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Make Tournament

90.4%

Automatic Bid

22.1%

At Large Bid

68.3%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (16.3%)

Final Four

8.2%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.3%
19 94.9%
18 73.6%
17 34.9%
16 4.7%
15 0.2%
OVERALL 90.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 3.8%
2 7.7% 3.0%
3 14.5% 2.2%
4 16.3% 1.6%
5 14.7% 1.2%
6 11.9% 0.9%
7 9.1% 0.8%
8 6.5% 0.6%
9 4.3% 0.5%
10 2.5% 0.6%
11 1.3% 0.4%
12 0.5% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.