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Make Tournament

93.6%

Automatic Bid

12.3%

At Large Bid

81.3%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (12.2%)

Final Four

4.3%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 98.9%
16 92.8%
15 68.1%
14 26.7%
13 2.6%
12 0.3%
OVERALL 93.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 2.0%
2 3.5% 1.8%
3 7.8% 1.3%
4 10.7% 0.9%
5 12.0% 0.6%
6 12.2% 0.5%
7 11.7% 0.4%
8 10.6% 0.3%
9 9.0% 0.2%
10 7.2% 0.2%
11 5.3% 0.2%
12 2.9% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.