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Make Tournament

94.6%

Automatic Bid

33.2%

At Large Bid

61.5%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (15.5%)

Final Four

4.7%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.2%
23 93.4%
22 70.8%
21 28.3%
20 4.9%
19 1.8%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 94.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.1% 2.0%
2 10.9% 1.1%
3 14.5% 0.7%
4 15.5% 0.4%
5 14.7% 0.3%
6 11.7% 0.2%
7 6.6% 0.2%
8 4.3% 0.1%
9 3.6% 0.1%
10 3.2% 0.1%
11 2.7% 0.1%
12 2.1% 0.1%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.