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Make Tournament

93.1%

Automatic Bid

21.8%

At Large Bid

71.3%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (14.0%)

Final Four

9.1%

NCAA Champs

1.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.2%
23 97.7%
22 91.5%
21 78.7%
20 53.0%
19 28.4%
18 15.0%
17 3.3%
16 0.1%
OVERALL 93.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 7.4% 5.8%
2 12.9% 3.3%
3 14.0% 2.0%
4 13.6% 1.4%
5 12.0% 0.9%
6 10.1% 0.6%
7 8.0% 0.4%
8 6.1% 0.3%
9 4.3% 0.2%
10 2.7% 0.2%
11 1.5% 0.1%
12 0.5% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.