Sample of our 2022-23 NFL betting picks

Our premium NFL predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.

We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.

We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NFL games, plus win odds for each pick.

Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Opp/Game Confidence Odds Similar Games Decision Tree Power Rating
9/22 Wrong 301 Pittsburgh +4.5 at Cleveland 50.2% CLE 64.2% PIT 50.3% PIT +7.1
9/25 Wrong 476 Washington +6.0 vs Philadelphia 51.6% PHI 52.3% WAS 53.6% WAS +0.1
9/25 Right 465 Cincinnati -6.5 at NY Jets 55.1% NYJ 60.8% CIN 53.1% NYJ +4.9
9/25 Right 469 Detroit +6.5 at Minnesota 50.3% MIN 57.9% DET 52.8% DET +2.2
9/25 Right 472 Indianapolis +5.0 vs Kansas City 53.2% KC 57.3% IND 54.4% KC +6.9
9/25 Right 468 Carolina +2.0 vs New Orleans 53.6% CAR 58.0% CAR 54.2% NO +2.7
9/25 Wrong 473 Las Vegas -2.0 at Tennessee 50.2% LV 57.2% LV 51.9% TEN +5.7
9/25 Right 461 Baltimore -2.5 at New England 50.1% BAL 50.6% BAL 50.7% NE +5.0
9/25 Right 464 Miami +4.0 vs Buffalo 55.6% BUF 51.8% MIA 56.0% BUF +1.7
9/25 Push 477 Houston +3.0 at Chicago 53.9% HOU 62.5% HOU 53.9% CHI +5.3
9/25 Right 479 Jacksonville +6.5 at LA Chargers 53.8% LAC 58.5% JAC 53.8% LAC +0.1
9/25 Wrong 482 Tampa Bay -1.0 vs Green Bay 50.8% GB 56.3% TB 50.8% TB +11.0
9/25 Wrong 486 Arizona +3.5 vs LA Rams 50.8% ARI 54.4% ARI 50.8% ARI +0.2
9/25 Right 483 Atlanta +1.0 at Seattle 50.4% ATL 60.1% ATL 54.0% ATL +0.8
9/25 Right 488 Denver +1.5 vs San Francisco 53.6% DEN 54.3% DEN 53.6% SF +0.7
9/26 Wrong 490 NY Giants -1.0 vs Dallas 50.1% DAL 55.0% NYG 50.1% DAL +4.1