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Make Tournament

27.8%

Automatic Bid

25.3%

At Large Bid

2.4%

Most Likely Seed

#15 (4.2%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 96.2%
23 90.9%
22 77.0%
21 62.0%
20 45.9%
19 35.9%
18 28.0%
17 21.4%
16 14.5%
15 9.9%
14 6.2%
13 5.3%
12 2.8%
11 1.4%
10 0.6%
OVERALL 27.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.2% -
4 0.6% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.0%
6 1.9% 0.0%
7 1.9% 0.0%
8 1.5% 0.0%
9 1.2% 0.0%
10 1.1% 0.0%
11 1.4% 0.0%
12 2.3% 0.0%
13 2.8% 0.0%
14 3.6% 0.0%
15 4.2% 0.0%
16 3.8% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.