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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

27.0%

At Large Bid

73.0%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (37.7%)

Final Four

16.4%

NCAA Champs

2.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.6%
18 92.5%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 37.7% 3.9%
2 33.9% 2.4%
3 15.1% 1.6%
4 7.2% 1.2%
5 3.5% 0.9%
6 1.6% 0.8%
7 0.7% 0.6%
8 0.3% 0.5%
9 0.1% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.