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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

59.6%

At Large Bid

40.4%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (42.4%)

Final Four

18.3%

NCAA Champs

3.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.3%
19 93.4%
18 78.9%
17 40.5%
16 4.3%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 27.8% 5.4%
2 42.4% 3.7%
3 19.0% 2.6%
4 6.7% 2.0%
5 2.5% 1.2%
6 1.0% 1.1%
7 0.4% 0.9%
8 0.2% -
9 0.1% -
10 0.0% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.