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Make Tournament

47.2%

Automatic Bid

43.7%

At Large Bid

3.5%

Most Likely Seed

#13 (10.7%)

Final Four

0.2%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 99.2%
30 95.1%
29 87.5%
28 72.4%
27 56.1%
26 45.1%
25 35.8%
24 29.2%
23 20.7%
22 11.5%
21 7.0%
20 4.9%
19 2.5%
18 1.0%
17 1.8%
OVERALL 47.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.4% 0.1%
7 1.3% 0.1%
8 2.2% 0.0%
9 2.8% 0.0%
10 3.3% 0.0%
11 4.5% 0.0%
12 8.6% 0.0%
13 10.7% 0.0%
14 8.3% 0.0%
15 3.9% 0.0%
16 0.9% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.