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NCAA College Basketball Upset Predictions
Our premium NCAAB predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.
We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.
We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NCAAB games, plus win odds for each pick.
Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.
From 2007-2018, our 3-star rated NCAAB over/under picks were 1441-1173-24 against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports (a 55.1% winning percentage over 2,500+ picks), including 236-168-2 (58.4%) in 2017-18.
Most Likely Minor Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/21 | Fav won | Ohio | vs. TOL | TOL by 1 | 46.7% |
| 1/21 | Upset | TX Christian | vs. TTU | TTU by 3 | 41.7% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | Florida | at LSU | LSU by 3 | 40.3% |
Most Likely Decent Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/21 | Fav won | Butler | at VILL | VILL by 3.5 | 38.3% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | S Florida | vs. WICH | WICH by 4.5 | 36.9% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | Miami (OH) | vs. AKR | AKR by 4.5 | 31.9% |
| 1/21 | Upset | Illinois | at PUR | PUR by 6 | 30.3% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | Mississippi | at TENN | TENN by 6.5 | 28.0% |
Most Likely Major Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/21 | Fav won | San Jose St | at UNM | UNM by 11 | 15.0% |
| 1/21 | Upset | Texas A&M | at MIZZ | MIZZ by 10 | 14.8% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | Georgia | at UK | UK by 11.5 | 12.8% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | St Josephs | vs. VCU | VCU by 12.5 | 10.4% |
| 1/21 | Fav won | Air Force | at USU | USU by 14 | 8.3% |
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