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Make Tournament

76.4%

Automatic Bid

3.6%

At Large Bid

72.8%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.2%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.8%
22 98.6%
21 95.2%
20 85.7%
19 68.6%
18 40.9%
17 16.3%
16 2.8%
15 0.4%
OVERALL 76.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 1.8%
2 2.2% 1.0%
3 3.8% 0.6%
4 5.3% 0.4%
5 6.7% 0.2%
6 7.8% 0.2%
7 8.6% 0.1%
8 9.0% 0.1%
9 9.2% 0.1%
10 9.0% 0.0%
11 8.2% 0.0%
12 5.2% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.