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Make Tournament

36.1%

Automatic Bid

5.3%

At Large Bid

30.8%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (5.5%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 98.5%
16 89.4%
15 55.5%
14 12.4%
13 0.1%
12 0.1%
OVERALL 36.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.6% 0.4%
4 1.3% 0.3%
5 2.0% 0.2%
6 2.9% 0.2%
7 3.8% 0.1%
8 4.6% 0.1%
9 5.2% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 5.4% 0.0%
12 4.2% 0.0%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.