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Make Tournament

89.3%

Automatic Bid

8.8%

At Large Bid

80.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (11.9%)

Final Four

3.0%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 99.5%
17 95.4%
16 77.5%
15 33.0%
14 2.7%
OVERALL 89.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 1.7%
2 4.2% 1.1%
3 8.3% 0.8%
4 10.9% 0.5%
5 11.9% 0.3%
6 11.8% 0.2%
7 10.9% 0.2%
8 9.5% 0.1%
9 8.0% 0.1%
10 6.3% 0.1%
11 4.5% 0.1%
12 2.3% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.