Our premium NFL predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.
We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.
We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NFL games, plus win odds for each pick.
Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.
If you're curious how our models work or you have questions about the data below, you can learn more.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
|Day||Status||TR Pick||Opp/Game||Confidence||Odds||Similar Games||Decision Tree||Power Rating|
|9/14||Push||104 Philadelphia -6.0||vs Minnesota||50.5%||MIN 53.5%||MIN 54.6%||PHI +6.3|
|9/17||Wrong||273 Las Vegas +7.5||at Buffalo||50.3%||BUF 51.3%||LV 53.3%||LV +5.2|
|9/17||Wrong||271 Chicago +2.5||at Tampa Bay||54.7%||CHI 66.9%||CHI 55.2%||TB +9.7|
|9/17||Right||267 Indianapolis -1.0||at Houston||50.1%||IND 55.7%||IND 51.0%||HOU +2.7|
|9/17||Right||277 Baltimore +3.0||at Cincinnati||50.2%||BAL 58.9%||BAL 52.5%||BAL +0.8|
|9/17||Wrong||266 Atlanta -3.0||vs Green Bay||50.5%||GB 52.2%||ATL 55.2%||GB +3.1|
|9/17||Right||264 Tennessee +2.5||vs LA Chargers||50.1%||TEN 59.8%||TEN 50.5%||TEN +2.2|
|9/17||Right||275 Kansas City -3.0||at Jacksonville||50.0%||JAC 57.0%||KC 50.4%||JAC +2.0|
|9/17||Right||269 Seattle +4.5||at Detroit||56.2%||SEA 57.1%||SEA 57.2%||DET +6.9|
|9/17||Right||280 Arizona +4.5||vs NY Giants||50.2%||NYG 57.7%||ARI 52.6%||ARI +7.6|
|9/17||Wrong||281 San Francisco -7.5||at LA Rams||50.1%||SF 51.7%||LAR 51.9%||SF +0.2|
|9/17||Wrong||283 NY Jets +8.0||at Dallas||54.7%||NYJ 59.2%||NYJ 58.9%||DAL +2.7|
|9/17||Wrong||286 Denver -4.0||vs Washington||51.2%||DEN 51.9%||DEN 51.2%||WAS +5.8|
|9/17||Right||287 Miami -1.5||at New England||51.3%||NE 55.1%||MIA 51.3%||MIA +0.1|
|9/18||Push||290 Carolina +3.0||vs New Orleans||53.0%||CAR 55.3%||CAR 53.4%||CAR 0.0|
|9/18||Wrong||291 Cleveland -2.0||at Pittsburgh||50.7%||PIT 66.4%||CLE 50.7%||CLE +4.0|
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