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MLB Baseball Money Line Value Picks
About Our MLB Betting Picks
Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2015 and 2016), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 176-133-17 (57%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Opp/Game | Value Score | Value | Similar Games | Decision Tree | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | NYM at PHI | -- | -- | PHI +3.9% 
|
-- | NYM +8.0% 
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | TOR at NYY | -- | -- | NYY +5.0%
|
TOR +6.9%
|
TOR +7.3%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | MIA at WAS | -- | -- | MIA +14.6%
|
MIA +13.6%
|
MIA +20.4%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | CHC at PIT | -- | -- | PIT +10.5%
|
PIT +11.8%
|
PIT +3.6%
|
| 8/17 | Right | 908 Cincinnati -115 | vs SF Giants | 2.0% | CIN +1.2%
|
Lay Off | SF +2.9%
|
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | BAL at CLE | -- | -- | BAL +1.7%
|
BAL +8.3%
|
BAL +18.5%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | TB at BOS | -- | -- | TB +5.8%
|
TB +7.3%
|
TB +6.5%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | COL at ATL | -- | -- | ATL +2.8%
|
Lay Off | COL +2.3%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | LAA at TEX | -- | -- | TEX +9.6%
|
Lay Off | LAA +2.3%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | KC at CHW | -- | -- | CHW +0.6%
|
KC +3.0%
|
KC +4.5%
|
| 8/17 | Right | 924 Minnesota -183 | vs Detroit | 0.1% | MIN +11.8%
|
DET +2.6%
|
DET +9.7%
|
|
| 8/17 | Right | 912 St. Louis -125 | vs Milwaukee | 0.5% | STL +4.0%
|
Lay Off | MIL +3.1%
|
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | HOU at OAK | -- | -- | OAK +0.3%
|
OAK +4.4%
|
OAK +4.0%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | LA at SEA | -- | -- | SEA +0.5%
|
SEA +11.8%
|
SEA +2.3%
|
| 8/17 | -- | LAY OFF | ARI at SD | -- | -- | SD +4.5%
|
SD +7.4%
|
Lay Off |
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