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Make Tournament

81.5%

Automatic Bid

4.1%

At Large Bid

77.4%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (9.1%)

Final Four

5.0%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.9%
22 95.6%
21 84.0%
20 62.1%
19 27.6%
18 6.7%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 81.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.3% 3.9%
2 6.6% 2.0%
3 8.2% 1.4%
4 8.9% 1.0%
5 9.1% 0.7%
6 8.9% 0.4%
7 8.5% 0.3%
8 7.8% 0.2%
9 7.0% 0.2%
10 5.9% 0.2%
11 4.6% 0.1%
12 2.6% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.