Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.7
Purdue (19-2)
27.5 3.5 100.0% 18.7%
2 23.2
Villanova (18-1)
28.0 3.0 100.0% 17.2%
3 21.9
Duke (17-2)
26.4 4.6 100.0% 11.6%
4 21.6
25.9 5.1 99.1% 9.1%
5 19.6
Kansas (16-3)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 5.8%
6 19.4
Virginia (17-1)
25.6 4.4 100.0% 5.5%
7 18.8
W Virginia (16-3)
24.2 6.8 99.0% 4.0%
8 18.5
Gonzaga (17-4)
25.9 5.1 99.3% 2.9%
9 18.4
Cincinnati (17-2)
26.5 4.5 99.8% 3.6%
10 18.3
N Carolina (16-4)
23.3 7.7 99.9% 3.5%
11 17.3
Wichita St (15-4)
23.5 6.5 98.6% 2.2%
12 16.6
Xavier (18-3)
24.8 6.2 99.9% 1.8%
13 15.9
Creighton (15-5)
22.1 8.9 90.0% 0.9%
14 15.9
Florida (14-5)
22.3 8.7 98.3% 1.3%
15 15.8
Arizona (16-4)
24.7 6.3 99.6% 1.4%
16 15.8
Texas Tech (15-4)
22.1 8.9 90.4% 1.0%
17 15.0
Ohio State (17-4)
23.9 7.1 99.3% 0.9%
18 14.7 20.6 10.4 73.4% 0.5%
19 14.7
Oklahoma (14-4)
20.4 9.6 91.6% 0.7%
20 14.6
Clemson (16-3)
22.4 7.6 98.4% 0.7%
21 14.5
Tennessee (13-5)
21.0 9.0 93.4% 0.6%
22 14.1
Florida St (14-5)
20.7 9.3 70.2% 0.3%
23 14.0
Kentucky (14-5)
20.6 10.4 84.4% 0.4%
24 14.0
Auburn (17-2)
24.3 6.7 95.8% 0.6%
25 13.9
Louisville (14-4)
21.5 9.5 85.9% 0.4%
26 13.8
Michigan (16-5)
22.0 9.0 74.1% 0.3%
27 13.8
St Marys (19-2)
27.6 3.4 97.7% 0.4%
28 13.8
Notre Dame (13-7)
19.2 11.8 41.7% 0.2%
29 13.8
Miami (FL) (13-4)
20.8 9.2 77.6% 0.4%
30 13.4
Baylor (12-7)
17.8 13.2 33.3% 0.1%
31 13.3
Texas A&M (13-6)
19.5 11.5 63.1% 0.2%
32 13.3
Arkansas (13-6)
20.0 11.0 62.5% 0.2%
33 13.2
Seton Hall (15-5)
20.9 10.1 84.4% 0.3%
34 12.9 23.7 5.3 96.4% 0.3%
35 12.7
Butler (14-7)
19.6 11.4 73.0% 0.2%

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