Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 21.1
Kansas (6-1)
 25.4 5.6 100.0% 12.6%
2 21.1
Ohio State (8-0)
 25.6 5.4 99.9% 11.8%
3 20.8
Duke (8-1)
 26.6 4.4 99.9% 11.1%
4 19.5
Michigan St (5-3)
 22.2 8.8 98.7% 6.7%
5 18.8
Maryland (9-0)
 24.3 6.7 99.4% 5.8%
6 18.7
Louisville (8-0)
 25.6 5.4 99.2% 6.1%
7 18.1
Gonzaga (9-1)
 26.9 4.1 98.7% 4.5%
8 17.8
Arizona (9-0)
 25.6 5.4 98.8% 4.3%
9 16.9
Auburn (7-0)
 25.1 5.9 98.9% 3.7%
10 16.3
Oregon (6-2)
 23.3 7.7 99.6% 2.7%
11 16.0
Baylor (6-1)
 21.2 8.8 91.9% 2.1%
12 15.8
Seton Hall (6-2)
 20.6 9.4 93.4% 1.8%
13 15.5
Purdue (5-3)
 19.6 11.4 85.7% 1.5%
14 15.5
Kentucky (6-1)
 22.0 9.0 87.3% 1.9%
15 15.5
Dayton (6-1)
 25.8 5.2 97.6% 2.1%
16 15.2
Indiana (8-0)
 21.4 9.6 79.3% 1.3%
17 15.2
Michigan (7-1)
 21.0 10.0 92.1% 1.4%
18 15.1
Florida St (7-2)
 22.2 8.8 94.3% 1.5%
19 15.1
Villanova (6-2)
 21.1 9.9 95.2% 1.5%
20 15.1
Penn State (7-1)
 21.2 9.8 72.0% 1.2%
21 14.7
San Diego St (9-0)
 25.7 3.3 95.6% 1.3%
22 14.3
Butler (8-0)
 22.5 8.5 89.5% 1.1%
23 14.3
Memphis (7-1)
 24.1 6.9 86.5% 1.1%
24 13.7
Texas Tech (5-3)
 18.8 12.2 67.2% 0.7%
25 13.7
Utah State (8-1)
 23.8 5.2 74.6% 0.7%
26 13.5
N Carolina (6-2)
 19.7 11.3 91.4% 0.7%
27 13.4
LSU (6-2)
 21.1 9.9 79.1% 0.7%
28 13.3
Arkansas (8-0)
 22.5 8.5 74.2% 0.6%
29 13.2
Virginia (7-1)
 20.9 9.1 80.7% 0.6%
30 13.0
Tennessee (7-1)
 20.5 10.5 78.0% 0.6%
31 12.5
Marquette (6-2)
 19.4 10.6 74.8% 0.4%
32 12.4
Florida (6-2)
 19.4 11.6 70.3% 0.4%
33 12.3
Oklahoma St (7-1)
 19.6 11.4 69.6% 0.4%
34 12.3
Colorado (7-0)
 21.0 9.0 84.8% 0.5%
35 12.1
Iowa State (5-3)
 17.3 13.7 52.2% 0.3%

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