Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 23.3
Gonzaga (29-0)
30.0 0.0 100.0% 16.2%
2 21.8
N Carolina (24-5)
25.9 6.1 100.0% 10.2%
3 21.3
W Virginia (22-6)
24.1 6.9 100.0% 8.0%
4 20.9
Kentucky (23-5)
25.4 5.6 100.0% 7.6%
5 20.9
Villanova (26-3)
27.5 3.5 100.0% 8.2%
6 20.5
Kansas (25-3)
27.3 3.7 100.0% 7.4%
7 20.0
Duke (22-6)
23.7 7.3 100.0% 5.2%
8 20.0
Florida (23-5)
24.9 6.1 100.0% 5.6%
9 19.9
Louisville (22-6)
24.3 6.7 100.0% 5.1%
10 19.0
Virginia (18-9)
20.2 9.8 99.4% 2.8%
11 18.6
UCLA (25-3)
27.4 3.6 100.0% 3.2%
12 18.6
Purdue (23-5)
25.0 6.0 100.0% 3.1%
13 18.3
Oregon (25-4)
26.7 4.3 100.0% 3.1%
14 17.4
Wichita St (26-4)
26.9 4.1 98.9% 1.3%
15 17.1
Wisconsin (22-6)
24.3 6.7 99.8% 1.5%
16 16.9
Baylor (23-5)
24.5 6.5 100.0% 1.6%
17 16.6
Florida St (22-6)
23.5 7.5 100.0% 1.4%
18 16.1
Cincinnati (25-3)
27.2 3.8 100.0% 1.1%
19 15.7
Butler (22-6)
23.3 6.7 100.0% 1.2%
20 15.7
Iowa State (18-9)
19.5 10.5 96.7% 0.6%
21 15.7
Arizona (26-3)
27.3 3.7 100.0% 1.0%
22 15.5
26.5 4.5 100.0% 0.9%
23 15.5
St Marys (25-3)
26.0 3.0 100.0% 0.7%
24 15.4
Creighton (22-6)
23.5 7.5 99.6% 0.7%
25 14.8
Notre Dame (21-7)
23.1 7.9 99.8% 0.5%
26 14.5
20.5 10.5 90.9% 0.3%
27 13.4
Michigan (18-10)
19.5 11.5 56.7% 0.1%
28 13.3
Xavier (18-10)
20.0 11.0 94.0% 0.2%
29 13.2
Miami (FL) (19-8)
20.1 9.9 79.3% 0.1%
30 13.0
Marquette (17-10)
18.4 11.6 52.7% 0.1%
31 13.0
Syracuse (17-12)
18.0 13.0 33.9% 0.1%
32 12.9
Indiana (15-13)
16.4 14.6 6.5% 0.0%
33 12.0
Kansas St (17-11)
18.6 12.4 14.3% 0.0%
34 12.0
Clemson (14-13)
16.2 13.8 3.4% 0.0%
35 11.8
S Carolina (20-8)
22.1 8.9 97.1% 0.1%

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