College Football Money Line Picks
Our algorithmic college bowl picks are driven by objective computer models that analyze millions of historical data points.
2016 was a great season for our top-rated college football game winner and betting picks. Among the highlights:- 3-star rated point spread picks 30-22-1 (58%) vs. game day lines (data)
- 3-star rated totals picks 45-36 (56%) vs. game day lines (data)
- Money line value picks 176-167-0 for +21.2 units of profit (data)
- Game winner picks 532-187 (74%) for all games (data)
Our models use recent betting lines from Pinnacle Sports, and include confidence odds or a value score for every pick.
Money Line Value Pick History (2-Star Picks)
During the 2016 college football regular season, our top-rated (2-star) money line value picks generated +9.4 units of profit (based on flat betting) against game-day money lines from respected offshore sports book Pinnacle Sports.
We provide a money line valule pick and value score for every college football game between FBS teams for which our models identify value on a side. If the models don't find value on either team, the money line pick is rated as "LAY OFF."
We also display pick confidence odds from three underlying algorithmic models that we use as inputs to our pick making process.
| Day | Status | TR Pick | Opp/Game | Value Score | Value | Similar Games | Decision Tree | Power Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/3 | Right | 194 Wisconsin +502 | vs LSU | 4.6% | WISC +6.8% 
|
WISC +44.2%
|
WISC +10.5%
|
|
| 9/10 | Right | 311 Ohio +124 | at Kansas | 4.0% | OHIO +11.3%
|
OHIO +10.7%
|
OHIO +23.4%
|
|
| 9/10 | Right | 342 Navy -197 | vs Connecticut | 3.5% | NAVY +6.5%
|
NAVY +7.3%
|
NAVY +21.2%
|
|
| 10/1 | Right | 126 W Virginia -138 | vs Kansas St | 3.7% | WVIR +10.2%
|
Lay Off | WVIR +3.8%
|
|
| 10/1 | Right | 131 S Florida -265 | at Cincinnati | 3.8% | USF +9.4%
|
CIN +6.8% 
|
USF +20.1%
|
|
| 10/6 | Right | 308 LA Tech +129 | vs W Kentucky | 4.3% | LTEC +4.7%
|
LTEC +17.0%
|
LTEC +19.9%
|
|
| 10/15 | Wrong | 154 Virginia +177 | vs Pittsburgh | 3.7% | UVA +5.8%
|
UVA +19.9%
|
UVA +25.2%
|
|
| 10/22 | Right | 392 Maryland +152 | vs Michigan St | 5.1% | UMD +8.1%
|
UMD +23.1%
|
UMD +16.3%
|
|
| 11/4 | Right | 318 Miami (OH) +101 | vs Central Mich | 3.7% | MIOH +15.7%
|
MIOH +5.4%
|
MIOH +4.7%
|
|
| 11/12 | Wrong | 208 Memphis +151 | vs S Florida | 4.8% | MEM +0.4%
|
MEM +32.0%
|
MEM +6.0%
|
|
| 11/15 | Wrong | 303 Ohio +100 | at Central Mich | 4.7% | OHIO +14.1%
|
OHIO +1.3%
|
OHIO +15.4%
|
|
| 11/22 | Right | 106 E Michigan +105 | vs Central Mich | 4.6% | EMCH +5.9%
|
EMCH +14.6%
|
EMCH +8.1%
|
|
| 11/22 | Right | 104 Miami (OH) -297 | vs Ball State | 3.9% | MIOH +8.3%
|
MIOH +0.1%
|
MIOH +3.0%
|
|
| 11/25 | Wrong | 121 Nebraska +130 | at Iowa | 4.0% | NEB +7.5%
|
NEB +6.9%
|
Lay Off | |
| 11/26 | Right | 156 Northwestern -665 | vs Illinois | 3.5% | NWST +1.1%
|
Lay Off | Lay Off | |
| 12/3 | Right | 308 W Virginia -725 | vs Baylor | 3.5% | WVIR +3.3%
|
BAY +4.2%
|
Lay Off |