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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

29.3%

At Large Bid

70.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (39.1%)

Final Four

24.5%

NCAA Champs

7.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.3%
19 95.7%
18 69.5%
17 37.6%
16 0.2%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 39.1% 12.5%
2 21.5% 7.0%
3 13.3% 4.6%
4 8.9% 3.5%
5 6.0% 2.5%
6 4.0% 1.7%
7 2.7% 1.3%
8 1.7% 1.1%
9 1.1% 1.0%
10 0.7% 0.8%
11 0.4% 0.4%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.