Rankings & Projections Summary
Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.
| Rank | Rating | Team | Proj W | Proj L | SOS Rank | Luck Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31.8 |
Alabama (5-0)
|
10.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 37 |
| 2 | 31.2 |
Georgia (5-0)
|
10.6 | 1.4 | 19 | 63 |
| 3 | 30.8 |
Miami (5-0)
|
11.1 | 0.9 | 18 | 62 |
| 4 | 30.7 |
Ohio St (4-1)
|
9.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 94 |
| 5 | 30.7 |
Notre Dame (5-0)
|
11.2 | 0.8 | 16 | 57 |
| 6 | 30.4 |
Texas (4-0)
|
10.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | 27.6 |
LSU (4-1)
|
9.0 | 3.0 | 8 | 104 |
| 8 | 27.5 |
Oregon (3-1)
|
9.5 | 2.5 | 5 | 105 |
| 9 | 25.8 |
Indiana (5-0)
|
10.5 | 1.5 | 43 | 61 |
| 10 | 20.6 |
Utah (4-0)
|
10.3 | 1.7 | 53 | 50 |
| 11 | 20.0 |
Florida (4-1)
|
8.0 | 4.0 | 9 | 53 |
| 12 | 19.9 |
Tennessee (4-1)
|
8.1 | 3.9 | 14 | 74 |
| 13 | 19.0 |
Texas A&M (3-2)
|
6.5 | 5.5 | 12 | 123 |
| 14 | 18.6 |
UCLA (4-0)
|
9.6 | 2.4 | 51 | 32 |
| 15 | 18.1 |
Texas Tech (5-0)
|
10.2 | 1.8 | 40 | 16 |
| 16 | 17.8 |
Missouri (4-1)
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 13 | 45 |
| 17 | 17.4 |
Oklahoma (2-2)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 4 | 103 |
| 18 | 17.4 |
BYU (4-0)
|
9.1 | 2.9 | 36 | 21 |
| 19 | 16.8 |
Pittsburgh (5-0)
|
9.9 | 2.1 | 37 | 6 |
| 20 | 16.3 |
Houston (4-1)
|
8.7 | 3.3 | 28 | 65 |
| 21 | 16.2 |
Mississippi (3-1)
|
7.2 | 4.8 | 3 | 11 |
| 22 | 15.6 |
USC (5-1)
|
7.6 | 4.4 | 33 | 44 |
| 23 | 15.2 |
Mississippi St (4-1)
|
7.6 | 4.4 | 7 | 2 |
| 24 | 14.2 |
Nebraska (5-0)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 80 | 33 |
| 25 | 14.1 |
Penn St (3-2)
|
7.8 | 4.2 | 41 | 125 |
| 26 | 14.1 |
Iowa (4-1)
|
8.3 | 3.7 | 20 | 25 |
| 27 | 13.6 |
Northwestern (3-1)
|
7.7 | 4.3 | 17 | 36 |
| 28 | 13.3 |
Auburn (3-2)
|
5.9 | 6.1 | 10 | 70 |
| 29 | 13.2 |
Wisconsin (4-1)
|
8.3 | 3.7 | 22 | 18 |
| 30 | 13.1 |
Baylor (4-1)
|
7.5 | 4.5 | 46 | 68 |
| 31 | 12.4 |
Oklahoma St (3-1)
|
7.6 | 4.4 | 26 | 42 |
| 32 | 12.2 |
Michigan (3-2)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 30 | 101 |
| 33 | 12.1 |
Virginia Tech (4-1)
|
8.3 | 3.7 | 56 | 78 |
| 34 | 11.9 |
South Carolina (2-3)
|
4.6 | 7.4 | 21 | 131 |
| 35 | 11.9 |
Louisville (2-3)
|
6.4 | 5.6 | 25 | 133 |
| 36 | 11.7 |
Boise St (4-1)
|
9.6 | 2.4 | 42 | 38 |
| 37 | 11.5 |
Kentucky (4-1)
|
6.6 | 5.4 | 11 | 1 |
| 38 | 11.4 |
New Mexico (4-1)
|
10.3 | 1.7 | 70 | 90 |
| 39 | 11.4 |
Wake Forest (4-1)
|
8.8 | 3.2 | 27 | 8 |
| 40 | 11.3 |
Kansas St (3-1)
|
7.7 | 4.3 | 77 | 107 |
| 41 | 11.2 |
UCF (3-2)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 23 | 84 |
| 42 | 10.9 |
Florida St (3-2)
|
6.2 | 5.8 | 31 | 95 |
| 43 | 10.8 |
J Madison (5-0)
|
11.1 | 0.9 | 87 | 28 |
| 44 | 10.1 |
