Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L Playoffs Win SB
1 8.3
Buffalo (7-4)
 11.2 5.8 92.5% 15.3%
2 8.2
Tampa Bay (8-3)
 12.5 4.5 99.7% 16.8%
3 7.0
New England (8-4)
 11.1 5.9 94.2% 11.6%
4 6.4
Arizona (9-2)
 13.1 3.9 100.0% 13.0%
5 5.1
Kansas City (7-4)
 10.9 6.1 82.5% 6.4%
6 5.1
Dallas (7-4)
 10.7 6.3 92.1% 5.9%
7 4.3
Green Bay (9-3)
 12.4 4.6 99.9% 8.1%
8 3.0
LA Rams (7-4)
 10.3 6.7 84.3% 2.5%
9 2.8
San Francisco (6-5)
 9.6 7.4 78.5% 2.0%
10 2.7
Indianapolis (6-6)
 9.0 8.0 40.1% 1.3%
11 2.6
Baltimore (8-3)
 11.3 5.7 92.1% 4.8%
12 2.1
New Orleans (5-6)
 8.6 8.4 40.2% 1.0%
13 1.8
Cincinnati (7-4)
 10.1 6.9 67.5% 2.5%
14 1.7
Tennessee (8-4)
 11.4 5.6 98.2% 4.3%
15 1.3
Minnesota (5-6)
 8.6 8.4 44.2% 0.9%
16 1.2
Philadelphia (5-7)
 8.1 8.9 30.0% 0.6%
17 0.6
Denver (6-5)
 9.1 7.9 35.3% 0.9%
18 0.4
Seattle (3-8)
 6.4 10.6 2.0% 0.0%
19 0.2
Cleveland (6-6)
 8.5 8.5 21.7% 0.4%
20 0.1
LA Chargers (6-5)
 9.3 7.7 45.4% 0.9%
21 -2.1
Washington (5-6)
 7.3 9.7 17.1% 0.2%
22 -2.3
Pittsburgh (5-5-1)
 7.2 8.8 9.6% 0.1%
23 -2.5
Carolina (5-7)
 6.6 10.4 1.8% 0.0%
24 -2.6
Las Vegas (6-5)
 8.4 8.6 19.1% 0.2%
25 -3.1
NY Giants (4-7)
 6.5 10.5 5.0% 0.0%
26 -3.2
Miami (5-7)
 7.2 9.8 2.1% 0.0%
27 -5.0
Chicago (4-7)
 5.9 11.1 1.4% 0.0%
28 -6.8
Atlanta (5-6)
 6.7 10.3 4.0% 0.0%
29 -8.2
Jacksonville (2-9)
 3.8 13.2 0.0% 0.0%
30 -8.8
Detroit (0-10-1)
 1.4 14.6 0.0% 0.0%
31 -9.8
NY Jets (3-8)
 4.5 12.5 0.0% 0.0%
32 -10.5
Houston (2-9)
 3.5 13.5 0.0% 0.0%