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Make Tournament

12.9%

Automatic Bid

1.8%

At Large Bid

11.2%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (2.0%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.8%
28 99.6%
27 99.2%
26 96.6%
25 86.6%
24 63.3%
23 35.3%
22 11.5%
21 2.1%
20 0.2%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 12.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 0.3%
3 1.0% 0.2%
4 1.5% 0.1%
5 1.9% 0.1%
6 2.0% 0.1%
7 2.0% 0.1%
8 1.6% 0.0%
9 1.1% 0.0%
10 0.7% 0.0%
11 0.4% 0.0%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.