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NCAA College Basketball Upset Predictions
Our premium NCAAB predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.
We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.
We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NCAAB games, plus win odds for each pick.
Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.
From 2007-2018, our 3-star rated NCAAB over/under picks were 1441-1173-24 against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports (a 55.1% winning percentage over 2,500+ picks), including 236-168-2 (58.4%) in 2017-18.
Most Likely Minor Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/17 | Upset | TN State | at TNTC | TNTC by 1 | 48.7% |
| 1/17 | Upset | Sac State | at NOAZ | NOAZ by 1.5 | 47.7% |
| 1/17 | Fav won | UC Davis | vs. UCSB | UCSB by 1.5 | 47.5% |
| 1/17 | Upset | GA Southern | at TROY | TROY by 1 | 46.7% |
| 1/17 | Upset | Oral Roberts | vs. SDAK | SDAK by 1.5 | 46.6% |
Most Likely Decent Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/17 | Fav won | Col Charlestn | at NEAS | NEAS by 3.5 | 38.5% |
| 1/17 | Fav won | Seattle | vs. NMSU | NMSU by 3.5 | 38.5% |
| 1/17 | Upset | Middle Tenn | vs. UTSA | UTSA by 4.5 | 37.2% |
| 1/17 | Upset | WI-Milwkee | vs. UIC | UIC by 3.5 | 36.7% |
| 1/17 | Fav won | James Mad | at DEL | DEL by 4 | 36.5% |
Most Likely Major Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/17 | Fav won | UC Riverside | at CSFU | CSFU by 10 | 19.0% |
| 1/17 | Fav won | W Carolina | vs. UNCG | UNCG by 10 | 17.3% |
| 1/17 | Fav won | TX-Pan Am | at UVST | UVST by 11 | 15.5% |
| 1/17 | Fav won | NC-Wilmgton | at HOF | HOF by 11.5 | 13.8% |
| 1/17 | Upset | Florida Intl | at WKEN | WKEN by 11 | 13.6% |
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