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Make Tournament

90.6%

Automatic Bid

19.6%

At Large Bid

70.9%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (12.0%)

Final Four

10.8%

NCAA Champs

2.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 99.4%
22 97.0%
21 87.9%
20 70.5%
19 39.0%
18 13.4%
17 2.5%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 90.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 8.1% 7.9%
2 11.5% 4.4%
3 12.0% 3.0%
4 11.4% 2.1%
5 10.5% 1.5%
6 9.3% 1.1%
7 7.9% 0.8%
8 6.6% 0.5%
9 5.4% 0.4%
10 4.1% 0.4%
11 2.7% 0.3%
12 1.1% 0.2%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.