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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

23.5%

At Large Bid

76.1%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (24.4%)

Final Four

15.4%

NCAA Champs

3.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.6%
18 99.1%
17 90.4%
16 77.6%
15 47.7%
14 10.7%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 24.4% 7.5%
2 20.5% 3.7%
3 15.4% 2.7%
4 11.4% 1.7%
5 8.4% 1.1%
6 6.2% 0.9%
7 4.5% 0.6%
8 3.2% 0.4%
9 2.3% 0.3%
10 1.6% 0.3%
11 1.1% 0.2%
12 0.5% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.