MLB Baseball Money Line Value Picks
About Our MLB Betting Picks
Our MLB betting picks are driven by computer models that analyze thousands of data points on every matchup, including team stats and starting pitchers.
The models project all MLB games against the money line, over/under (totals) line, and run line, and include confidence odds or a value score for each play.
Over the past two seasons (2014 and 2015), our 2- and 3-star rated MLB over/under picks went 275-200-32 (58%) against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports, and we publish detailed prediction accuracy reports that track pick performance.
The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Opp/Game | Value Score | Value | Similar Games | Decision Tree | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | NYM at PHI | -- | -- | PHI +14.5% 
|
PHI +17.2%
|
PHI +7.0%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | BAL at NYY | -- | -- | NYY +5.2%
|
Lay Off | BAL +7.0% 
|
| 9/30 | Wrong | 902 Washington -131 | vs Miami | 0.6% | WAS +11.6%
|
WAS +2.1%
|
MIA +0.9%
|
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | CHC at CIN | -- | -- | CIN +5.9%
|
CIN +16.3%
|
CIN +2.4%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | TOR at BOS | -- | -- | TOR +6.5%
|
Lay Off | TOR +5.3%
|
| 9/30 | Right | 929 Detroit -140 | at Atlanta | 1.0% | Lay Off | ATL +14.4%
|
ATL +2.8%
|
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | TB at TEX | -- | -- | TB +4.1%
|
TB +4.7%
|
TB +13.6%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | MIN at CHW | -- | -- | CHW +2.5%
|
Lay Off | MIN +3.9%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | MIL at COL | -- | -- | MIL +7.9%
|
MIL +5.8%
|
MIL +6.8%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | PIT at STL | -- | -- | PIT +4.2%
|
PIT +4.4%
|
PIT +11.8%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | CLE at KC | -- | -- | KC +6.3%
|
Lay Off | CLE +2.3%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | SD at ARI | -- | -- | SD +9.0%
|
Lay Off | SD +5.5%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | HOU at LAA | -- | -- | LAA +3.8%
|
LAA +13.1%
|
LAA +4.2%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | OAK at SEA | -- | -- | OAK +8.6%
|
Lay Off | OAK +9.0%
|
| 9/30 | -- | LAY OFF | LA at SF | -- | -- | SF +1.6%
|
Lay Off | LA +4.3%
|