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Make Tournament86.3% |
Automatic Bid9.9% |
At Large Bid76.5% |
Most Likely Seed#3 (10.7%) |
Final Four8.1% |
NCAA Champs1.6% |
| Total Wins | NCAA Bid% |
|---|---|
| 32 | 100.0% |
| 31 | 100.0% |
| 30 | 100.0% |
| 29 | 100.0% |
| 28 | 100.0% |
| 27 | 100.0% |
| 26 | 100.0% |
| 25 | 100.0% |
| 24 | 100.0% |
| 23 | 99.9% |
| 22 | 99.7% |
| 21 | 98.0% |
| 20 | 94.1% |
| 19 | 80.8% |
| 18 | 58.1% |
| 17 | 25.7% |
| 16 | 2.4% |
| 15 | 0.0% |
| 14 | 0.0% |
| OVERALL | 86.3% |
NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.
| Seed | Probability | Win Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6.3% | 6.8% |
| 2 | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| 3 | 10.7% | 2.2% |
| 4 | 10.5% | 1.5% |
| 5 | 9.7% | 1.0% |
| 6 | 8.8% | 0.7% |
| 7 | 7.8% | 0.5% |
| 8 | 6.9% | 0.3% |
| 9 | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| 10 | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| 11 | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| 12 | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| 13 | 0.0% | - |
| 14 | 0.0% | - |
| 15 | 0.0% | - |
| 16 | 0.0% | - |
| OVERALL | 1.6% |
*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.
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