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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

9.2%

At Large Bid

90.8%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (24.3%)

Final Four

8.3%

NCAA Champs

1.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 1.5% 2.5%
3 6.1% 2.4%
4 17.1% 2.0%
5 24.3% 1.6%
6 19.8% 1.4%
7 13.4% 1.2%
8 8.5% 0.9%
9 5.0% 0.9%
10 2.6% 0.8%
11 1.1% 0.7%
12 0.3% 0.5%
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.