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Make Tournament

93.7%

Automatic Bid

26.9%

At Large Bid

66.8%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (13.9%)

Final Four

10.4%

NCAA Champs

2.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.7%
23 98.1%
22 92.0%
21 73.3%
20 47.6%
19 15.6%
18 4.4%
17 1.0%
OVERALL 93.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.1% 8.0%
2 11.6% 4.8%
3 13.9% 3.2%
4 13.8% 2.2%
5 12.5% 1.4%
6 10.5% 1.0%
7 8.4% 0.8%
8 6.5% 0.6%
9 4.7% 0.5%
10 3.1% 0.3%
11 1.9% 0.3%
12 0.7% 0.2%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.