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Make Tournament

53.8%

Automatic Bid

3.3%

At Large Bid

50.4%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (7.5%)

Final Four

1.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 98.8%
21 94.5%
20 84.5%
19 60.7%
18 23.6%
17 1.4%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 53.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.9% 0.7%
3 1.8% 0.4%
4 2.8% 0.3%
5 3.9% 0.2%
6 4.9% 0.1%
7 5.8% 0.1%
8 6.7% 0.1%
9 7.3% 0.0%
10 7.5% 0.0%
11 7.2% 0.0%
12 4.6% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.