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Make Tournament

97.6%

Automatic Bid

2.3%

At Large Bid

95.2%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (12.2%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.9%
14 99.0%
13 88.6%
12 44.2%
11 8.3%
OVERALL 97.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.5% 1.0%
3 3.9% 0.6%
4 6.1% 0.4%
5 7.9% 0.3%
6 9.2% 0.3%
7 10.2% 0.2%
8 10.8% 0.1%
9 11.2% 0.1%
10 11.5% 0.1%
11 12.2% 0.1%
12 11.5% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.