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Make Tournament

21.4%

Automatic Bid

5.2%

At Large Bid

16.3%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (2.8%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.5%
26 97.4%
25 78.4%
24 47.4%
23 18.2%
22 5.1%
21 0.6%
20 0.6%
19 0.1%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 21.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.9% 0.2%
4 1.5% 0.1%
5 2.2% 0.1%
6 2.7% 0.1%
7 2.7% 0.0%
8 2.8% 0.0%
9 2.6% 0.0%
10 2.2% 0.0%
11 1.6% 0.0%
12 1.1% 0.0%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.