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Make Tournament

90.3%

Automatic Bid

9.5%

At Large Bid

80.8%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (10.3%)

Final Four

2.7%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.6%
17 96.3%
16 83.5%
15 42.9%
14 6.9%
OVERALL 90.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.4% 2.4%
2 2.5% 1.4%
3 4.9% 1.0%
4 6.9% 0.5%
5 8.5% 0.4%
6 9.6% 0.3%
7 10.2% 0.2%
8 10.3% 0.2%
9 10.1% 0.1%
10 9.7% 0.1%
11 9.3% 0.1%
12 7.2% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.