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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

56.7%

At Large Bid

43.3%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (48.8%)

Final Four

35.6%

NCAA Champs

13.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 97.8%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 48.8% 17.5%
2 29.4% 11.2%
3 12.0% 7.6%
4 5.2% 5.4%
5 2.4% 4.3%
6 1.2% 2.6%
7 0.6% 2.0%
8 0.3% 1.2%
9 0.1% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 13.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.