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Make Tournament

47.4%

Automatic Bid

5.8%

At Large Bid

41.6%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (7.0%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.5%
24 97.7%
23 90.0%
22 74.4%
21 49.8%
20 23.1%
19 8.1%
18 1.8%
17 0.4%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 47.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 0.8%
3 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.4% 0.3%
5 3.5% 0.2%
6 4.8% 0.1%
7 5.9% 0.1%
8 6.7% 0.1%
9 7.0% 0.0%
10 6.5% 0.0%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 2.9% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.