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Make Tournament

76.3%

Automatic Bid

8.7%

At Large Bid

67.5%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (9.7%)

Final Four

3.9%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 97.4%
22 87.1%
21 55.2%
20 16.7%
19 1.8%
18 0.1%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 76.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.6% 2.2%
2 5.8% 1.4%
3 7.9% 0.8%
4 9.4% 0.5%
5 9.7% 0.4%
6 8.1% 0.3%
7 6.5% 0.2%
8 6.4% 0.2%
9 6.0% 0.1%
10 5.2% 0.1%
11 4.3% 0.1%
12 3.3% 0.1%
13 1.0% 0.1%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.