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Make Tournament

74.6%

Automatic Bid

8.5%

At Large Bid

66.0%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (8.0%)

Final Four

3.4%

NCAA Champs

0.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.1%
20 96.3%
19 86.3%
18 61.3%
17 31.8%
16 10.0%
15 2.1%
14 0.1%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 74.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.7% 4.8%
2 3.7% 2.3%
3 5.9% 1.3%
4 7.5% 0.7%
5 8.0% 0.4%
6 6.8% 0.2%
7 6.2% 0.2%
8 6.6% 0.1%
9 7.0% 0.1%
10 7.2% 0.1%
11 7.4% 0.0%
12 6.0% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.