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Make Tournament

37.2%

Automatic Bid

28.9%

At Large Bid

8.2%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (8.6%)

Final Four

0.1%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 99.9%
28 98.5%
27 93.3%
26 78.8%
25 57.9%
24 38.3%
23 27.1%
22 18.7%
21 12.6%
20 7.1%
19 3.4%
18 3.2%
17 1.1%
16 1.5%
OVERALL 37.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.0% -
4 0.1% -
5 0.2% -
6 0.4% 0.1%
7 0.7% 0.0%
8 1.2% 0.0%
9 2.1% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 5.1% 0.0%
12 8.6% 0.0%
13 8.2% 0.0%
14 5.0% 0.0%
15 1.9% 0.0%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.