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Make Tournament

97.4%

Automatic Bid

9.9%

At Large Bid

87.5%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (10.4%)

Final Four

6.7%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 98.6%
16 93.9%
15 68.6%
14 27.0%
13 3.4%
OVERALL 97.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 6.3%
2 6.4% 3.6%
3 8.5% 2.3%
4 9.7% 1.6%
5 10.4% 1.0%
6 10.4% 0.8%
7 9.9% 0.6%
8 9.2% 0.4%
9 8.3% 0.3%
10 7.6% 0.2%
11 7.1% 0.1%
12 5.9% 0.1%
13 1.0% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.