View San Diego St. bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

89.3%

Automatic Bid

36.1%

At Large Bid

53.2%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (17.2%)

Final Four

4.5%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.8%
26 96.6%
25 84.0%
24 54.8%
23 23.7%
22 6.3%
21 1.6%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 89.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.5% 2.4%
2 7.4% 1.6%
3 13.6% 1.0%
4 16.9% 0.7%
5 17.2% 0.4%
6 14.3% 0.3%
7 8.0% 0.2%
8 4.2% 0.2%
9 2.7% 0.1%
10 1.7% 0.1%
11 1.0% 0.1%
12 0.5% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.