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Make Tournament

99.8%

Automatic Bid

8.0%

At Large Bid

91.9%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (14.6%)

Final Four

8.3%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.8%
14 95.9%
13 71.9%
OVERALL 99.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.3% 4.3%
2 7.6% 3.1%
3 12.9% 2.4%
4 14.6% 1.7%
5 14.1% 1.2%
6 12.6% 1.0%
7 10.7% 0.9%
8 8.7% 0.6%
9 6.8% 0.5%
10 5.0% 0.5%
11 3.6% 0.4%
12 1.9% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.