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Make Tournament

84.1%

Automatic Bid

16.0%

At Large Bid

68.1%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (10.1%)

Final Four

6.1%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.1%
22 94.9%
21 78.1%
20 45.8%
19 14.7%
18 2.9%
17 0.5%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 84.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 4.4%
2 7.0% 2.7%
3 9.1% 1.9%
4 10.1% 1.3%
5 10.0% 0.9%
6 8.6% 0.7%
7 7.1% 0.6%
8 6.9% 0.4%
9 6.6% 0.3%
10 5.9% 0.3%
11 5.0% 0.3%
12 3.7% 0.2%
13 0.9% 0.2%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.