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Make Tournament

51.9%

Automatic Bid

7.3%

At Large Bid

44.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (7.6%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 98.4%
21 91.7%
20 73.5%
19 39.4%
18 10.6%
17 1.2%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 51.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.4% 0.7%
3 1.2% 0.7%
4 2.6% 0.5%
5 4.2% 0.3%
6 5.7% 0.3%
7 6.9% 0.2%
8 7.5% 0.2%
9 7.6% 0.2%
10 6.8% 0.1%
11 5.5% 0.1%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.