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Make Tournament

96.8%

Automatic Bid

10.1%

At Large Bid

86.6%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (9.7%)

Final Four

6.2%

NCAA Champs

1.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 99.5%
17 96.1%
16 80.8%
15 50.2%
14 11.5%
OVERALL 96.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.3% 5.4%
2 7.7% 2.7%
3 8.9% 1.7%
4 9.6% 1.2%
5 9.7% 0.8%
6 9.5% 0.6%
7 9.0% 0.4%
8 8.2% 0.3%
9 7.5% 0.2%
10 6.9% 0.2%
11 6.7% 0.1%
12 6.3% 0.1%
13 1.3% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.