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Make Tournament

98.3%

Automatic Bid

15.7%

At Large Bid

82.5%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (23.9%)

Final Four

3.7%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 99.4%
22 98.7%
21 96.3%
OVERALL 98.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.6% 1.3%
4 3.1% 0.7%
5 11.5% 0.6%
6 21.5% 0.5%
7 23.9% 0.5%
8 18.6% 0.4%
9 11.0% 0.3%
10 5.3% 0.4%
11 2.0% 0.3%
12 0.6% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.