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Make Tournament

64.8%

Automatic Bid

1.5%

At Large Bid

63.3%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.3%)

Final Four

2.4%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 98.9%
20 91.6%
19 62.2%
18 22.5%
17 2.9%
16 0.2%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 64.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 2.9%
2 1.0% 1.2%
3 2.0% 0.8%
4 3.5% 0.7%
5 5.8% 0.4%
6 8.3% 0.3%
7 7.5% 0.3%
8 5.5% 0.2%
9 5.2% 0.2%
10 5.8% 0.1%
11 6.7% 0.1%
12 8.2% 0.1%
13 4.0% 0.1%
14 0.9% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.