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Make Tournament

99.6%

Automatic Bid

73.4%

At Large Bid

26.2%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (52.7%)

Final Four

34.9%

NCAA Champs

14.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.8%
28 99.4%
27 96.3%
26 89.7%
25 77.5%
24 53.2%
23 40.3%
22 13.2%
21 0.1%
OVERALL 99.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 52.7% 18.8%
2 21.4% 11.3%
3 12.3% 8.1%
4 6.7% 6.1%
5 3.4% 4.3%
6 1.7% 3.2%
7 0.8% 2.0%
8 0.4% 1.8%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 14.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.