 12.6 19.1 11.9 62.5% 0.1%
33 12.4 24.0 7.0 85.2% 0.3%
34 12.2
Kansas St (7-1)
19.5 11.5 32.5% 0.1%
35 12.1
Texas A&M (4-2)
19.7 10.3 59.9% 0.2%

Show All Teams