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Make Tournament

83.2%

Automatic Bid

21.6%

At Large Bid

61.7%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (10.9%)

Final Four

4.9%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.8%
22 91.4%
21 77.0%
20 42.3%
19 15.7%
18 1.9%
17 0.7%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 83.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.2% 3.2%
2 8.1% 1.6%
3 9.6% 1.0%
4 10.5% 0.6%
5 10.9% 0.4%
6 9.4% 0.3%
7 6.0% 0.2%
8 5.1% 0.1%
9 4.9% 0.1%
10 4.5% 0.1%
11 4.0% 0.1%
12 3.5% 0.1%
13 1.2% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.