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Make Tournament

46.6%

Automatic Bid

7.5%

At Large Bid

39.0%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (6.6%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.9%
26 98.6%
25 91.7%
24 68.3%
23 33.3%
22 8.6%
21 1.3%
20 0.6%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 46.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.4% 1.2%
3 0.9% 0.6%
4 1.9% 0.2%
5 3.5% 0.2%
6 4.5% 0.1%
7 4.8% 0.0%
8 5.4% 0.0%
9 6.3% 0.0%
10 6.6% 0.0%
11 6.3% 0.0%
12 4.7% 0.0%
13 1.1% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.