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Make Tournament

77.2%

Automatic Bid

10.2%

At Large Bid

67.0%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (9.9%)

Final Four

6.4%

NCAA Champs

1.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 99.1%
23 96.8%
22 90.8%
21 73.8%
20 48.2%
19 25.8%
18 8.7%
17 1.6%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 77.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.3% 7.2%
2 7.4% 3.5%
3 9.2% 2.0%
4 9.9% 1.1%
5 9.8% 0.6%
6 9.3% 0.3%
7 8.4% 0.2%
8 7.0% 0.1%
9 5.4% 0.1%
10 3.8% 0.0%
11 2.2% 0.0%
12 0.4% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.