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Make Tournament

97.7%

Automatic Bid

7.7%

At Large Bid

90.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (12.1%)

Final Four

5.8%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 98.8%
17 90.5%
16 64.6%
15 22.3%
14 1.5%
OVERALL 97.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.1% 4.1%
2 8.4% 2.4%
3 10.7% 1.5%
4 12.0% 1.0%
5 12.1% 0.7%
6 11.2% 0.5%
7 9.8% 0.3%
8 8.4% 0.2%
9 7.2% 0.2%
10 5.9% 0.1%
11 4.9% 0.1%
12 2.8% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.