Team Menu: Duke Blue Devils

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Make Tournament

89.7%

Automatic Bid

25.6%

At Large Bid

64.0%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (13.5%)

Final Four

8.9%

NCAA Champs

1.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.5%
23 97.6%
22 89.2%
21 67.6%
20 35.7%
19 11.1%
18 1.8%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 89.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 6.8%
2 9.5% 4.2%
3 13.0% 2.6%
4 13.5% 1.9%
5 12.3% 1.3%
6 10.6% 1.0%
7 8.7% 0.7%
8 6.9% 0.6%
9 5.2% 0.4%
10 3.6% 0.4%
11 2.3% 0.3%
12 0.9% 0.1%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.