View Cincinnati bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

45.7%

Automatic Bid

8.5%

At Large Bid

37.2%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (5.5%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 97.1%
21 85.8%
20 60.1%
19 28.2%
18 7.2%
17 1.5%
16 0.3%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 45.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 0.6%
3 1.4% 0.3%
4 2.5% 0.2%
5 4.0% 0.1%
6 5.5% 0.1%
7 5.2% 0.1%
8 4.2% 0.1%
9 4.3% 0.0%
10 4.9% 0.0%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 5.4% 0.0%
13 1.9% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.