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Make Tournament

91.9%

Automatic Bid

22.2%

At Large Bid

69.7%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (9.2%)

Final Four

7.3%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.7%
19 98.4%
18 90.4%
17 69.1%
16 36.3%
15 10.2%
14 0.5%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 91.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 6.2%
2 6.9% 3.8%
3 8.6% 2.7%
4 9.2% 1.9%
5 9.2% 1.3%
6 8.3% 1.1%
7 7.3% 0.8%
8 7.1% 0.7%
9 7.0% 0.6%
10 6.9% 0.5%
11 7.2% 0.4%
12 7.6% 0.3%
13 3.0% 0.2%
14 0.5% 0.2%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.