Sample of our 2022-23 NFL betting picks

Our premium NFL predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.

We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.

We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NFL games, plus win odds for each pick.

Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.

The picks below represent our most recent opinions based on current betting lines, the results of our computer prediction models, and analysis of other relevant game information. We assign each “TR Pick” an overall confidence rating of 1 to 5 stars. Picks are subject to change until game time based on new information, and before using this information we strongly encourage all users to read more about our methods:

Day Status TR Pick Opp/Game Value Score Value Similar Games Decision Tree Power Rating
9/22 -- LAY OFF PIT at CLE -- -- CLE +3.1% -- PIT +23.4%
9/25 -- LAY OFF PHI at WAS -- -- WAS +2.7% -- WAS +1.1%
9/25 Right 465 Cincinnati -275 at NY Jets 2.7% NYJ +7.2% CIN +1.1% NYJ +13.6%
9/25 -- LAY OFF DET at MIN -- -- MIN +4.1% Lay Off DET +6.0%
9/25 Right 472 Indianapolis +190 vs Kansas City 0.4% KC +6.2% Lay Off KC +9.7%
9/25 Right 468 Carolina +115 vs New Orleans 3.5% CAR +3.8% CAR +0.9% NO +7.6%
9/25 -- LAY OFF LV at TEN -- -- LV +2.5% TEN +6.6% TEN +15.5%
9/25 -- LAY OFF BAL at NE -- -- NE +0.3% NE +3.9% NE +13.0%
9/25 Right 464 Miami +174 vs Buffalo 2.9% MIA +1.8% MIA +0.2% BUF +0.7%
9/25 Wrong 477 Houston +145 at Chicago 3.2% HOU +11.4% CHI +3.9% CHI +10.9%
9/25 Right 479 Jacksonville +225 at LA Chargers 0.6% LAC +2.6% LAC +0.3% Lay Off
9/25 -- LAY OFF GB at TB -- -- TB +0.5% TB +0.8% TB +25.5%
9/25 -- LAY OFF LAR at ARI -- -- ARI +2.0% Lay Off Lay Off
9/25 -- LAY OFF ATL at SEA -- -- ATL +6.4% SEA +1.3% Lay Off
9/25 Right 488 Denver +105 vs San Francisco 2.4% Lay Off DEN +0.7% SF +3.2%
9/26 -- LAY OFF DAL at NYG -- -- DAL +2.9% Lay Off DAL +10.3%