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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

7.6%

At Large Bid

92.4%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (25.7%)

Final Four

6.1%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 99.9%
19 99.9%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.2% -
5 1.1% 2.1%
6 3.1% 1.3%
7 6.9% 1.3%
8 13.3% 1.1%
9 21.4% 1.0%
10 25.7% 1.1%
11 19.7% 1.0%
12 7.7% 0.9%
13 0.6% 0.6%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.