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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

17.7%

At Large Bid

82.3%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (25.6%)

Final Four

13.0%

NCAA Champs

2.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.6%
22 95.8%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 9.2% 3.5%
2 23.9% 2.5%
3 25.6% 2.0%
4 19.4% 1.5%
5 12.3% 1.2%
6 6.3% 1.1%
7 2.3% 0.9%
8 0.7% 0.7%
9 0.2% -
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.