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Make Tournament

90.7%

Automatic Bid

23.6%

At Large Bid

67.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (14.5%)

Final Four

2.9%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.4%
25 94.4%
24 73.1%
23 31.5%
22 4.9%
21 0.2%
20 0.0%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 90.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.2% 0.9%
2 12.2% 0.5%
3 14.5% 0.3%
4 13.8% 0.2%
5 11.0% 0.1%
6 8.0% 0.1%
7 6.9% 0.1%
8 6.1% 0.0%
9 4.7% 0.0%
10 3.3% 0.0%
11 2.2% 0.0%
12 1.4% 0.0%
13 0.4% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.