View Michigan bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

98.4%

Automatic Bid

22.6%

At Large Bid

75.8%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (31.4%)

Final Four

20.9%

NCAA Champs

5.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.8%
23 98.3%
22 88.5%
21 55.0%
20 11.8%
19 2.8%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 98.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 31.4% 8.6%
2 24.3% 4.9%
3 15.3% 3.4%
4 9.3% 2.4%
5 5.5% 1.9%
6 4.0% 1.7%
7 3.7% 1.4%
8 2.3% 1.1%
9 1.3% 0.8%
10 0.7% 0.7%
11 0.4% 0.7%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.