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Make Tournament

23.5%

Automatic Bid

1.5%

At Large Bid

22.0%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.4%)

Final Four

0.4%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.8%
20 97.2%
19 90.1%
18 69.7%
17 39.8%
16 19.6%
15 4.6%
14 0.7%
13 0.3%
12 0.0%
11 0.0%
OVERALL 23.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.4% 0.4%
4 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.1% 0.1%
6 1.2% 0.1%
7 1.3% 0.1%
8 1.6% 0.0%
9 2.0% 0.0%
10 2.6% 0.0%
11 3.8% 0.0%
12 6.4% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.