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View Michigan St. bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

93.0%

Automatic Bid

6.0%

At Large Bid

87.0%

Most Likely Seed

#11 (9.6%)

Final Four

4.3%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
17 98.4%
16 88.9%
15 56.0%
14 17.8%
13 0.9%
OVERALL 93.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.8% 5.0%
2 4.0% 3.1%
3 5.9% 1.9%
4 7.4% 1.2%
5 8.5% 0.8%
6 9.0% 0.6%
7 9.1% 0.4%
8 8.8% 0.3%
9 8.7% 0.2%
10 8.8% 0.2%
11 9.6% 0.1%
12 9.5% 0.1%
13 1.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.