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Make Tournament

62.3%

Automatic Bid

4.1%

At Large Bid

58.2%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (7.3%)

Final Four

2.6%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.9%
22 99.0%
21 95.1%
20 86.1%
19 59.3%
18 28.5%
17 7.6%
16 0.8%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 62.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.9% 3.3%
2 1.9% 1.7%
3 3.2% 1.3%
4 4.3% 0.7%
5 5.3% 0.6%
6 6.1% 0.4%
7 6.6% 0.3%
8 7.0% 0.2%
9 7.3% 0.2%
10 7.2% 0.1%
11 6.8% 0.1%
12 4.9% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.