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Make Tournament

97.5%

Automatic Bid

6.5%

At Large Bid

91.0%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (16.8%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.6%
21 98.4%
20 90.2%
19 60.0%
OVERALL 97.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 1.0% 0.2%
4 4.6% 0.2%
5 10.9% 0.1%
6 15.0% 0.1%
7 16.7% 0.1%
8 16.8% 0.1%
9 14.6% 0.1%
10 10.4% 0.1%
11 5.6% 0.0%
12 1.7% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.