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Make Tournament

97.6%

Automatic Bid

15.4%

At Large Bid

82.2%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (14.4%)

Final Four

5.6%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.6%
21 98.9%
20 93.5%
19 76.4%
18 45.3%
17 6.7%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 97.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.6% 3.4%
2 13.0% 1.7%
3 14.4% 1.1%
4 13.3% 0.6%
5 11.6% 0.4%
6 9.8% 0.3%
7 8.0% 0.2%
8 6.4% 0.1%
9 5.2% 0.1%
10 4.2% 0.1%
11 3.3% 0.0%
12 1.8% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.