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Make Tournament

17.8%

Automatic Bid

1.8%

At Large Bid

16.0%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (2.8%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 99.9%
29 99.7%
28 98.9%
27 94.5%
26 83.8%
25 63.2%
24 39.6%
23 16.9%
22 5.4%
21 1.8%
20 0.4%
19 0.1%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
16 0.0%
OVERALL 17.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.7% 0.6%
3 1.2% 0.3%
4 1.9% 0.2%
5 2.5% 0.1%
6 2.8% 0.1%
7 2.6% 0.0%
8 2.2% 0.0%
9 1.8% 0.0%
10 1.1% 0.0%
11 0.6% 0.0%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.