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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

91.3%

At Large Bid

8.6%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (35.8%)

Final Four

20.1%

NCAA Champs

5.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 95.0%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.0% 6.0%
2 31.4% 5.0%
3 35.8% 5.3%
4 20.5% 4.9%
5 6.9% 4.4%
6 2.0% 3.3%
7 0.7% 3.8%
8 0.3% 0.0%
9 0.1% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.