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Make Tournament

83.7%

Automatic Bid

6.2%

At Large Bid

77.5%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (18.5%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 99.9%
16 98.1%
15 88.2%
14 48.6%
13 7.9%
12 0.3%
OVERALL 83.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.7% 0.6%
4 1.5% 0.4%
5 2.8% 0.3%
6 4.3% 0.2%
7 6.1% 0.1%
8 8.0% 0.1%
9 10.1% 0.1%
10 12.6% 0.1%
11 16.1% 0.0%
12 18.5% 0.0%
13 2.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.