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NCAA College Basketball Upset Predictions
Our premium NCAAB predictions and picks are driven by computer models that analyze millions of data points.
We use a variety of statistical techniques to predict games, including decision trees, similarity scores, and power ratings.
We publish a game winner, point spread, over/under and money line value pick for all NCAAB games, plus win odds for each pick.
Finally, we provide full transparency with our prediction accuracy reports, which track our historical pick performance.
From 2007-2018, our 3-star rated NCAAB over/under picks were 1441-1173-24 against game-day lines from Pinnacle Sports (a 55.1% winning percentage over 2,500+ picks), including 236-168-2 (58.4%) in 2017-18.
Most Likely Minor Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/14 | Show underdog and game details | 45.7% | |||
| 11/14 | Upset | San Diego | at WEB | WEB by 2.5 | 45.3% |
| 11/14 | Upset | Morehead St | at PRE | PRE by 2 | 42.5% |
Most Likely Decent Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/14 | Fav won | S Mississippi | at UNF | UNF by 3.5 | 40.0% |
| 11/14 | Show underdog and game details | 32.9% | |||
| 11/14 | Show underdog and game details | 31.3% | |||
| 11/14 | Fav won | Idaho | vs. UCD | UCD by 5 | 31.2% |
| 11/14 | Fav won | Vanderbilt | at RICH | RICH by 6 | 31.2% |
Most Likely Major Upsets
| Day | Status | Underdog | Favorite | Point Spread | Upset Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/14 | Fav won | Winthrop | at ETSU | ETSU by 12 | 12.6% |
| 11/14 | Fav won | LA Monroe | at MSST | MSST by 16 | 6.0% |
| 11/14 | Fav won | Towson | at FLA | FLA by 17.5 | 4.2% |
| 11/14 | Fav won | Lg Beach St | at SMC | SMC by 20 | 2.8% |
| 11/14 | Fav won | Southern | at NMSU | NMSU by 23.5 | 1.6% |
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