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Make Tournament

91.2%

Automatic Bid

24.4%

At Large Bid

66.8%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (11.6%)

Final Four

4.2%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 99.3%
23 96.6%
22 88.0%
21 67.2%
20 41.3%
19 21.0%
18 5.5%
17 1.2%
16 0.3%
OVERALL 91.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.1% 3.7%
2 3.8% 2.5%
3 6.8% 1.6%
4 9.5% 1.1%
5 11.2% 0.7%
6 11.6% 0.5%
7 11.1% 0.4%
8 10.1% 0.2%
9 8.9% 0.2%
10 7.5% 0.1%
11 5.9% 0.1%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.