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Make Tournament

50.6%

Automatic Bid

44.0%

At Large Bid

6.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (12.7%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 99.3%
31 99.9%
30 98.4%
29 94.0%
28 81.7%
27 69.6%
26 56.5%
25 45.3%
24 31.5%
23 26.1%
22 17.5%
21 13.0%
20 7.5%
19 3.8%
18 4.3%
17 2.8%
16 1.6%
OVERALL 50.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.5% 0.1%
7 1.1% 0.1%
8 1.8% 0.0%
9 2.9% 0.0%
10 4.5% 0.0%
11 7.3% 0.0%
12 12.7% 0.0%
13 10.9% 0.0%
14 6.4% 0.0%
15 1.9% 0.0%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.