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Make Tournament

80.5%

Automatic Bid

18.5%

At Large Bid

62.0%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (15.7%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 97.4%
21 87.4%
20 68.4%
19 33.8%
18 7.7%
OVERALL 80.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.7% 0.4%
4 3.4% 0.2%
5 9.4% 0.2%
6 14.3% 0.1%
7 15.7% 0.1%
8 14.4% 0.1%
9 11.2% 0.1%
10 7.1% 0.1%
11 3.3% 0.1%
12 0.9% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.