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Rankings & Projections Summary
Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.
| Rank | Rating | Team | Proj W | Proj L | SOS Rank | Luck Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31.5 |
Alabama (14-1)
|
14.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 47 |
| 2 | 27.9 |
Ohio State (11-2)
|
11.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 67 |
| 3 | 27.0 |
Michigan (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 5 | 119 |
| 4 | 26.6 |
Clemson (14-1)
|
14.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | 23.6 |
Washington (12-2)
|
12.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 68 |
| 6 | 19.7 |
Oklahoma (11-2)
|
11.0 | 2.0 | 11 | 40 |
| 7 | 19.0 |
Louisville (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 14 | 120 |
| 8 | 18.9 |
LSU (8-4)
|
8.0 | 4.0 | 4 | 102 |
| 9 | 17.2 |
Florida St (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | 16.3 |
Wisconsin (11-3)
|
11.0 | 3.0 | 9 | 18 |
| 11 | 16.3 |
Auburn (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 7 | 108 |
| 12 | 16.1 |
USC (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 8 | 27 |
| 13 | 15.5 |
Miami (FL) (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 18 | 103 |
| 14 | 14.8 |
Penn State (11-3)
|
11.0 | 3.0 | 12 | 16 |
| 15 | 13.6 |
VA Tech (10-4)
|
10.0 | 4.0 | 20 | 64 |
| 16 | 12.7 |
Oklahoma St (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 25 | 38 |
| 17 | 11.9 |
Wash State (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 32 | 114 |
| 18 | 11.8 |
Stanford (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 17 | 6 |
| 19 | 11.5 |
Texas A&M (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 19 | 95 |
| 20 | 11.3 |
W Kentucky (11-3)
|
11.0 | 3.0 | 67 | 99 |
| 21 | 11.3 |
Colorado (10-4)
|
10.0 | 4.0 | 13 | 14 |
| 22 | 11.2 |
W Michigan (13-1)
|
13.0 | 1.0 | 75 | 29 |
| 23 | 10.9 |
Florida (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 28 |
| 24 | 10.7 |
Tennessee (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 24 | 50 |
| 25 | 10.1 |
Kansas St (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 23 | 33 |
| 26 | 9.5 |
W Virginia (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 26 | 3 |
| 27 | 8.8 |
Houston (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 51 | 74 |
| 28 | 8.7 |
Pittsburgh (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 21 | 48 |
| 29 | 8.7 |
N Carolina (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 29 | 70 |
| 30 | 8.2 |
Notre Dame (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 28 | 128 |
| 31 | 7.5 |
Temple (10-4)
|
10.0 | 4.0 | 66 | 92 |
| 32 | 7.2 |
Iowa (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 44 | 72 |
| 33 | 7.1 |
S Florida (11-2)
|
11.0 | 2.0 | 65 | 11 |
| 34 | 6.9 |
Utah (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 42 | 26 |
| 35 | 6.8 |
BYU (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 63 | 75 |
| 36 | 6.6 |
Mississippi (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 15 | 104 |
| 37 | 6.5 |
Boise State (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 72 | 52 |
| 38 | 6.4 |
NC State (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 31 | 78 |
| 39 | 6.4 |
Memphis (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 60 | 106 |
| 40 | 6.3 |
Baylor (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 46 | 107 |
| 41 | 6.1 |
Tulsa (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 64 | 34 |
| 42 | 5.9 |
Northwestern (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 37 | 83 |
| 43 | 5.8 |
GA Tech (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 38 | 5 |
| 44 | 5.7 |
San Diego St (11-3)
|
11.0 | 3.0 | 87 | 82 |
| 45 | 5.3 |
TX Christian (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 43 | 116 |
| 46 | 5.1 |
Minnesota (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 53 | 24 |
| 47 | 4.9 |
Nebraska (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 47 | 8 |
| 48 | 4.6 |
Navy (9-5)
|
9.0 | 5.0 | 62 | 61 |
| 49 | 4.1 |
Georgia (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 40 | 19 |
| 50 | 3.8 |
Texas (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 36 | 109 |
| 51 | 3.7 |
Toledo (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 85 | 98 |
| 52 | 3.6 |
Arkansas (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 22 | 12 |
| 53 | 3.3 |
UCLA (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 27 | 118 |
| 54 | 3.0 |
App State (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 84 | 36 |
| 55 | 2.1 |
Michigan St (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 34 | 127 |
| 56 | 2.1 |
Vanderbilt (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 39 | 57 |
| 57 | 1.9 |
Texas Tech (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 41 | 96 |
| 58 | 1.7 |
Miss State (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 50 | 91 |
| 59 | 1.4 |
LA Tech (9-5)
|
9.0 | 5.0 | 81 | 81 |
| 60 | 0.6 |
Oregon (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 30 | 97 |
| 61 | 0.2 |
California (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 33 | 46 |
| 62 | 0.1 |
Indiana (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 61 | 93 |
| 63 | -0.1 |
