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Make Tournament

68.9%

Automatic Bid

7.6%

At Large Bid

61.3%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (8.0%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.5%
22 95.9%
21 84.5%
20 56.1%
19 25.8%
18 7.1%
17 1.3%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 68.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.8% 1.6%
2 2.5% 0.9%
3 4.2% 0.6%
4 5.9% 0.4%
5 7.5% 0.2%
6 8.0% 0.2%
7 6.3% 0.1%
8 5.6% 0.1%
9 6.1% 0.1%
10 6.6% 0.1%
11 6.8% 0.1%
12 6.3% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.