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Make Tournament

99.1%

Automatic Bid

30.1%

At Large Bid

69.0%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (21.4%)

Final Four

3.2%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 98.4%
23 89.1%
22 55.1%
21 15.6%
20 0.5%
OVERALL 99.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 0.9%
2 4.3% 0.5%
3 11.5% 0.4%
4 18.2% 0.3%
5 21.4% 0.2%
6 18.6% 0.2%
7 11.7% 0.1%
8 6.4% 0.1%
9 3.5% 0.1%
10 1.8% 0.1%
11 0.8% 0.1%
12 0.3% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.