MLB Baseball Money Line Value Picks
About Our MLB Betting Picks
Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Opp/Game | Value Score | Value | Similar Games | Decision Tree | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | TOR at CHC | -- | -- | Lay Off | -- | TOR +7.2% 
|
| 8/18 | Right | 901 St. Louis -129 | at Pittsburgh | 1.0% | STL +6.8% 
|
PIT +15.0%
|
PIT +1.7%
|
|
| 8/18 | Right | 914 Baltimore -124 | vs LA Angels | 1.9% | BAL +2.5%
|
Lay Off | LAA +3.7%
|
|
| 8/18 | Wrong | 904 NY Mets -103 | vs Miami | 0.0% | NYM +3.2%
|
Lay Off | Lay Off | |
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | NYY at BOS | -- | -- | NYY +2.6%
|
BOS +4.3%
|
NYY +1.0%
|
| 8/18 | Wrong | 916 Tampa Bay -131 | vs Seattle | 1.5% | SEA +3.4%
|
Lay Off | SEA +3.9%
|
|
| 8/18 | Wrong | 928 Detroit +175 | vs LA Dodgers | 0.3% | DET +1.6%
|
DET +6.0%
|
DET +6.6%
|
|
| 8/18 | Wrong | 906 Atlanta -122 | vs Cincinnati | 0.9% | ATL +1.5%
|
Lay Off | CIN +2.0%
|
|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | CHW at TEX | -- | -- | CHW +3.2%
|
CHW +6.1%
|
CHW +12.4%
|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | OAK at HOU | -- | -- | OAK +7.2%
|
OAK +4.3%
|
OAK +7.8%
|
| 8/18 | Wrong | 929 Arizona -110 | at Minnesota | 3.2% | MIN +1.6%
|
MIN +9.6%
|
ARI +0.9%
|
|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | CLE at KC | -- | -- | KC +8.1%
|
KC +9.5%
|
KC +11.9%
|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | MIL at COL | -- | -- | MIL +7.4%
|
MIL +3.0%
|
MIL +9.6%
|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | WAS at SD | -- | -- | SD +2.9%
|
SD +12.7%
|
SD +7.9%
|
| 8/18 | -- | LAY OFF | PHI at SF | -- | -- | PHI +3.9%
|
PHI +9.5%
|
PHI +10.6%
|