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Make Tournament

77.7%

Automatic Bid

8.5%

At Large Bid

69.2%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.0%)

Final Four

3.1%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.6%
22 98.0%
21 91.4%
20 73.6%
19 47.1%
18 15.7%
17 0.5%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 77.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 3.2%
2 2.2% 2.2%
3 4.1% 1.3%
4 5.8% 1.0%
5 7.1% 0.6%
6 8.0% 0.5%
7 8.5% 0.3%
8 8.8% 0.2%
9 9.0% 0.2%
10 8.9% 0.1%
11 8.6% 0.1%
12 5.8% 0.1%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.