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Make Tournament

33.6%

Automatic Bid

25.2%

At Large Bid

8.4%

Most Likely Seed

#13 (8.0%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 98.3%
29 96.1%
28 84.9%
27 66.9%
26 46.5%
25 29.7%
24 22.1%
23 11.9%
22 9.2%
21 4.9%
20 4.3%
19 2.5%
18 1.7%
17 0.9%
OVERALL 33.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.4% 0.1%
7 0.6% 0.0%
8 0.9% 0.0%
9 1.5% 0.0%
10 2.4% 0.0%
11 3.8% 0.0%
12 7.1% 0.0%
13 8.0% 0.0%
14 5.7% 0.0%
15 2.3% 0.0%
16 0.6% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.