Our MLB betting picks are a hit

About Our MLB Betting Picks

Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.

The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.

Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Opp/Game Value Score Value Similar Games Decision Tree Power Rating
8/18 -- LAY OFF TOR at CHC -- -- Lay Off -- TOR +7.2%
8/18 Right 901 St. Louis -129 at Pittsburgh 1.0% STL +6.8% PIT +15.0% PIT +1.7%
8/18 Right 914 Baltimore -124 vs LA Angels 1.9% BAL +2.5% Lay Off LAA +3.7%
8/18 Wrong 904 NY Mets -103 vs Miami 0.0% NYM +3.2% Lay Off Lay Off
8/18 -- LAY OFF NYY at BOS -- -- NYY +2.6% BOS +4.3% NYY +1.0%
8/18 Wrong 916 Tampa Bay -131 vs Seattle 1.5% SEA +3.4% Lay Off SEA +3.9%
8/18 Wrong 928 Detroit +175 vs LA Dodgers 0.3% DET +1.6% DET +6.0% DET +6.6%
8/18 Wrong 906 Atlanta -122 vs Cincinnati 0.9% ATL +1.5% Lay Off CIN +2.0%
8/18 -- LAY OFF CHW at TEX -- -- CHW +3.2% CHW +6.1% CHW +12.4%
8/18 -- LAY OFF OAK at HOU -- -- OAK +7.2% OAK +4.3% OAK +7.8%
8/18 Wrong 929 Arizona -110 at Minnesota 3.2% MIN +1.6% MIN +9.6% ARI +0.9%
8/18 -- LAY OFF CLE at KC -- -- KC +8.1% KC +9.5% KC +11.9%
8/18 -- LAY OFF MIL at COL -- -- MIL +7.4% MIL +3.0% MIL +9.6%
8/18 -- LAY OFF WAS at SD -- -- SD +2.9% SD +12.7% SD +7.9%
8/18 -- LAY OFF PHI at SF -- -- PHI +3.9% PHI +9.5% PHI +10.6%