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Make Tournament

79.3%

Automatic Bid

9.8%

At Large Bid

69.5%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (12.0%)

Final Four

8.1%

NCAA Champs

1.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.6%
24 98.0%
23 92.2%
22 76.4%
21 48.8%
20 18.6%
19 6.2%
18 1.4%
17 0.8%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 79.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.3% 5.4%
2 9.6% 3.3%
3 11.9% 2.1%
4 12.0% 1.4%
5 10.9% 1.0%
6 9.4% 0.7%
7 7.7% 0.5%
8 5.8% 0.4%
9 4.0% 0.3%
10 2.3% 0.2%
11 1.1% 0.2%
12 0.3% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.