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Make Tournament

99.7%

Automatic Bid

69.9%

At Large Bid

29.8%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (28.5%)

Final Four

16.5%

NCAA Champs

4.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 98.6%
OVERALL 99.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.5% 6.7%
3 2.4% 6.0%
4 11.3% 5.0%
5 28.5% 4.4%
6 26.2% 4.4%
7 15.5% 4.1%
8 8.4% 3.9%
9 4.2% 3.7%
10 1.9% 4.0%
11 0.7% 3.9%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.