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Make Tournament

49.6%

Automatic Bid

49.3%

At Large Bid

0.3%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (13.7%)

Final Four

1.2%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 84.0%
23 57.9%
22 31.4%
21 13.2%
20 4.7%
19 1.3%
18 1.2%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 49.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.2% -
5 0.4% 0.3%
6 1.1% 0.3%
7 2.2% 0.3%
8 3.9% 0.2%
9 6.0% 0.1%
10 8.3% 0.1%
11 11.0% 0.1%
12 13.7% 0.1%
13 2.6% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.