Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.6
25.7 5.3 100.0% 9.1%
2 19.4
Villanova (20-3)
26.8 4.2 100.0% 9.4%
3 19.3
Louisville (19-4)
23.8 7.2 0.0% 0.0%
4 19.1
N Carolina (19-4)
24.5 6.5 99.8% 7.6%
5 19.1
Kansas (19-4)
24.5 6.5 100.0% 8.1%
6 19.0
W Virginia (19-4)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 7.4%
7 18.7
Duke (17-6)
22.0 9.0 96.5% 5.7%
8 18.4
Oklahoma (19-3)
24.7 5.3 100.0% 6.4%
9 18.0
Virginia (19-4)
23.4 6.6 100.0% 5.7%
10 17.8
Purdue (19-5)
23.7 7.3 98.5% 4.4%
11 17.3
Iowa (18-4)
23.7 6.3 100.0% 4.3%
12 17.0
Maryland (21-3)
26.1 4.9 100.0% 4.0%
13 16.8
Miami (FL) (17-4)
22.6 7.4 99.0% 3.6%
14 16.6
Indiana (19-5)
23.1 7.9 91.5% 2.5%
15 16.4
Arizona (19-5)
24.4 6.6 97.1% 2.7%
16 16.0
Kentucky (17-6)
22.3 8.7 98.2% 2.4%
17 15.9
25.6 4.4 0.0% 0.0%
18 15.3
Xavier (21-2)
25.2 4.8 100.0% 2.1%
19 15.1
Texas A&M (18-5)
24.1 6.9 97.1% 1.6%
20 15.0
Iowa State (17-6)
21.8 9.2 99.1% 1.6%
21 14.7
Vanderbilt (13-10)
18.5 12.5 56.2% 0.7%
22 14.6
22.5 8.5 91.8% 1.1%
23 14.4
Butler (16-7)
20.3 9.7 64.8% 0.7%
24 14.3
Florida (15-8)
20.5 10.5 87.6% 0.8%
25 14.3
Gonzaga (19-5)
23.4 6.6 78.4% 0.6%
26 14.1
Cincinnati (17-7)
22.1 8.9 85.5% 0.7%
27 14.0
Wichita St (17-6)
23.3 6.7 96.6% 0.8%
28 13.1
Pittsburgh (17-5)
20.7 9.3 59.7% 0.4%
29 13.1
Baylor (17-6)
21.0 10.0 81.8% 0.4%
30 13.0
Notre Dame (16-7)
19.8 10.2 81.2% 0.4%
31 13.0
Oregon (19-4)
24.2 6.8 99.9% 0.8%
32 12.9
Texas (16-7)
19.4 11.6 93.4% 0.5%
33 12.9
Michigan (17-7)
20.7 10.3 64.2% 0.3%
34 12.3
VCU (17-6)
22.9 8.1 89.2% 0.4%
35 12.2
Valparaiso (20-4)
26.1 4.9 93.6% 0.3%

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