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Make Tournament95.9% |
Automatic Bid13.3% |
At Large Bid82.6% |
Most Likely Seed#2 (16.1%) |
Final Four12.5% |
NCAA Champs2.8% |
| Total Wins | NCAA Bid% |
|---|---|
| 33 | 100.0% |
| 32 | 100.0% |
| 31 | 100.0% |
| 30 | 100.0% |
| 29 | 100.0% |
| 28 | 100.0% |
| 27 | 100.0% |
| 26 | 100.0% |
| 25 | 100.0% |
| 24 | 100.0% |
| 23 | 100.0% |
| 22 | 100.0% |
| 21 | 100.0% |
| 20 | 100.0% |
| 19 | 100.0% |
| 18 | 99.5% |
| 17 | 89.1% |
| 16 | 34.6% |
| 15 | 0.0% |
| 14 | 0.0% |
| 13 | 0.0% |
| 12 | 0.0% |
| OVERALL | 95.9% |
NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.
| Seed | Probability | Win Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.8% | 8.4% |
| 2 | 16.1% | 4.0% |
| 3 | 14.2% | 2.4% |
| 4 | 11.6% | 1.7% |
| 5 | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| 6 | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| 7 | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| 8 | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| 9 | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| 10 | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| 11 | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| 12 | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| 13 | 0.0% | - |
| 14 | 0.0% | - |
| 15 | 0.0% | - |
| 16 | 0.0% | - |
| OVERALL | 2.8% |
*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.
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