View Arkansas bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

78.0%

Automatic Bid

11.5%

At Large Bid

66.4%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (9.8%)

Final Four

5.0%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 98.4%
22 93.6%
21 78.7%
20 53.1%
19 22.8%
18 7.1%
17 1.3%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 78.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.8% 4.7%
2 6.9% 2.6%
3 8.9% 1.3%
4 9.8% 0.7%
5 8.9% 0.4%
6 7.3% 0.3%
7 7.0% 0.2%
8 6.9% 0.1%
9 6.4% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 4.3% 0.0%
12 2.2% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.