Virginia (3-2)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 52 | 115 |
| 45 | 9.6 |
TCU (2-3)
|
5.1 | 6.9 | 38 | 135 |
| 46 | 9.4 |
Arizona (4-1)
|
7.3 | 4.7 | 60 | 52 |
| 47 | 9.2 |
Duke (4-0)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 79 | 22 |
| 48 | 9.0 |
Minnesota (4-1)
|
6.5 | 5.5 | 44 | 17 |
| 49 | 8.8 |
Washington (3-2)
|
5.6 | 6.4 | 54 | 111 |
| 50 | 8.4 |
SMU (4-1)
|
7.8 | 4.2 | 57 | 30 |
| 51 | 8.4 |
Kansas (2-2)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 61 | 126 |
| 52 | 7.3 |
Clemson (3-2)
|
6.9 | 5.1 | 15 | 12 |
| 53 | 7.2 |
NC State (3-2)
|
7.0 | 5.0 | 48 | 85 |
| 54 | 6.2 |
North Carolina (2-2)
|
5.3 | 6.7 | 24 | 66 |
| 55 | 5.9 |
Iowa St (3-2)
|
5.5 | 6.5 | 50 | 81 |
| 56 | 5.6 |
Vanderbilt (3-2)
|
4.8 | 7.2 | 39 | 47 |
| 57 | 5.1 |
West Virginia (3-2)
|
5.4 | 6.6 | 55 | 83 |
| 58 | 5.0 |
Illinois (2-3)
|
4.1 | 7.9 | 58 | 130 |
| 59 | 4.7 |
Arizona St (2-2)
|
5.3 | 6.7 | 34 | 67 |
| 60 | 4.1 |
Fresno St (4-1)
|
8.4 | 3.6 | 75 | 26 |
| 61 | 3.4 |
Oregon St (3-2)
|
7.2 | 4.8 | 63 | 80 |
| 62 | 3.3 |
Syracuse (2-2)
|
4.9 | 7.1 | 68 | 108 |
| 63 | 3.3 |
Memphis (4-1)
|
9.0 | 3.0 | 83 | 39 |
| 64 | 3.2 |
North Dakota State (5-0)
|
10.3 | 1.7 | 124 | 23 |
| 65 | 2.7 |
Cincinnati (4-1)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 72 | 9 |
| 66 | 2.1 |
Michigan St (2-3)
|
4.1 | 7.9 | 35 | 79 |
| 67 | 1.7 |
UTSA (4-1)
|
8.7 | 3.3 | 71 | 4 |
| 68 | 1.5 |
Arkansas (2-3)
|
3.2 | 8.8 | 32 | 64 |
| 69 | 1.3 |
Army (2-2)
|
7.2 | 4.8 | 84 | 119 |
| 70 | 1.3 |
Maryland (2-3)
|
4.2 | 7.8 | 45 | 92 |
| 71 | 1.1 |
Purdue (2-3)
|
3.9 | 8.1 | 29 | 51 |
| 72 | 0.9 |
Louisiana Tech (2-2)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 49 | 54 |
| 73 | 0.7 |
N Texas (3-2)
|
8.0 | 4.0 | 66 | 46 |
| 74 | 0.5 |
Texas St (2-3)
|
5.8 | 6.2 | 67 | 114 |
| 75 | -0.1 |
California (2-3)
|
4.2 | 7.8 | 59 | 100 |
| 76 | -0.4 |
Toledo (4-1)
|
9.8 | 2.2 | 97 | 35 |
| 77 | -1.0 |
Georgia Tech (1-3)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 82 | 136 |
| 78 | -1.2 |
Liberty (4-1)
|
9.6 | 2.4 | 94 | 24 |
| 79 | -2.2 |
Georgia St (4-1)
|
8.1 | 3.9 | 103 | 29 |
| 80 | -2.3 |
Colorado (2-3)
|
3.4 | 8.6 | 47 | 49 |
| 81 | -2.4 |
S Florida (4-1)
|
8.1 | 3.9 | 111 | 43 |
| 82 | -2.6 |
San Diego St (2-3)
|
4.9 | 7.1 | 65 | 88 |
| 83 | -2.9 |
UNLV (3-2)
|
7.3 | 4.7 | 86 | 60 |
| 84 | -3.2 |
Tulsa (3-2)
|
6.9 | 5.1 | 81 | 40 |
| 85 | -3.6 |
Rutgers (1-4)
|
2.3 | 9.7 | 78 | 138 |
| 86 | -4.2 |
Washington St (1-4)
|
3.6 | 8.4 | 62 | 124 |
| 87 | -4.2 |
Florida Atlantic (4-1)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 107 | 15 |
| 88 | -4.6 |
Tulane (2-2)
|
5.9 | 6.1 | 74 | 56 |
| 89 | -4.8 |
E Carolina (2-2)
|
6.5 | 5.5 | 89 | 89 |
| 90 | -4.8 |
App State (3-1)
|
7.7 | 4.3 | 102 | 27 |
| 91 | -5.1 |
Navy (1-3)
|
4.3 | 7.7 | 101 | 137 |
| 92 | -5.1 |
W Michigan (3-2)
|
