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Make Tournament

63.3%

Automatic Bid

5.8%

At Large Bid

57.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (8.4%)

Final Four

3.8%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.7%
26 98.9%
25 96.0%
24 86.8%
23 67.2%
22 42.0%
21 18.3%
20 5.0%
19 0.8%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 63.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.3% 3.2%
2 4.8% 1.6%
3 6.6% 1.1%
4 7.8% 0.7%
5 8.4% 0.5%
6 8.3% 0.4%
7 7.5% 0.2%
8 6.3% 0.2%
9 4.9% 0.1%
10 3.4% 0.1%
11 2.0% 0.1%
12 0.8% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.