Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.6
25.3 5.7 99.9% 9.0%
2 19.6
Kansas (21-4)
25.6 5.4 100.0% 9.8%
3 19.2
Villanova (22-3)
26.8 4.2 100.0% 9.0%
4 19.1
W Virginia (20-5)
24.3 6.7 100.0% 7.6%
5 19.0
Louisville (19-6)
22.8 8.2 0.0% 0.0%
6 18.7
Duke (19-6)
22.7 8.3 99.8% 6.3%
7 18.6
N Carolina (20-4)
24.5 6.5 99.8% 6.7%
8 18.2
Virginia (20-5)
23.2 6.8 100.0% 6.2%
9 18.0
Oklahoma (20-4)
24.1 5.9 100.0% 5.7%
10 17.5
Kentucky (19-6)
23.1 7.9 99.8% 4.6%
11 17.5
Purdue (20-6)
23.6 7.4 99.2% 3.8%
12 17.1
Iowa (19-5)
23.5 6.5 100.0% 4.2%
13 16.9
Indiana (20-5)
23.6 7.4 98.7% 3.2%
14 16.8
Miami (FL) (19-4)
23.2 6.8 99.9% 3.8%
15 16.2
Arizona (20-5)
24.5 6.5 97.4% 2.6%
16 16.1
25.2 4.8 0.0% 0.0%
17 15.7
Maryland (22-4)
25.1 5.9 100.0% 2.2%
18 15.4
Xavier (22-3)
25.3 4.7 100.0% 2.3%
19 15.2
Vanderbilt (15-10)
18.8 12.2 57.4% 0.8%
20 15.0
Iowa State (18-7)
21.5 9.5 99.5% 1.5%
21 14.6
Texas A&M (18-7)
22.6 8.4 86.5% 1.1%
22 14.5
Gonzaga (20-6)
23.2 6.8 75.6% 0.7%
23 14.1
Cincinnati (19-7)
22.3 8.7 85.9% 0.7%
24 14.1
22.0 9.0 87.9% 0.7%
25 13.9
Butler (17-8)
20.1 9.9 56.6% 0.5%
26 13.9
Wichita St (18-7)
22.5 7.5 92.0% 0.7%
27 13.6
Notre Dame (18-7)
21.0 9.0 98.3% 0.7%
28 13.4
Florida (16-9)
19.5 11.5 69.6% 0.4%
29 13.3
Pittsburgh (17-6)
20.6 9.4 55.1% 0.4%
30 13.1
Texas (16-9)
19.0 12.0 89.0% 0.5%
31 13.0
Michigan (19-7)
21.5 9.5 83.1% 0.4%
32 12.5
Baylor (18-7)
20.6 10.4 71.9% 0.3%
33 12.4
Oregon (20-6)
23.4 7.6 100.0% 0.6%
34 12.2
VCU (18-7)
22.2 8.8 79.9% 0.3%
35 11.9
California (17-8)
20.4 10.6 85.4% 0.3%

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