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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

47.2%

At Large Bid

52.8%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (60.7%)

Final Four

33.8%

NCAA Champs

12.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
17 98.8%
16 70.9%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 60.7% 16.1%
2 19.5% 9.1%
3 8.9% 6.5%
4 4.8% 4.9%
5 2.9% 3.5%
6 1.6% 2.8%
7 0.7% 2.1%
8 0.3% 1.4%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 12.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.