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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

26.7%

At Large Bid

73.3%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (50.0%)

Final Four

31.1%

NCAA Champs

10.5%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.8%
20 96.2%
19 87.6%
18 92.5%
17 0.5%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 50.0% 14.7%
2 22.5% 8.3%
3 11.4% 5.9%
4 6.4% 4.5%
5 3.8% 3.3%
6 2.3% 2.3%
7 1.5% 1.8%
8 0.9% 1.6%
9 0.6% 1.0%
10 0.4% 1.2%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 10.5%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.