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Make Tournament

98.2%

Automatic Bid

36.4%

At Large Bid

61.8%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (21.8%)

Final Four

14.8%

NCAA Champs

3.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.6%
24 98.2%
23 92.7%
22 72.8%
21 53.5%
20 27.1%
19 2.7%
18 0.7%
17 5.2%
OVERALL 98.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.1% 8.0%
2 21.8% 4.9%
3 19.4% 3.0%
4 14.7% 2.0%
5 10.5% 1.3%
6 7.2% 1.0%
7 4.9% 0.7%
8 3.2% 0.5%
9 1.9% 0.4%
10 1.0% 0.3%
11 0.4% 0.4%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.