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Make Tournament

51.5%

Automatic Bid

2.2%

At Large Bid

49.2%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (13.3%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.2%
21 95.5%
20 82.6%
19 48.0%
18 7.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 51.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.3% 0.2%
6 1.0% 0.2%
7 2.4% 0.1%
8 5.3% 0.1%
9 9.2% 0.1%
10 12.3% 0.1%
11 13.3% 0.0%
12 7.4% 0.0%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.