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Make Tournament

98.8%

Automatic Bid

42.1%

At Large Bid

56.7%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (34.2%)

Final Four

32.6%

NCAA Champs

13.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.9%
20 99.3%
19 93.0%
18 80.4%
17 65.6%
16 14.4%
15 6.3%
14 1.0%
OVERALL 98.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 34.2% 23.4%
2 25.1% 12.4%
3 14.1% 7.3%
4 7.6% 4.8%
5 5.7% 3.8%
6 5.2% 2.4%
7 3.4% 1.5%
8 1.9% 0.8%
9 1.0% 0.5%
10 0.5% 0.3%
11 0.2% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 13.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.