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Make Tournament

39.7%

Automatic Bid

4.0%

At Large Bid

35.7%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (6.6%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.2%
28 98.2%
27 91.6%
26 78.2%
25 57.5%
24 32.2%
23 13.9%
22 4.6%
21 1.0%
20 0.1%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 39.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.7% 0.3%
4 1.5% 0.1%
5 2.8% 0.1%
6 4.2% 0.1%
7 5.5% 0.0%
8 6.4% 0.0%
9 6.6% 0.0%
10 5.7% 0.0%
11 4.1% 0.0%
12 1.9% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.