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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

6.6%

At Large Bid

93.3%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (12.6%)

Final Four

6.9%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 100.0%
14 99.9%
13 98.6%
12 56.8%
11 41.5%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.3% 4.1%
2 7.7% 2.9%
3 11.0% 1.9%
4 12.4% 1.4%
5 12.6% 1.0%
6 11.9% 0.8%
7 10.6% 0.7%
8 9.2% 0.5%
9 7.6% 0.4%
10 6.1% 0.4%
11 4.9% 0.3%
12 3.3% 0.2%
13 0.3% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.