NFL ATS Picks
Our premium NFL predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.
We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.
We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NFL games, plus win odds for each pick.
Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Opp/Game | Confidence | Odds | Similar Games | Decision Tree | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/1 | Right | 102 Cleveland +2.5 | vs Pittsburgh | 50.1% | PIT 57.5% |
CLE 51.5% |
CLE +3.2 |
|
| 10/4 | Right | 251 Indianapolis -4.5 | vs Washington | 50.1% | IND 53.4% |
IND 51.1% |
WAS +4.2 |
|
| 10/4 | Wrong | 260 Houston -3.0 | vs Dallas | 50.3% | HOU 55.3% |
HOU 52.0% |
DAL +5.3 |
|
| 10/4 | Push | 264 Tampa Bay +3.0 | vs Green Bay | 50.5% | GB 63.1% | TB 50.5% | TB +11.2 | |
| 10/4 | Wrong | 255 NY Jets +3.5 | at Chicago | 54.1% | NYJ 52.8% |
NYJ 54.1% |
CHI +14.0 |
|
| 10/4 | Wrong | 257 Arizona -2.5 | at NY Giants | 50.3% | ARI 59.8% |
ARI 53.1% |
NYG +1.7 |
|
| 10/4 | Wrong | 254 Buffalo -7.0 | vs New England | 50.4% | BUF 50.7% |
BUF 54.2% |
NE +5.9 |
|
| 10/4 | Wrong | 262 Cincinnati -2.5 | vs Jacksonville | 50.8% | CIN 52.3% |
JAC 52.6% |
JAC +12.4 |
|
| 10/4 | Right | 265 LA Rams -3.5 | at Philadelphia | 51.1% | LA 52.3% |
LA 52.8% |
LA +5.1 |
|
| 10/4 | Wrong | 268 Baltimore -11.5 | vs Tennessee | 51.4% | TEN 52.5% |
TEN 52.5% |
BAL +2.0 |
|
| 10/4 | Right | 269 Miami +10.0 | at Minnesota | 53.5% | MIA 51.6% |
MIA 53.8% |
MIN +7.6 |
|
| 10/4 | Right | 272 San Francisco -3.0 | vs Denver | 51.6% | DEN 60.5% |
SF 52.6% |
SF +0.3 |
|
| 10/4 | Push | 275 LA Chargers +7.0 | at Seattle | 52.3% | LAC 66.7% | LAC 52.3% | SEA +6.3 | |
| 10/4 | Wrong | 273 Kansas City -4.5 | at Las Vegas | 51.4% | KC 53.1% |
KC 50.6% |
LV +2.7 |
|
| 10/4 | Wrong | 277 Detroit -3.5 | at Carolina | 50.1% | DET 60.6% |
DET 51.4% |
CAR +6.4 |
|
| 10/5 | Right | 279 Atlanta +1.5 | at New Orleans | 53.2% | ATL 54.2% |
ATL 53.2% |
NO +4.4 |
|
| 10/8 | Wrong | 308 Dallas -8.5 | vs Tampa Bay | 51.3% | DAL 55.4% |
TB 54.8% |
TB +5.7 |
|
| 10/11 | Right | 451 Philadelphia +8.0 | vs Jacksonville | 52.3% | PHI 63.9% |
PHI 53.3% |
JAC +7.8 |
|
| 10/11 | Wrong | 453 Indianapolis +3.0 | at Pittsburgh | 51.4% | PIT 55.1% |
IND 51.4% |
IND +0.4 |
|
| 10/11 | Right | 462 New England -3.5 | vs Las Vegas | 51.5% | NE 54.6% |
NE 51.5% |
LV +6.9 |
|
| 10/11 | Right | 458 NY Jets -2.5 | vs Cleveland | 52.7% | NYJ 60.2% |
NYJ 52.7% |
CLE +10.2 |
|
| 10/11 | Right | 463 NY Giants +3.5 | at Washington | 51.9% | NYG 54.4% |
NYG 51.9% |
NYG +10.5 |
|
| 10/11 | Wrong | 456 New Orleans +2.5 | vs Minnesota | 51.3% | NO 53.1% |
NO 51.3% |
MIN +9.5 |
|
| 10/11 | Push | 460 Miami +7.0 | vs Cincinnati | 50.9% | CIN 53.8% | MIA 52.9% | MIA +1.0 | |
| 10/11 | Right | 465 Houston -6.5 | at Tennessee | 51.7% | HOU 52.7% |
TEN 51.8% |
TEN +3.1 |
|
| 10/11 | Right | 474 Green Bay +1.5 | vs Chicago | 51.9% | CHI 60.5% |
GB 51.4% |
CHI +11.6 |
|
| 10/11 | Wrong | 468 LA Chargers +3.5 | vs Denver | 52.5% | DEN 52.7% |
LAC 58.7% |
DEN +11.8 |
|
| 10/11 | Wrong | 470 Seattle -3.0 | vs San Francisco | 50.3% | SF 52.5% |
SEA 50.3% |
SF +15.0 |
|
| 10/11 | Wrong | 472 Arizona +5.5 | vs Detroit | 52.4% | DET 60.9% |
ARI 54.0% |
ARI +1.3 |
|
| 10/11 | Wrong | 476 Atlanta -3.5 | vs Baltimore | 53.3% | BAL 61.3% |
ATL 54.2% |
BAL +0.7 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
