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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

32.0%

At Large Bid

68.0%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (38.4%)

Final Four

26.7%

NCAA Champs

9.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.2% 12.8%
2 6.5% 11.0%
3 21.1% 10.4%
4 38.4% 9.7%
5 23.0% 8.7%
6 6.8% 8.0%
7 2.0% 7.5%
8 0.7% 7.6%
9 0.3% 7.5%
10 0.1% -
11 0.0% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 9.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.