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Make Tournament

93.9%

Automatic Bid

1.5%

At Large Bid

92.3%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (44.0%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
21 100.0%
20 99.6%
19 98.4%
18 93.0%
OVERALL 93.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.0% -
5 0.1% -
6 0.2% -
7 0.5% 0.1%
8 1.2% 0.1%
9 3.2% 0.1%
10 9.2% 0.1%
11 26.6% 0.1%
12 44.0% 0.1%
13 8.0% 0.0%
14 0.9% 0.1%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.