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Make Tournament

72.6%

Automatic Bid

3.9%

At Large Bid

68.7%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (16.1%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.6%
23 98.4%
22 93.9%
21 86.2%
20 65.9%
19 41.4%
18 20.3%
17 6.2%
16 1.6%
15 0.1%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 72.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.5% 0.4%
4 1.2% 0.3%
5 2.2% 0.2%
6 3.4% 0.2%
7 4.9% 0.1%
8 6.5% 0.1%
9 8.6% 0.0%
10 11.0% 0.0%
11 14.1% 0.0%
12 16.1% 0.0%
13 3.5% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.