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Make Tournament

38.2%

Automatic Bid

3.3%

At Large Bid

34.9%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (4.9%)

Final Four

1.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.4%
21 90.8%
20 64.7%
19 28.8%
18 6.9%
17 0.8%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 38.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 1.9%
2 1.1% 1.0%
3 1.8% 0.5%
4 2.8% 0.3%
5 3.7% 0.1%
6 3.8% 0.1%
7 3.7% 0.1%
8 4.4% 0.0%
9 4.9% 0.0%
10 4.7% 0.0%
11 3.9% 0.0%
12 2.4% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.