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Make Tournament

40.0%

Automatic Bid

5.4%

At Large Bid

34.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.3%)

Final Four

1.1%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 98.2%
20 88.9%
19 60.7%
18 19.0%
17 2.4%
16 0.2%
15 0.1%
14 0.2%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 40.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.5% 0.6%
3 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.9% 0.3%
5 2.8% 0.2%
6 3.3% 0.1%
7 3.1% 0.1%
8 3.2% 0.1%
9 3.8% 0.1%
10 4.4% 0.1%
11 5.2% 0.1%
12 6.3% 0.0%
13 3.3% 0.0%
14 0.8% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.