8.0 | 4.0 | 88 | 41 |
| 93 | -5.2 |
UConn (2-3)
|
5.5 | 6.5 | 100 | 128 |
| 94 | -5.2 |
Temple (2-3)
|
6.1 | 5.9 | 76 | 87 |
| 95 | -5.3 |
Air Force (3-1)
|
7.6 | 4.4 | 108 | 34 |
| 96 | -5.6 |
Louisiana (4-1)
|
8.2 | 3.8 | 118 | 20 |
| 97 | -5.7 |
Utah St (1-4)
|
3.5 | 8.5 | 64 | 116 |
| 98 | -6.3 |
Boston College (2-3)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 73 | 75 |
| 99 | -6.4 |
Georgia So (2-3)
|
5.2 | 6.8 | 85 | 93 |
| 100 | -7.2 |
Troy (2-2)
|
6.0 | 6.0 | 95 | 82 |
| 101 | -7.9 |
Colorado St (2-3)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 92 | 97 |
| 102 | -8.8 |
Arkansas St (2-3)
|
5.7 | 6.3 | 93 | 91 |
| 103 | -9.3 |
Jacksonville St (3-2)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 125 | 71 |
| 104 | -9.5 |
S Alabama (3-2)
|
6.1 | 5.9 | 119 | 58 |
| 105 | -10.2 |
Kennesaw St (1-3)
|
5.4 | 6.6 | 98 | 121 |
| 106 | -10.4 |
Stanford (2-3)
|
3.4 | 8.6 | 69 | 7 |
| 107 | -10.8 |
Miami OH (2-3)
|
6.1 | 5.9 | 109 | 102 |
| 108 | -11.0 |
Delaware (2-3)
|
5.9 | 6.1 | 96 | 76 |
| 109 | -11.1 |
San Jose St (3-2)
|
6.7 | 6.3 | 99 | 5 |
| 110 | -11.3 |
Ohio (3-2)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 122 | 31 |
| 111 | -11.4 |
Coastal Car (1-4)
|
3.5 | 8.5 | 105 | 134 |
| 112 | -11.9 |
C Michigan (3-2)
|
7.1 | 4.9 | 114 | 14 |
| 113 | -11.9 |
Rice (1-4)
|
2.9 | 9.1 | 91 | 117 |
| 114 | -12.0 |
Florida Intl (2-2)
|
5.9 | 6.1 | 130 | 86 |
| 115 | -12.3 |
New Mexico St (2-3)
|
5.3 | 6.7 | 116 | 96 |
| 116 | -12.3 |
Old Dominion (1-4)
|
3.7 | 8.3 | 90 | 112 |
| 117 | -12.6 |
Sam Houston (1-3)
|
4.9 | 7.1 | 106 | 113 |
| 118 | -13.7 |
UMass (4-1)
|
7.6 | 4.4 | 138 | 10 |
| 119 | -13.8 |
E Michigan (3-3)
|
5.6 | 6.4 | 128 | 55 |
| 120 | -13.9 |
UAB (3-2)
|
4.9 | 7.1 | 129 | 19 |
| 121 | -14.5 |
Hawai'i (1-4)
|
3.7 | 8.3 | 123 | 129 |
| 122 | -14.6 |
Marshall (3-2)
|
5.8 | 6.2 | 113 | 3 |
| 123 | -15.0 |
Nevada (1-3)
|
3.5 | 8.5 | 136 | 132 |
| 124 | -15.3 |
Southern Miss (1-3)
|
3.6 | 8.4 | 115 | 106 |
| 125 | -15.8 |
Missouri St (1-3)
|
3.9 | 8.1 | 121 | 109 |
| 126 | -16.2 |
W Kentucky (1-4)
|
3.8 | 8.2 | 117 | 118 |
| 127 | -16.3 |
Wyoming (2-3)
|
4.3 | 7.7 | 126 | 72 |
| 128 | -18.7 |
Akron (1-4)
|
3.7 | 8.3 | 112 | 99 |
| 129 | -20.1 |
Middle Tenn (2-3)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 133 | 59 |
| 130 | -20.4 |
Buffalo (2-3)
|
4.5 | 7.5 | 137 | 73 |
| 131 | -21.1 |
N Illinois (0-4)
|
2.2 | 9.8 | 104 | 120 |
| 132 | -21.6 |
Kent St (2-3)
|
4.1 | 7.9 | 135 | 48 |
| 133 | -22.1 |
Bowling Green (1-4)
|
3.6 | 8.4 | 110 | 69 |
| 134 | -22.3 |
Sacramento State (1-4)
|
3.2 | 8.8 | 134 | 110 |
| 135 | -22.6 |
UTEP (1-4)
|
2.9 | 9.1 | 120 | 77 |
| 136 | -23.0 |
Ball St (1-4)
|
3.1 | 8.9 | 132 | 98 |
| 137 | -25.4 |
UL Monroe (0-5)
|
1.0 | 11.0 | 131 | 127 |
| 138 | -25.9 |
Charlotte (0-5)
|
0.6 | 11.4 | 127 | 122 |