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Make Tournament

94.4%

Automatic Bid

7.7%

At Large Bid

86.6%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.9%)

Final Four

4.4%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 99.6%
16 96.8%
15 78.8%
14 47.5%
13 16.4%
12 2.1%
OVERALL 94.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.5% 3.9%
2 5.5% 2.4%
3 7.0% 1.5%
4 8.1% 1.0%
5 8.7% 0.7%
6 8.9% 0.5%
7 8.8% 0.3%
8 8.6% 0.2%
9 8.2% 0.2%
10 8.0% 0.2%
11 8.5% 0.1%
12 8.6% 0.1%
13 1.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.