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Make Tournament

99.0%

Automatic Bid

29.6%

At Large Bid

69.4%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (24.2%)

Final Four

25.4%

NCAA Champs

8.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.9%
19 92.5%
18 62.6%
17 13.2%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 99.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 21.5% 15.4%
2 24.2% 9.6%
3 17.5% 6.7%
4 12.0% 5.0%
5 8.2% 3.5%
6 5.6% 2.9%
7 3.9% 2.2%
8 2.6% 1.5%
9 1.7% 1.2%
10 1.1% 1.0%
11 0.6% 0.6%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 8.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.