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Make Tournament

97.9%

Automatic Bid

35.5%

At Large Bid

62.5%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (38.9%)

Final Four

21.4%

NCAA Champs

5.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 98.4%
19 89.5%
18 68.9%
17 34.4%
16 6.3%
15 1.2%
14 0.2%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 97.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 38.9% 9.9%
2 20.0% 4.8%
3 12.7% 3.0%
4 8.8% 2.2%
5 6.4% 1.3%
6 4.4% 1.0%
7 2.0% 0.7%
8 1.1% 0.5%
9 1.0% 0.4%
10 0.9% 0.4%
11 0.8% 0.3%
12 0.6% 0.2%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.