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Make Tournament

99.2%

Automatic Bid

2.7%

At Large Bid

96.5%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (21.4%)

Final Four

5.4%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.5%
19 96.3%
18 72.8%
17 33.5%
OVERALL 99.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.6% 1.7%
3 2.6% 1.0%
4 7.1% 0.9%
5 14.5% 0.7%
6 21.4% 0.6%
7 20.4% 0.5%
8 14.4% 0.4%
9 9.1% 0.3%
10 5.1% 0.3%
11 2.6% 0.3%
12 1.1% 0.2%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.