Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

We've released preliminary NFL preseason ratings and projections. These are based mainly on early betting market data, and we expect to make an update closer to the start of the season based on our own analysis and predictive models, probably around mid August.
Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L Playoffs Win SB
1 7.1
LA Rams (0-0)
 11.2 5.8 76.9% 12.8%
2 5.6
Seattle (0-0)
 10.7 6.3 69.5% 8.6%
3 5.3
Buffalo (0-0)
 10.7 6.3 77.1% 8.7%
4 5.1
Baltimore (0-0)
 11.1 5.9 79.0% 9.5%
5 3.7
Kansas City (0-0)
 10.1 6.9 65.6% 5.3%
6 3.6
San Francisco (0-0)
 10.0 7.0 58.6% 4.4%
7 3.5
LA Chargers (0-0)
 9.8 7.2 60.9% 4.8%
8 3.0
Philadelphia (0-0)
 10.0 7.0 60.9% 4.7%
9 3.0
New England (0-0)
 9.9 7.1 65.4% 4.4%
10 2.9
Detroit (0-0)
 10.5 6.5 65.4% 4.7%
11 2.6
Green Bay (0-0)
 9.7 7.3 55.1% 3.8%
12 2.6
Houston (0-0)
 9.6 7.4 61.9% 4.0%
13 2.6
Denver (0-0)
 9.6 7.4 58.5% 4.0%
14 2.5
Dallas (0-0)
 9.3 7.7 50.7% 3.3%
15 1.6
Chicago (0-0)
 9.3 7.7 47.8% 2.8%
16 1.5
Jacksonville (0-0)
 9.0 8.0 50.9% 2.8%
17 1.3
Cincinnati (0-0)
 9.7 7.3 59.2% 2.9%
18 -0.7
Tampa Bay (0-0)
 8.2 8.8 41.6% 1.4%
19 -0.8
Minnesota (0-0)
 8.3 8.7 33.6% 1.1%
20 -0.9
Washington (0-0)
 7.8 9.2 29.3% 1.1%
21 -1.4
Pittsburgh (0-0)
 8.0 9.0 34.1% 0.9%
22 -1.5
Indianapolis (0-0)
 7.9 9.1 34.3% 0.9%
23 -2.4
NY Giants (0-0)
 7.3 9.7 22.5% 0.6%
24 -2.7
Carolina (0-0)
 7.2 9.8 28.0% 0.6%
25 -2.8
Atlanta (0-0)
 7.3 9.7 28.1% 0.7%
26 -3.6
New Orleans (0-0)
 7.5 9.5 29.6% 0.5%
27 -5.0
Tennessee (0-0)
 6.3 10.7 16.3% 0.2%
28 -5.6
Las Vegas (0-0)
 5.8 11.2 11.2% 0.1%
29 -6.1
Cleveland (0-0)
 6.2 10.8 13.6% 0.1%
30 -7.7
NY Jets (0-0)
 5.4 11.6 7.9% 0.1%
31 -8.1
Arizona (0-0)
 4.3 12.7 2.4% 0.0%
32 -8.3
Miami (0-0)
 4.5 12.5 4.3% 0.0%