Missouri (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 56 | 121 |
| 64 | -0.2 |
Air Force (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 92 | 30 |
| 65 | -0.3 |
Troy (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 94 | 39 |
| 66 | -0.3 |
Wake Forest (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 57 | 31 |
| 67 | -0.4 |
Duke (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 35 | 89 |
| 68 | -0.9 |
Central FL (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 74 | 112 |
| 69 | -1.0 |
Kentucky (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 55 | 15 |
| 70 | -1.3 |
Iowa State (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 49 | 125 |
| 71 | -1.7 |
Oregon St (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 45 | 85 |
| 72 | -2.0 |
Colorado St (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 83 | 87 |
| 73 | -2.6 |
Arizona St (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 52 | 42 |
| 74 | -3.2 |
Army (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 93 | 69 |
| 75 | -3.5 |
Maryland (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 68 | 51 |
| 76 | -3.6 |
S Carolina (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 59 | 23 |
| 77 | -3.9 |
Wyoming (8-6)
|
8.0 | 6.0 | 77 | 20 |
| 78 | -4.2 |
Boston Col (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 71 | 10 |
| 79 | -4.5 |
Arkansas St (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 96 | 66 |
| 80 | -4.9 |
N Illinois (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 88 | 115 |
| 81 | -5.8 |
GA Southern (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 89 | 111 |
| 82 | -6.1 |
Old Dominion (10-3)
|
10.0 | 3.0 | 113 | 4 |
| 83 | -6.3 |
Syracuse (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 48 | 25 |
| 84 | -6.9 |
New Mexico (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 108 | 17 |
| 85 | -7.0 |
Middle Tenn (8-5)
|
8.0 | 5.0 | 105 | 53 |
| 86 | -7.1 |
Virginia (2-10)
|
2.0 | 10.0 | 58 | 113 |
| 87 | -7.3 |
S Mississippi (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 103 | 90 |
| 88 | -7.4 |
Utah State (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 82 | 124 |
| 89 | -7.4 |
Ohio (8-6)
|
8.0 | 6.0 | 100 | 59 |
| 90 | -7.6 |
Arizona (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 54 | 65 |
| 91 | -8.5 |
Cincinnati (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 80 | 84 |
| 92 | -8.8 |
S Methodist (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 69 | 7 |
| 93 | -9.2 |
E Carolina (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 76 | 105 |
| 94 | -9.3 |
Central Mich (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 91 | 45 |
| 95 | -9.6 |
Illinois (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 70 | 76 |
| 96 | -9.9 |
Tulane (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 86 | 80 |
| 97 | -10.3 |
TX-San Ant (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 102 | 77 |
| 98 | -10.8 |
Idaho (9-4)
|
9.0 | 4.0 | 110 | 1 |
| 99 | -11.0 |
E Michigan (7-6)
|
7.0 | 6.0 | 97 | 13 |
| 100 | -11.6 |
Miami (OH) (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 104 | 55 |
| 101 | -12.3 |
LA Lafayette (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 114 | 62 |
| 102 | -12.7 |
Ball State (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 111 | 110 |
| 103 | -13.0 |
Nevada (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 117 | 79 |
| 104 | -13.3 |
Purdue (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 79 | 54 |
| 105 | -13.9 |
S Alabama (6-7)
|
6.0 | 7.0 | 119 | 43 |
| 106 | -14.0 |
San Jose St (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 95 | 63 |
| 107 | -14.1 |
Kent State (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 116 | 126 |
| 108 | -14.2 |
Akron (5-7)
|
5.0 | 7.0 | 106 | 41 |
| 109 | -14.5 |
UNLV (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 107 | 88 |
| 110 | -14.9 |
Connecticut (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 90 | 71 |
| 111 | -15.2 |
Kansas (2-10)
|
2.0 | 10.0 | 73 | 58 |
| 112 | -15.3 |
Rutgers (2-10)
|
2.0 | 10.0 | 78 | 73 |
| 113 | -15.4 |
Marshall (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 121 | 122 |
| 114 | -15.4 |
Hawaii (7-7)
|
7.0 | 7.0 | 101 | 2 |
| 115 | -15.6 |
Georgia State (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 120 | 117 |
| 116 | -16.4 |
North Texas (5-8)
|
5.0 | 8.0 | 109 | 32 |
| 117 | -16.8 |
Bowling Grn (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 115 | 60 |
| 118 | -18.7 |
Fresno St (1-11)
|
1.0 | 11.0 | 99 | 123 |
| 119 | -19.1 |
U Mass (2-10)
|
2.0 | 10.0 | 98 | 101 |
| 120 | -19.2 |
Florida Intl (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 118 | 35 |
| 121 | -19.7 |
Rice (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 123 | 100 |
| 122 | -20.8 |
Charlotte (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 125 | 49 |
| 123 | -21.1 |
Fla Atlantic (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 126 | 94 |
| 124 | -21.4 |
TX El Paso (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 127 | 56 |
| 125 | -21.8 |
N Mex State (3-9)
|
3.0 | 9.0 | 112 | 37 |
| 126 | -22.5 |
LA Monroe (4-8)
|
4.0 | 8.0 | 124 | 22 |
| 127 | -23.6 |
Buffalo (2-10)
|
2.0 | 10.0 | 122 | 86 |
| 128 | -30.6 |
Texas State (2-10)
|
2.0 | 10.0 | 128 | 44 |