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Make Tournament

87.1%

Automatic Bid

10.6%

At Large Bid

76.5%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (11.2%)

Final Four

8.5%

NCAA Champs

1.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 98.4%
17 79.2%
16 20.3%
15 0.3%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
12 0.0%
11 0.0%
OVERALL 87.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 7.1% 8.2%
2 9.9% 3.9%
3 11.2% 2.3%
4 11.2% 1.4%
5 10.8% 0.8%
6 9.9% 0.4%
7 8.7% 0.3%
8 7.3% 0.1%
9 5.5% 0.1%
10 3.5% 0.1%
11 1.7% 0.0%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.