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Make Tournament

98.5%

Automatic Bid

26.5%

At Large Bid

72.0%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (21.8%)

Final Four

22.8%

NCAA Champs

6.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.8%
21 97.7%
20 88.2%
19 60.6%
18 14.5%
17 1.3%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 98.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 20.8% 11.7%
2 21.8% 7.4%
3 17.4% 5.3%
4 13.2% 3.8%
5 9.3% 3.2%
6 5.7% 2.6%
7 3.3% 1.9%
8 2.3% 1.5%
9 1.7% 1.3%
10 1.2% 1.0%
11 0.9% 1.2%
12 0.6% 0.7%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 6.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.