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Make Tournament

99.7%

Automatic Bid

1.0%

At Large Bid

98.7%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (15.7%)

Final Four

2.8%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.8%
18 97.6%
17 38.6%
OVERALL 99.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 2.3% 1.0%
3 6.3% 0.6%
4 9.9% 0.5%
5 12.9% 0.3%
6 15.1% 0.2%
7 15.7% 0.2%
8 13.9% 0.1%
9 10.5% 0.1%
10 7.1% 0.1%
11 4.3% 0.1%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.