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Make Tournament

66.6%

Automatic Bid

43.7%

At Large Bid

22.8%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (9.5%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 99.5%
31 98.5%
30 96.9%
29 90.4%
28 82.1%
27 69.0%
26 51.8%
25 34.2%
24 21.0%
23 11.4%
22 4.3%
21 2.6%
20 1.6%
19 1.7%
OVERALL 66.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.7% 0.9%
4 1.9% 0.7%
5 3.7% 0.5%
6 5.8% 0.3%
7 7.7% 0.2%
8 9.0% 0.2%
9 9.5% 0.1%
10 9.3% 0.1%
11 8.8% 0.1%
12 7.8% 0.0%
13 2.0% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.