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Make Tournament

98.9%

Automatic Bid

51.0%

At Large Bid

47.9%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (34.9%)

Final Four

10.8%

NCAA Champs

1.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 99.6%
29 97.9%
28 95.3%
27 88.1%
26 66.5%
OVERALL 98.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 7.0% 2.6%
2 28.5% 2.2%
3 34.9% 1.9%
4 20.0% 1.6%
5 6.3% 1.3%
6 1.6% 1.3%
7 0.4% 1.2%
8 0.1% -
9 0.0% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.