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Make Tournament

99.0%

Automatic Bid

22.9%

At Large Bid

76.2%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (21.5%)

Final Four

16.8%

NCAA Champs

4.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 98.8%
21 91.7%
20 72.9%
19 42.4%
18 6.6%
17 1.3%
OVERALL 99.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 17.2% 8.9%
2 21.5% 5.6%
3 17.2% 3.9%
4 12.2% 2.9%
5 8.1% 2.1%
6 5.9% 1.7%
7 5.4% 1.4%
8 4.3% 1.1%
9 3.0% 0.9%
10 2.0% 0.7%
11 1.3% 0.6%
12 0.8% 0.4%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.