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Make Tournament

99.1%

Automatic Bid

30.5%

At Large Bid

68.6%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (36.1%)

Final Four

22.4%

NCAA Champs

7.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.7%
19 96.7%
18 87.5%
17 60.8%
16 26.6%
15 5.6%
14 0.4%
OVERALL 99.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 36.1% 13.1%
2 18.9% 6.4%
3 12.7% 4.2%
4 9.0% 3.1%
5 6.6% 2.1%
6 4.8% 1.4%
7 3.5% 1.2%
8 2.6% 0.9%
9 1.9% 0.7%
10 1.4% 0.5%
11 1.0% 0.4%
12 0.6% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.