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Make Tournament

67.8%

Automatic Bid

2.5%

At Large Bid

65.2%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (15.0%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.9%
19 99.5%
18 96.1%
17 81.5%
16 48.3%
15 13.9%
14 1.3%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 67.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.6% 0.7%
3 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.0% 0.2%
5 2.8% 0.2%
6 3.8% 0.1%
7 4.8% 0.1%
8 5.9% 0.1%
9 7.2% 0.0%
10 9.0% 0.0%
11 12.2% 0.0%
12 15.0% 0.0%
13 2.9% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.