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Make Tournament

77.6%

Automatic Bid

4.9%

At Large Bid

72.7%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (9.5%)

Final Four

1.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.5%
22 96.1%
21 78.8%
20 36.3%
19 6.7%
18 0.5%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 77.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 0.7%
2 3.5% 0.5%
3 6.6% 0.3%
4 8.7% 0.2%
5 9.4% 0.1%
6 9.3% 0.1%
7 9.5% 0.1%
8 9.0% 0.1%
9 7.4% 0.1%
10 5.6% 0.0%
11 4.1% 0.0%
12 2.7% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.