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Make Tournament

98.2%

Automatic Bid

10.5%

At Large Bid

87.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (19.2%)

Final Four

13.1%

NCAA Champs

2.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.4%
18 94.3%
17 46.5%
16 0.2%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 98.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 19.2% 6.7%
2 19.2% 3.7%
3 15.3% 2.3%
4 11.8% 1.6%
5 8.9% 1.1%
6 6.8% 0.8%
7 5.1% 0.6%
8 4.0% 0.5%
9 3.1% 0.3%
10 2.3% 0.4%
11 1.7% 0.2%
12 0.7% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.